National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
3 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
5 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
6 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
7 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
8 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
9 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
10 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
11 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
12 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
13 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
14 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
15 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
16 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 10%
17 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
18 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
19 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
19 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 11%
21 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
22 CHAN Joseph 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 13%
23 YANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
24 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 17%
25 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56%
26 YOON Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
27 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
28 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
29 ZHOU Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
30 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
31 LU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
32 TANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
33 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
34 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
35 FUKUDA Brando 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
36 TANG Royce 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 50% 10%
37 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
38 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
38 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
40 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
41 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 7%
42 YUE Jackson 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 1%
43 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
43 YU Haochen 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
45 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 5%
46 BAI Austin 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 18% 2%
47 HALIM Seif 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
47 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 3%
49 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
50 ONIK Ari N. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
51 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 6%
52 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
53 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
54 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
55 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
56 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
57 MO Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
58 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
59 KO Caleb 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 2%
60 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
61 SHIN Noah 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
61 LI Lucas 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 12% 1%
63 HICKEY Connor 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
64 ZHANG Hanson 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
65 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
66 YU William 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 3%
67 XU Nathan 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
68 LI Richard 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
69 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
70 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
70 DENG David 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
72 BAKSHI Aman 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
73 SUAREZ David 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
74 HE Ian 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
75 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
76 QIAN Henry 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 8% 1%
77 DHOKTE Neev 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
78 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
79 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22% 2%
80 YANG Tate 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
81 SU Preston 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
82 QIAN Zekai 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 3% -
83 CHEN Jason 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
84 PE Noah 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
85 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
86 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
87 TAN Xinlai 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
88 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
89 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
90 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
91 PARK William 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
92 HARRIS Hayden 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
93 YAN Rian 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
94 KIM Gene 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
95 AHMAD Uzayr 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
95 TURNER Jackson 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
97 RAU Shogun 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
97 TAN Charlie 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
99 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
100 WANG sicheng 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
101 SICAT Justin 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
102 DANIEL Nikith 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
103 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
103 HONG Edwin 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
105 PARK Roy 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
106 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
107 YU ShiLin (Harry) 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
108 JIN Xuechong Daniel 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
109 SHAW Spencer 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
109 WANG Caleb 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
111 ANDRADE Cedric 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
112 PARK Andrew 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
113 CHEN Anson 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
114 MARTIRE Luca 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
115 HUYNH Matthew 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
116 MAO Runxian 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
117 WANG Luke 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8% -
118 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 2%
119 SU Desmond 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
120 SYMMANK Callen 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
121 CHEN kenneth 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
122 ZHANG Max 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
123 FRASER Rhys 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
124 LIU Alex 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% -
125 REN Ryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
126 NABASSOUA Djibril 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
127 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
128 HE Ryan 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
129 TSENG Lucas 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
130 LIU Yinhong 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
130 BALES Gabriel 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
132 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
133 ZENG Albert 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
134 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
135 ZHAO Ryan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
136 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
136 KUANG Cyrus 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
138 SHAW eric 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 9% -
139 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
140 KIM Andrew 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
141 LI Jayden 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 2% -
142 YANG Steve 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% 1%
142 BRITTNELL Nicolas 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
144 WEI Winston 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
145 TUCKER Nechiga 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
146 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
147 LEE Thomas 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% -
148 HO Christopher 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
149 FOY Grant 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
150 YE Jerry 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
151 FERGUSON Levi 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
152 KOE Declan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
153 JIANG Bohan 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
154 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
155 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
155 LAM Kirin 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
157 HU Daniel 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
158 DIFRANK Avery 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
159 GUO Joey 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
160 SANCHEZ Prince 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
161 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
162 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
163 CHEN Ryker 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
164 YANG Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
165 PAN Ethan 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
166 BLACK Henry 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
167 GOGOI Kavi 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
168 WENGER Liam 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
169 ALKADI Zain 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
170 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
171 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
172 ZHU Randy 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
173 ZHOU Alex 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
174 DEPP Edward 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% -
175 CHANG Parker 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
176 ROBERTS Nikolai 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
177 ALVAREZ Sebastian 100% 64% 23% 5% - - -
178 WANG Ancen 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% 1%
179 BOWLES Kevin 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% - -
179 DULAI Agam 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
181 POPOKH Luca 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
182 NAIR Sujit 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
183 LIU Robert 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
184 KO Darren 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
185 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
186 ZHANG Jayden 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
186 HUANG Nathan 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
186 WU Thomas 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
189 SLAIN Owen 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
189 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
191 ZHAI Alex 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
191 WENGER Rowan 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
191 BILLIET Greyson 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
194 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
195 KIM Seoheul 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
196 LIN Qianzhong 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
196 YOUNG Jack 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
198 WARD Spencer 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
199 KIM Daniel 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
200 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
201 IBRAHIM Khaden 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
202 DIMINO Kartik 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
203 HUANG Anthony 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
204 HICKEY Dylan 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
205 BELOVOLOV Fedor 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
206 BABER Shaheer 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
207 GREULICH Nikolas 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
207 SUN Evan 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
209 SANDEEP Varun 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
209 PUNG Corbin 100% 97% 82% 49% 19% 4% -
211 LEE Euan 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
211 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
213 DIFRANK Tae 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
214 PARK Jayden 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
214 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
216 HU Michael 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
217 WOODTHORPE Chris 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
217 SEAL Van 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
217 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
220 MCGRATH Milo 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
220 BANUELOS Dario 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
220 ZHANG Ethan 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
223 MERRIMAN Johnathan 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
223 VALENCIA Anthony N. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
225 CHIANG Aiden 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
226 ALI Adam 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
226 CRONK Trevor 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
228 TEOH Liam 100% 37% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.