National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Alber Y. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
2 CHANG Jonathan - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
3 VADEN Oliver - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
3 SHENG Dalton - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
5 PARRISH Evan - - - - 5% 32% 62%
6 ZHAO Adam - - - - 5% 31% 63%
7 CHEN Ethan - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
8 SIMONOV Timofey - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
9 DOELL Ethan - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
10 TAN Aidan - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
11 ZHANG Jacob - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 22%
12 ZENG Rick - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
13 CHEN Hanson - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
14 GHEDINI Luca - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
15 LI Bradley - - - - 4% 27% 69%
16 LU Alex - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 10%
17 CHOI Ethan - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
18 SENIC Lucas - - - - 3% 25% 71%
19 ZHENG Marcus - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
19 DESERANNO Leander - - 2% 11% 35% 41% 11%
21 TANG Alexander L. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
22 CHAN Joseph - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
23 YANG Charles - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
24 CHOI Benjamin - 1% 8% 29% 45% 17%
25 GUTH Joseph - - - 1% 9% 35% 56%
26 YOON Aiden - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
27 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
28 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
29 ZHOU Ryan - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 14%
30 GRIGORIEV Michael - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
31 LU Kevin - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
32 TANG Terry - - - 1% 7% 36% 56%
33 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
34 CHUANG Oscar - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
35 FUKUDA Brando - 1% 7% 24% 39% 24% 5%
36 TANG Royce - - 2% 13% 35% 40% 10%
37 ZHONG Maxwell - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
38 WONG Jacob W. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 3%
38 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
40 ONG Nicholas - 1% 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
41 HAN Alexander - - 4% 17% 37% 35% 7%
42 YUE Jackson 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
43 ZHAO Nathan - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
43 YU Haochen - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 3%
45 MARISI Gabriel - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 5%
46 BAI Austin - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
47 HALIM Seif - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
47 GE Felix Fei - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
49 CHEN Matthew - - 2% 13% 35% 40% 10%
50 ONIK Ari N. 1% 6% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
51 CHANG Eric Jonathan - - 4% 19% 38% 33% 6%
52 BIELER Mason - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
53 FEDELI Francesco - - 2% 12% 42% 44%
54 TSAY Jordan R. - 2% 11% 32% 38% 17%
55 CHENG Logan - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
56 LATORRE Leonardo - 4% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
57 MO Ethan - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
58 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
59 KO Caleb - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
60 WANDJI Noah - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
61 SHIN Noah 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
61 LI Lucas - 3% 16% 37% 31% 11% 1%
63 HICKEY Connor 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
64 ZHANG Hanson 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
65 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - - 2% 11% 30% 40% 17%
66 YU William - - 5% 21% 41% 29% 3%
67 XU Nathan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
68 LI Richard - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
69 FANG Haoyu - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
70 PLUMMER Waylon - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
70 DENG David - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
72 BAKSHI Aman 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
73 SUAREZ David - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
74 HE Ian 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
75 HUA Aaron - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
76 QIAN Henry 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
77 DHOKTE Neev - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
78 MANIKTALA Suvir - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
79 XIE Jicheng - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 2%
80 YANG Tate - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 2%
81 SU Preston 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
82 QIAN Zekai 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
83 CHEN Jason 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
84 PE Noah 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
85 YU ShiYu (Henry) 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
86 TOOMRE Kai - 3% 17% 35% 33% 11%
87 TAN Xinlai 1% 7% 26% 37% 24% 5%
88 HOU Gaven - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
89 XIE Jayden - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
90 ZHOU Justin - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
91 PARK William - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
92 HARRIS Hayden 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
93 YAN Rian 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
94 KIM Gene 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
95 AHMAD Uzayr - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
95 TURNER Jackson 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
97 RAU Shogun 1% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
97 TAN Charlie 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
99 ZHAI Derrick - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
100 WANG sicheng 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
101 SICAT Justin 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
102 DANIEL Nikith 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
103 CZARNECKI Thomas 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
103 HONG Edwin 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
105 PARK Roy 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
106 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
107 YU ShiLin (Harry) - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
108 JIN Xuechong Daniel 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
109 SHAW Spencer 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
109 WANG Caleb 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
111 ANDRADE Cedric 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
112 PARK Andrew 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
113 CHEN Anson 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
114 MARTIRE Luca 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
115 HUYNH Matthew 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
116 MAO Runxian 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
117 WANG Luke 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
118 KINGSLEY Griffin - 1% 10% 29% 39% 20% 2%
119 SU Desmond 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
120 SYMMANK Callen 3% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
121 CHEN kenneth 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
122 ZHANG Max 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
123 FRASER Rhys 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
124 LIU Alex 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% -
125 REN Ryan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
126 NABASSOUA Djibril 5% 30% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
127 KIAYIAS Alexander 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
128 HE Ryan 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
129 TSENG Lucas 15% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
130 LIU Yinhong 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
130 BALES Gabriel 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
132 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
133 ZENG Albert 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
134 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 8% 1%
135 ZHAO Ryan 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
136 HUANG Jinyao - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
136 KUANG Cyrus 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
138 SHAW eric - 4% 19% 38% 29% 8% -
139 MCCONKEY Tristan 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
140 KIM Andrew 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
141 LI Jayden 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1% -
142 YANG Steve - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
142 BRITTNELL Nicolas - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
144 WEI Winston 12% 37% 36% 12% 2% - -
145 TUCKER Nechiga 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
146 ABRAMKIN Tim 15% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
147 LEE Thomas 13% 38% 33% 13% 2% -
148 HO Christopher 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
149 FOY Grant 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
150 YE Jerry 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
151 FERGUSON Levi 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3% -
152 KOE Declan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
153 JIANG Bohan 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
154 MCMILLIAN Harrison - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
155 TEH Tang-Ngu 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
155 LAM Kirin 37% 42% 18% 4% - - -
157 HU Daniel 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
158 DIFRANK Avery 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
159 GUO Joey 10% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
160 SANCHEZ Prince 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
161 ZHANG Lucas - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
162 XIAN kevin - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
163 CHEN Ryker 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
164 YANG Ethan - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
165 PAN Ethan 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
166 BLACK Henry 7% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
167 GOGOI Kavi 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
168 WENGER Liam 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
169 ALKADI Zain 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
170 BEYDOUN Sam 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
171 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
172 ZHU Randy 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
173 ZHOU Alex 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
174 DEPP Edward 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% -
175 CHANG Parker 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
176 ROBERTS Nikolai 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
177 ALVAREZ Sebastian 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
178 WANG Ancen 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
179 BOWLES Kevin 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% - -
179 DULAI Agam 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
181 POPOKH Luca 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
182 NAIR Sujit 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
183 LIU Robert 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
184 KO Darren 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
185 LIM EUNSEONG - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
186 ZHANG Jayden 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
186 HUANG Nathan 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
186 WU Thomas 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
189 SLAIN Owen 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
189 KIAYIAS Anthony 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
191 ZHAI Alex 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
191 WENGER Rowan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
191 BILLIET Greyson 37% 41% 17% 3% - - -
194 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 3% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
195 KIM Seoheul 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
196 LIN Qianzhong 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
196 YOUNG Jack 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
198 WARD Spencer 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
199 KIM Daniel 20% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
200 ULYSSE Jacob 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
201 IBRAHIM Khaden 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
202 DIMINO Kartik 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
203 HUANG Anthony 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
204 HICKEY Dylan 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
205 BELOVOLOV Fedor 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
206 BABER Shaheer 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
207 GREULICH Nikolas 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
207 SUN Evan 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
209 SANDEEP Varun 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
209 PUNG Corbin 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
211 LEE Euan 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
211 LINEBERRY CADEN 31% 43% 22% 5% - -
213 DIFRANK Tae 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
214 PARK Jayden 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
214 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
216 HU Michael 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
217 WOODTHORPE Chris 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
217 SEAL Van < 1% - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
217 MURDOCK Koichi 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
220 MCGRATH Milo 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
220 BANUELOS Dario 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
220 ZHANG Ethan 21% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
223 MERRIMAN Johnathan 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
223 VALENCIA Anthony N. 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
225 CHIANG Aiden 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
226 ALI Adam 51% 37% 11% 1% - - -
226 CRONK Trevor 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
228 TEOH Liam 63% 31% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.