MFA Friday Night Epee (Senior Open)

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, September 29, 2023 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLAES Lucas 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
2 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
3 CANNAERT Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
3 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
5 COHEN Benjamin A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
6 NG Biwon 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
7 CHHAJED Vaibhav 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
8 PERALTA Christian 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
9 CLAES Thomas 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 4%
10 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
11 TONG Samuel 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
12 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
13 NIKIFOROV Timofei 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
14 HUSSAM hussam 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
15 GUO Woody 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
16 SODHI Jaco 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
17 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
18 SITTER Gregoire 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
19 LIN Isabel 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
20 MANA Arnav 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
21 CHIEM Karen 100% 92% 60% 21% 4% -
22 HOROWITZ Jacob 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
23 ABECK Eden 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
24 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
25 CHANG Abigail 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% -
26 ZHANG Rose 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
27 BUENAVENTURA Camden 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
28 KATTAN Michel 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
29 MAYER Bob 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
30 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
31 CONTI Braeden 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
32 KATTAN Samuel 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
33 ASTLE Stephen 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
34 SHAN Ruoheng 100% 94% 63% 18% 2% -
35 LIN Jason 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
36 DUONG John 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
37 PERALTA Christian 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.