The Margherita Guzzi Vincenti Cup

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 8%
2 GUINAN III Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
3 SOBESHKEVYCH Roman 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
5 BEACH John 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
6 TOLLEFSEN Zachary 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
7 GLASS Timothy C 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
8 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
9 ROBBINS Christopher 100% 100% 99% 91% 52% 13% 1%
10 KUNJAN Lena 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
11 CURTY Jack 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
12 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
13 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
14 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
15 MALEADY Sean 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
16 BAMPTON Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 9%
17 BRADFORD Ethan 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
18 BISSEN Quinn 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
19 GINZBURG Adam 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
20 SWENSON Nikita 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 3%
21 RITTERBUSCH Timothy 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
22 NAGANOBORI Hiroki 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 5%
23 LORINCE Jared 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
24 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
25 ALI Adam 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
26 KOSS Harrison 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
27 STODDARD Alexander 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
28 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
29 MCDOWELL Will 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
30 BOOKWALTER James 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
31 VENKATACHALAM Panav 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
32 ST. GEORGE David J J. 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
33 LASKA Patryk 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
34 SWENSON Alexandra 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
35 SERAFYM Damian 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
36 MCCORD Jack 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
37 CASTELLANOS Rene 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% 1%
38 BURKHARDT Krista 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
39 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.