National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Foil

Wednesday, July 5, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEVY Avery 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
2 KAPOOR Saanvi 100% 100% 92% 54% 17% 3% < 1%
3 MUSTO Isabella 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 1%
3 BASSIK Eva 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
5 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
6 TROXEL Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
7 ZHANG Selena 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
8 QUINN Anna 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
9 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
10 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
11 OLSEN Jen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
12 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
13 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
14 HAN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4%
15 SHUM Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
16 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
17 PARK Caitlyn 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
18 LAO Sophia 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 9%
19 BHAN Zala 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
20 ZAMLYNNY Maya 100% 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
20 CHENG Isa 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
22 COKER Bettina M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
23 RASO Olivia 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
24 OTEYZA Camille 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
25 CHOI Kailyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
26 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
27 LI Eleanor 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
28 DEBLAERE Caecie M. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
29 PENG Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
30 NIRGUDE Siddhi 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
31 YU Jane 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 5%
32 WANG Yudi 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
33 PAULUS Isabella 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
34 BORGES Valeryn 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
35 LIN Ju-An Adrianne 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
36 KO Claire 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
37 WANG Sabrina 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
38 JOHNSON Shelby 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
39 MEYER Claudia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
39 BABIAC Julia 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
41 HAN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
42 WANG Sophia 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
43 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
44 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
44 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
46 OLSHANSKY Eliora S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
47 BABER Eshaal 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
48 KELBLEY Newt J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
49 HOBSON Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
50 HIRSCH Gabriella H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
50 MARTIRE Alessandra 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
52 GANDLURI Sreehitha 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
53 MORALES Paulina 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
54 LIU Long 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
55 YUEN Elsie 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
56 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
57 NICKOLOV Nora 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4%
58 LEE Allison 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
59 MUHAMMAD Auset 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
60 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
61 LIU Elinda 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 5% -
62 TRELOAR Allison F. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
63 HWANG Chanel 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
64 LIN Victoria T. 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
65 KIM Chloe 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
66 VAYNBERG Ellen 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
67 DANIELYANTS Gabriela 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
68 EVELAND Zoe 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
69 LI Katerina 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
70 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
71 PARK Leah 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
72 NEUMAN Sophie 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
73 LI Grace 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
74 WANG Celine S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
75 LANDMAN Charlotte 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
76 RICHARDS Ella 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
77 HOVAGHIMIAN Fira 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
78 BRODERICK Kylin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
79 WISEMAN Margaret (Daisy) 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
80 LAYE Isabella 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
81 YIM Rachael 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 3%
82 VELAZQUEZ Rosa T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
83 LIU Jessica 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
84 SHTEPA Rada 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
85 COELHO Sofia 100% 99% 89% 54% 17% 2%
86 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 100% 97% 80% 49% 18% 4% -
87 LIU Grace 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
88 TAYLOR Gabrielle 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
89 CHEN Sophie 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
90 LI Xiang (Shining) 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
91 ZHENG Zoe 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
92 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
92 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
94 DEMOSS Mercedes 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
95 COX Sophia 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
96 DESAI Esha 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 1%
97 MIZIN Sarita O. 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
98 ISHANOVA Sofia 100% 100% 91% 54% 17% 3% -
99 JANEW Anastasia 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
100 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 5% -
101 WU Velyn 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
101 GOEL Riyana 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
103 BRUSH Sydney 100% 96% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
103 GADIYARAM Sushama 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
105 MARRINAN Eva 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
106 POWLEDGE Cora 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
107 ANDONIAN Lauren 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
108 KUNIHIRO Ashley 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
109 DESAI Kanushi 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
110 BALCE Cyril 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
111 REESE Rebecca M. 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
112 MCDERMOTT Catherine 100% 95% 67% 23% 4% - -
113 LIU Emily 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
114 LOVE Brianna 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
115 SHERLOCK Gabriella 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
116 BABB Cicely 100% 65% 18% 2% - -
117 TREADWAY Ella 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% -
118 CABALU Alaina 100% 97% 77% 36% 7% 1%
119 HAMMER anya 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
120 CANO Sofia 100% 70% 22% 3% - -
121 JOHNSON Maya 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
122 SEN Arjen 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
123 BIENSTOCK Alexis 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
124 SAUCEDO Fernanda 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
125 TOMASI Samantha 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
126 LEMASTERS Elise M. 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
126 MAHABALESHWARKAR Aanika 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
128 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
129 NIRGUDE Esha 100% 98% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
130 CHANG Janelle 100% 72% 25% 3% - - -
131 ZHAO Aimee 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
132 PARA Akshaya 100% 80% 27% 4% - - -
133 TIKHONOVA Sofia 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
134 TENZIN Kyijong 100% 82% 28% 4% - - -
135 SOHN Juniper 100% 76% 31% 7% 1% - -
136 CHENG Emma 100% 11% - - - - -
137 COLLINS Anna 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
138 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
139 ZANDER Maxx 100% 99% 69% 25% 4% - -
140 SINGH Sania 100% 64% 23% 5% - - -
141 STONE Colleen R. 100% 91% 52% 15% 2% -
142 MILES Quinn 100% 19% 1% - - - -
143 LAU Elena 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
144 DURR Strahlia Devi 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
145 UNGLAUB Emma 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
146 KAPLAN Carly 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
146 ROBINSON Ashley 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
148 WANG Kelsey 100% 37% 4% - - - -
149 EGENOLF Gabriella 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
149 CONVERSO Antonella 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
149 MALVESTUTO Evelyn 100% 39% 4% - - - -
149 LAW Casey 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
153 PRESTWICH Paula J. 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
153 WILLIAMS Olivia 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -
153 LIAO Jiarou 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
153 MISHRA Oorja 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.