Air Force ROC (DV1A, DV2, VET) & RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Air Force Cadet Field House - Air Force Academy, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EMARA Omar 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 ELLISON Harper F. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
3 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
3 MCCOWN Ronan 100% 99% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
5 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
6 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 30%
7 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
8 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
9 LI Patrick 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
10 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
11 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
12 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
13 GASPAROVICH IV George M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
14 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
15 KIM William M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
16 GAO Zachary 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
17 LONGSHORE IZEYAH T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
18 FOWLER James A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
19 LEE Jayden J. 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
20 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
21 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
22 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
23 YU Austin 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
24 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% 1%
25 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
26 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
26 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
28 DANIS Blake M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
29 KENT V David 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
30 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
31 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
32 SPITLER Ansel 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
33 MERRIAM Isaiah G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
34 WU Alistair 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
35 HEADRICK Lance 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
36 PETERSON Matthew 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
37 PADHYE Siddhant 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
38 DANIELS Jonah 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
39 CUMMINGS Kai 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
40 HEADRICK Jack 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
41 ZHOU Austin 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
41 CHOI San 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
43 PINON Jeremiah 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
44 WONG Ethan 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
45 LEE DoWon 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
46 MILEY Walker 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
47 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 57% 11% 1% - - -
48 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
49 HAALAND Josef 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% - -
50 MALLON Jaxson 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
51 SHULL Marc 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
52 ANDERSON Donald 100% 51% 8% - - - -
53 HERRON Jonathan 100% 63% 17% 2% - - -
54 FREGGER Alex 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.