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Event Results

Div III Men's Épée

National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)Surprise Map

Friday, July 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM Phoenix Convention Center · Phoenix, AZ, USA
159 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 ROTHKA Spencer J. D V V V V V V V V V V V V 4.2 5 +0.8
2 JITTAN daniel V V D V V V V V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
3 HU Robert J. V D V V V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
3 HAN Lawrence V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
5 ZHANG ethan V V V V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
6 JONES Reilly V V V V D V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
7 ANDERSON Kai D V D V V V V V V V D 2.3 4 +1.7
8 BAILEY David V D D D V V V V V V D 4.6 3 -1.6
9 ROBINS Brennan V V V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
10 LI Ethan R. V V V V V V V V V D 3.7 6 +2.3
11 SHIRLEY Kai V V V V V D V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
12 SIYANKO Joshua D V V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
13 DAO Alexander V D V V D V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
14 LEE Aiden V D V V D V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
15 CHU Brandon A. V V V D D V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
16 PARK Augustine V D V V D D V V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
17 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman V V V V V V V V D 4.9 6 +1.1
18 SMITH Troy H. V V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
19 REDDY Arya V V V V V V V D 2.7 5 +2.3
20 TEMPLEHOF Robert C. D V V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
21 LIU Dylan Y. V V V V D D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
22 DURHAM Porter V V D V D V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
23 PAPP Mike D D V V V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
24 VILLAREAL Quentin V V V V D D V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
25 LEE Bryson V V V V D D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
26 TIEMANN Landen V V D D V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
27 FULLERTON Joshua D. D V V D V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
28 ZHENG Jerry V D V V V D V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
29 GUPTA Karan D V D V V D V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
30 SONG Troy D D D V V V V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
31 FUSSMAN Yuval V V V D D D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
32 GABAY Daniel V D D V V D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
33 BUI Henry V V V V V V V D 4.0 6 +2.0
34 PEÑA Ethan D V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
35 JANYSKA Allen V V V V D V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
35 MEN Junda V V V D V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
37 KIM Jeff V V V D V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
38 HESS Marc F. V V V V V D V D 4.1 5 +0.9
39 CHAO Warren V V V D V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
40 CHUNG Yeongbin V V V V D V D 3.4 4 +0.6
41 EMMERT JP D D V V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
42 PALAMARCHUK Matthew V V V D V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
43 NALLAMSHETTY Ayan V D V D V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
44 HOWE Robert V V D V V D V D 4.6 4 -0.6
45 AGGELER Donovan V V V D D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
46 AGARWAL Adheesh V V V D D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
47 CHRISTIAN John R. D V D V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
47 LEE Jacob V D V V V D V D 3.0 4 +1.0
49 MORTIMER Gavin V V V V D D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
50 HANNON Owen D V V D V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
51 JOHNSON Ryder V D D V V D V D 4.0 3 -1.0
52 KIM Teo D V D V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
52 PAULSEN Zachary D V D V D V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
54 CHEN Bailey D V D V V D V D 4.1 3 -1.1
55 HERNANDEZ SANTIAGO V V V D D D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
56 PENG Gregory D D V D V V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
57 MOSKOWITZ Martin V D D V V D V D 1.2 3 +1.8
58 DESAI Nalin H. D V V D D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
59 JACKSON Thomas D V D V V D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
59 MANITT Philip D V D D V V V D 1.0 3 +2.0
61 MALLON Jaxson D D D V V D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
62 CHENH Justin D D V D V D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
63 KORTZ Austin V V D D D D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
64 NOTT Kobi V D D V D D V D 3.5 2 -1.5
65 SHAFRITZ Noah D V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
66 JENNINGS Adin V V V D V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
67 DAN Rex D V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
67 FU Jason V V V V D V D 4.2 5 +0.8
69 BUCCELLATO Joel S. V V V D V D D 3.7 4 +0.3
70 LOMIO Nicholas A. V V D D V V D 2.6 4 +1.4
71 PARKS Isaac V D V V V D D 3.1 4 +0.9
72 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas D V V V D V D 4.0 4 -
73 DANIELS Jonah V V D V D V D 3.0 4 +1.0
74 HULL Liam D D V V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
75 ZHANG Roland V V V V D D D 2.5 4 +1.5
76 BLAKESLEE Garrett H. V D V D V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
77 NAZARIAN Jonah V V D D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
78 SODHI Jaco V V V D D V D 4.6 4 -0.6
79 POOLE James M. D V V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
80 GOROZA Eric V D V V D V D 1.4 4 +2.6
81 RIVERA Louis V D V D V V D 2.6 4 +1.4
82 VARON David D V V V V D D 3.7 4 +0.3
83 RAHMAN Yousef D D V V V D 1.8 3 +1.2
84 KUBATIN Anton V. V V D D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
85 HOFFMANN Matthew V V D V D D D 2.3 3 +0.7
86 RAO Neil D D V V V D D 2.0 3 +1.0
87 BRUNDAGE Nevan V D D D V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
87 BENFORD Kailan V V D V D D D 4.5 3 -1.5
89 TORRES Gianni V D D V V D D 3.4 3 -0.4
90 COLLINS Vernon D V D V V D D 2.4 3 +0.6
90 JAIN Samyak D D V V V D D 2.7 3 +0.3
90 KOSTUSIAK Evan D V D V D V D 1.1 3 +1.9
93 MISHRA Milan B. D V V D V D D 2.9 3 +0.1
94 CARNALL Hunter D V V V D D D 2.3 3 +0.7
95 PAINTER Noah V D D V V D D 2.2 3 +0.8
95 EVERETT Taiger V V D D D V D 4.0 3 -1.0
97 MONTOYA Joaquin G. D V V V D D D 3.8 3 -0.8
97 FAN Joshua D V V D D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
99 COHEN Nathan V D D D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
100 LIU Jeremiah W. V D D D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
100 WILLIAMS Timothy D D D V V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
102 LEVCHOOK Thomas V D D V V D D 2.9 3 +0.1
103 KIM Joshua V V D D D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
104 WEGENER Soren V D D V V D D 3.4 3 -0.4
105 CHOU Benson D V D V V D D 2.3 3 +0.7
106 HENSLEY Roran D V V D D D 3.2 2 -1.2
107 JU Hanul D D D D V V D 3.5 2 -1.5
108 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas D D D D V V D 1.8 2 +0.2
108 DACHELET Sawyer D D V V D D D 1.6 2 +0.4
110 MALAHOWSKI Patrick D V D D V D D 1.7 2 +0.3
110 MALEADY Sean D D V D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
112 WONG Ethan D D V D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
113 ELTERMAN Lev V D D D V D D 4.2 2 -2.2
114 MORALES Diego D V D D D V D 1.1 2 +0.9
115 PETERSEN Zachary D D D V V D D 2.0 2 -
115 CHOI David D D D V D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
117 PABLO Jesse V D D V D D D 3.0 2 -1.0
118 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey V D D V D D D 2.2 2 -0.2
119 O'CONNOR Ryan (Ryan O'Connor) D. D D V D D V D 4.7 2 -2.7
120 PATCHETT Bennett V D V D D D D 2.2 2 -0.2
120 GOESLING Jonathan D V D D V D D 3.5 2 -1.5
122 REAGAN Henry V V D D D D D 2.4 2 -0.4
123 ORMOND Andrew D D V V D D D 2.2 2 -0.2
124 LIPPMAN Elzy V D D V D D D 2.7 2 -0.7
125 REID Wesley D V D D D V D 1.0 2 +1.0
126 MARSH Alex D V D D V D D 2.4 2 -0.4
127 HAWLEY Justin D D V V D D D 0.8 2 +1.2
128 MOYLAN Matthias V D D D D V D 4.0 1 -3.0
129 SMITH Samuel J. V D D D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
130 HERRON Jonathan D D D V D 1.0 1 -
131 FAN Yuchen D D D D V 1.2 1 -0.2
132 RAPALSKI Thomas D D D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
133 MCMAHAN Christopher D. V D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
134 NG Biwon D D V D D D 3.2 1 -2.2
134 COHEN Joshua D V D D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
136 MAGNIN Lance W. D D V D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
137 KWAN Hall Gi D D D D D V 3.1 1 -2.1
138 SHILOV Maxim D D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
139 CARR Cage D D V D D D 2.2 1 -1.2
140 FESTIN Michael G. V D D D D D 2.9 1 -1.9
141 MOHAMED Sabir D V D D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
142 ANDERSON Donald D D D V D D 1.2 1 -0.2
142 POHL Philip D V D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
144 SOLONOVICH Maksim D D V D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
145 CHANDLER Cory D D D D D V 0.7 1 +0.3
146 DILLON Anik D D D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
147 DAVIDOVICH Eli D D D D V D 2.8 1 -1.8
148 LAWRENCE Brady D V D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
149 PEREZ Daniel D D D D V D 0.5 1 +0.5
150 JACKSON Nicholas D D D D D V 2.3 1 -1.3
151 WHITELOCK James R. D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
152 KELBLEY Jay D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
153 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. D D D D D D 3.8 0 -3.8
153 GATHRIGHT Anthony D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
155 SHEN Jiayi D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
156 MASK Austin D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
157 ODEA Ryan D D D D D D 2.3 0 -2.3
158 GRAVIS Martin V. D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
159 SMITH Charles D D D D D D 2.5 0 -2.5

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%