The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Chelsea Piers - Stamford, CT - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
2 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
3 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
3 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
5 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
6 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
7 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
8 XU Nathan 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% -
9 SION Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
10 GERRISH William 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 24%
11 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
12 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 17%
13 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
14 YAVENDITTI William 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
15 HARRA Alexander 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 2%
16 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 8%
17 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
18 MARTIRE Luca 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
18 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6%
20 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
21 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% -
22 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
23 JIN Andy 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1%
24 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 4%
25 CHEN kenneth 100% 96% 71% 29% 6% -
26 MO Ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 18% 2%
27 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 1%
28 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
29 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 97% 72% 28% 5% -
30 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 99% 80% 40% 10% 1%
31 BRAIZINHA David 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
32 BO Aiden 100% 52% 9% 1% - - -
33 WU Isaac 100% 97% 61% 17% 2% -
34 WANG Luke 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
35 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 100% 97% 76% 29% 3%
36 REN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
37 ONIK Ari N. 100% 100% 89% 54% 17% 1%
38 ZHANG Ethan 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
39 REYES Yannik 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
40 ZHENG Austin 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
41 WANG Ancen 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
42 ZHANG Gavin 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
43 HART-SYED declan 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
44 FROST Chayse 100% 100% 96% 71% 21% 2%
45 LI Jayden 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 1%
46 CHUN Alexander 100% 17% 1% - - -
47 XIA Philip 100% 94% 58% 17% 2% -
48 QIAN Zekai 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
49 ZHENG Christopher 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
50 HU Daniel 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
51 CHUN Zachary 100% 65% 22% 3% - -
52 CHANG Ian 100% 33% 4% - - -
53 YOUM Tyson 100% 17% 1% - - -
54 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
55 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 98% 65% 18% 2% -
56 TIAN Dylan 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
57 HERBST Ari 100% 71% 17% 2% - - -
57 LIANG Haojia 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.