National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Foil

Wednesday, July 5, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEVY Avery - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
2 KAPOOR Saanvi - 8% 38% 37% 14% 2% < 1%
3 MUSTO Isabella - 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
3 BASSIK Eva - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
5 LENZ Zoe N. - 3% 17% 38% 34% 9%
6 TROXEL Sylvie A. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
7 ZHANG Selena - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
8 QUINN Anna 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 10% 1%
9 GUAN Adeline - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
10 BEAVER Hannah - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
11 OLSEN Jen - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 24%
12 PAULUS Sloane E. - - 4% 22% 47% 26%
13 SHMUKLER Maria - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
14 HAN Ashley - 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
15 SHUM Elizabeth - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
16 LENK Sophie - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 14%
17 PARK Caitlyn 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
18 LAO Sophia - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
19 BHAN Zala - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
20 ZAMLYNNY Maya - 17% 39% 31% 11% 1% -
20 CHENG Isa 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
22 COKER Bettina M. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
23 RASO Olivia - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
24 OTEYZA Camille - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
25 CHOI Kailyn - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
26 CHARALEL Jessica - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
27 LI Eleanor - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
28 DEBLAERE Caecie M. 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
29 PENG Charlotte - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 8%
30 NIRGUDE Siddhi - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
31 YU Jane - - 6% 26% 40% 23% 5%
32 WANG Yudi - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
33 PAULUS Isabella - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
34 BORGES Valeryn - - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
35 LIN Ju-An Adrianne - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
36 KO Claire - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
37 WANG Sabrina - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
38 JOHNSON Shelby - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
39 MEYER Claudia - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
39 BABIAC Julia - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
41 HAN Katherine - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
42 WANG Sophia - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
43 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
44 WANG Chloe - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
44 HAFEZ Tahiyah - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 17%
46 OLSHANSKY Eliora S. - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
47 BABER Eshaal 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
48 KELBLEY Newt J. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
49 HOBSON Ava - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
50 HIRSCH Gabriella H. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
50 MARTIRE Alessandra 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
52 GANDLURI Sreehitha - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
53 MORALES Paulina - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
54 LIU Long 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
55 YUEN Elsie - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
56 PATTERSON Natalia 1% 6% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
57 NICKOLOV Nora - 7% 28% 40% 22% 4%
58 LEE Allison - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
59 MUHAMMAD Auset - 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 9%
60 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya - 5% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1%
61 LIU Elinda 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
62 TRELOAR Allison F. - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
63 HWANG Chanel 6% 25% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
64 LIN Victoria T. 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
65 KIM Chloe - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
66 VAYNBERG Ellen 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
67 DANIELYANTS Gabriela 3% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
68 EVELAND Zoe - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
69 LI Katerina 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
70 HUNT Abigail S. - 2% 17% 38% 31% 11% 1%
71 PARK Leah - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
72 NEUMAN Sophie - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
73 LI Grace - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
74 WANG Celine S. - - 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
75 LANDMAN Charlotte - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
76 RICHARDS Ella 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
77 HOVAGHIMIAN Fira - 4% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
78 BRODERICK Kylin - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
79 WISEMAN Margaret (Daisy) - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
80 LAYE Isabella 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
81 YIM Rachael - 7% 30% 41% 19% 3%
82 VELAZQUEZ Rosa T. - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
83 LIU Jessica 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
84 SHTEPA Rada 47% 40% 12% 1% - -
85 COELHO Sofia 1% 10% 35% 38% 15% 2%
86 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
87 LIU Grace 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
88 TAYLOR Gabrielle 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
89 CHEN Sophie 5% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
90 LI Xiang (Shining) 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
91 ZHENG Zoe - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
92 SCHMIDT Victoria - - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
92 HOOGSTRA Lucy 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
94 DEMOSS Mercedes 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
95 COX Sophia 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
96 DESAI Esha 1% 13% 36% 36% 12% 1%
97 MIZIN Sarita O. 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
98 ISHANOVA Sofia - 9% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
99 JANEW Anastasia 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
100 VANMOORSEL Faye 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
101 WU Velyn - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
101 GOEL Riyana 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
103 BRUSH Sydney 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
103 GADIYARAM Sushama 3% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
105 MARRINAN Eva 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
106 POWLEDGE Cora 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
107 ANDONIAN Lauren 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
108 KUNIHIRO Ashley - - 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
109 DESAI Kanushi 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
110 BALCE Cyril 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
111 REESE Rebecca M. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
112 MCDERMOTT Catherine 5% 28% 45% 19% 3% - -
113 LIU Emily 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
114 LOVE Brianna 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
115 SHERLOCK Gabriella 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
116 BABB Cicely 35% 47% 16% 2% - -
117 TREADWAY Ella 15% 44% 31% 9% 1% -
118 CABALU Alaina 3% 20% 41% 29% 7% 1%
119 HAMMER anya 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
120 CANO Sofia 30% 48% 19% 3% - -
121 JOHNSON Maya 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
122 SEN Arjen 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
123 BIENSTOCK Alexis 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
124 SAUCEDO Fernanda 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
125 TOMASI Samantha 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
126 LEMASTERS Elise M. 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
126 MAHABALESHWARKAR Aanika 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
128 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
129 NIRGUDE Esha 2% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
130 CHANG Janelle 28% 47% 21% 3% - - -
131 ZHAO Aimee 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
132 PARA Akshaya 20% 53% 23% 4% - - -
133 TIKHONOVA Sofia 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
134 TENZIN Kyijong 18% 54% 24% 4% - - -
135 SOHN Juniper 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
136 CHENG Emma 89% 10% - - - - -
137 COLLINS Anna 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
138 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
139 ZANDER Maxx 1% 30% 44% 20% 4% - -
140 SINGH Sania 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
141 STONE Colleen R. 9% 38% 37% 13% 2% -
142 MILES Quinn 81% 17% 1% - - - -
143 LAU Elena 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
144 DURR Strahlia Devi 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
145 UNGLAUB Emma 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
146 KAPLAN Carly 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
146 ROBINSON Ashley 46% 41% 12% 1% - -
148 WANG Kelsey 63% 33% 4% - - - -
149 EGENOLF Gabriella 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
149 CONVERSO Antonella 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
149 MALVESTUTO Evelyn 61% 36% 4% - - - -
149 LAW Casey 33% 46% 18% 3% - - -
153 PRESTWICH Paula J. 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
153 WILLIAMS Olivia 31% 47% 19% 3% - - -
153 LIAO Jiarou 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
153 MISHRA Oorja 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.