Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC / RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
2 BAI Austin 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
3 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
5 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
6 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 11%
7 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
8 ZHANG Gavin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
9 ZHANG Hanru 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
10 KO Caleb 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
11 MO Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
12 WANG Luke 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
13 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 8%
14 TANG Royce 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
15 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
16 SHAW eric 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
17 HE Ryan 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
18 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
19 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
20 LIU Alex 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
21 REN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
22 ZHANG Ethan 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
23 XU Nathan 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
24 YU ShiLin (Harry) 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24% 2%
25 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
26 ZHAI Alex 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
27 ZHUANG Disheng E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
28 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
29 LU Jingyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
30 JIN Andy 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
31 CHEN kenneth 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
32 FONG Nicholas 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
33 LU Hansen 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
34 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
35 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
36 SIU Max 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
37 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
38 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
39 LI Jayden 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
40 WANG Ancen 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
41 NG Kai 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
42 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 3%
43 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
44 ZHANG Aaron 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
45 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
46 ZHENG Austin 100% 61% 20% 4% - -
47 HU Daniel 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
48 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
49 KAYE Ben 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
50 SINGH Jai Anand 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
51 SU Aiden 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
52 HU Michael 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
53 MAZAHERI John 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
54 NABASSOUA Djibril 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
55 WU Rayson siyu 100% 99% 83% 49% 18% 4% -
56 KUBBA Krish 100% 83% 39% 10% 1% - -
57 WEI JR Shan 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
58 TSENG Lucas 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
59 CHENUTULA Abhinav 100% 15% 1% - - - -
60 HARDWICK Alex 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
61 CHAU Ivan 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
62 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 92% 62% 26% 5% -
63 LIN Joshua 100% 98% 80% 38% 8% 1% -
64 CHEN Kyler 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
65 RYNKOWSKI Ryno 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
66 ZHAO David 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
67 HOO Bezalel 100% 98% 71% 27% 5% - -
68 PECHOTA Augustus 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.