Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PETROLL Jared P. | D V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| 2 | WICKBOLDT Eric | V V D V V | V V V V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 3 | NICHOLSON Dimitri E. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 3 | JAIN Samyak | V V V V V D | V V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 5 | CLAES Thomas | V V V V V V | V V D | 2.3 | 6 | +3.7 |
| 6 | SITTER Gregoire | V V D V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 7 | CANNAERT Ethan | V D V V D V | V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 8 | SIM Ian | D V V V D | V V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 9 | WONG Ethan | V V V V V V | V D | 2.8 | 6 | +3.2 |
| 10 | LI Yunji (Rain) | V V V V V V | V D | 2.5 | 6 | +3.5 |
| 11 | KONG Martin C. | D V V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 12 | KENNY Oliver R. | V V V V V D | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 13 | LI Ethan R. | D V V V V V | V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 14 | COHEN Benjamin A. | V D V V V D | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 15 | NG Biwon | V V D V D V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 16 | WONG Preston | V V V D D | V D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 17 | LOMIO Nicholas A. | V V V D V D | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 18 | HELGE James R. | V V V V D D | D | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| 19 | PERALTA Christian | D D V V V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 20 | LIPTON Michael D. | V V D D D V | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 21 | SODHI Jaco | D D D V V V | D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 22 | CLAES Lucas | D V V D D V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 23 | CHANG Andrew | V V D V D D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 24 | MANA Arnav | D V D V D V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 25 | GUO Woody | V D D D V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 26 | CHHAJED Vaibhav | D D D D V V | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 27 | CHIEM Karen | D D V D D V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 28 | KUO Michael | D V D D V D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 29 | PRAKASH Hari | D D V D V D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 30 | STOREY Liam | D D D V D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 31 | LAURIMAA Emil | V D D D D D | V D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 32 | DUONG John | D D D D D D | V D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 33 | PERALTA Christian | D D D D V V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 34 | QIAO James | D D D D D V | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 35 | CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea | D V D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 36 | KATTAN Michel | D V D D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 37 | ZHANG Rose | D D V D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 38 | PATTERSON Liliya | D D D D D D | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 | |
| 38 | ASTLE Stephen | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 40 | BUJANOVER Maayan | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 41 | LIN Jason | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.