October NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Friday, October 27, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
2 KELLY Benjamin J. - - - 1% 14% 44% 41%
3 MYERS Dean - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
3 WU DING-JUN - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
5 KIM Jackson - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
6 AKYAMAC Bora - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
7 TANG Albert - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
8 XU Ethan 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
9 LIPPMAN Sam - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
10 WU Alistair - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
11 DEANS Donovan - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
12 CHAN Ian - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
13 ZHEN Ethan - - 3% 20% 44% 28% 5%
14 TAN Aidan - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
15 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
16 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
17 LEE Brendan - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
18 SHAPIRO Leon - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
19 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
20 GRISWOLD Abel B. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
21 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
22 KOVACS Wyatt - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
23 FINLEY Dylan - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
24 TAN Christien - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
25 WONG Yuheng Isaac - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
26 PARK Sky - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
27 CHENG Ethan - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 6%
28 PARRISH Evan - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
29 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
30 REICHEL Ezra 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1%
31 WANG Rory - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
32 LEUNG Jin 1% 14% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
33 BARTEL Jacob L. - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
34 LI Aaron - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
35 KRYLTSOV Michael - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
36 SHENG Dalton - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
37 HUANG Eythan - 4% 22% 39% 28% 7%
38 TIKHAEV Alexander - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
39 SHEN jinjie - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
40 WUJASTYK Leon - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
41 EDISON Ansel - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
41 HUANG Jonathan - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
43 SAH Steven - 4% 24% 44% 23% 4% -
44 KENNEDY christo 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% -
45 KIM Brian 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
46 TRIPARI Jose G. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
47 LIU William 1% 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
48 PARKER Isaiah 4% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
49 DAVIDSON Elliot - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
50 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - - 1% 7% 31% 45% 17%
51 KALIPERSAD Neil A. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
52 BAE Eugene 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
53 SMOLICH Marat - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
54 PALMA Nathan Anthony 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 1%
55 XU Andy P. - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
56 ZHANG Jacob - 9% 32% 38% 18% 3%
57 SRINIVASAN Vedant 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
58 LEE Eugene 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
59 STRINGER David - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
60 GUEVARA Isaac 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
61 XIE Buster 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
62 LEVY Jacob - 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
63 BAI Brian 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
64 FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
65 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
66 LI Toby - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
67 TITUANA Mathias 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
68 FERRER Roberto - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
69 GHAZALI Omer 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
70 ROZALSKI Eli - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
71 CHUNG Yeongbin - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
72 WU Trevor - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
73 GUTH Joseph - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
74 BERNARD Cohen 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
75 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
76 MAK Collin Chun Shing - 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
77 LIU Derek - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
78 MOE Annan 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
79 ORLOV Dmitriy - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
80 IVANENKO Alex 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
81 CHO Xzander 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
82 RAJ Jay - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12%
83 WHITE Orlando - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
84 KIM Harrison - 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
85 REYES Manuel A - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
85 XIAO Bowen - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
87 JURMAN Therin 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
88 PONS Diego - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
89 YI William - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
90 LYNCH Owen C. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
91 TANG Alexander L. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
92 CHEN Ethan 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
93 CHEN Kyle P. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
94 RIPA Joseph K. 11% 39% 35% 13% 3% - -
95 ZENG Rick - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
95 CLARK Benjamin 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
97 SUN Ryan - 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
98 CHUANG Oscar 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
99 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
100 TAM Kyle 27% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
101 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
102 WEBB Jacob T. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
102 KONG Luculentus X. 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
104 ZAIDI Adil 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
105 JIANG Bowang 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
106 AMRANI David 1% 32% 42% 20% 4% -
107 SANTOS Carlos R. - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
108 LIM Charlie 11% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
109 SIMON Luke 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
110 SEMP Iain 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
111 CHEN Zixuan 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
112 CHANG Nathan 16% 41% 31% 10% 2% - -
113 ARIZA Abraham J. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
114 YANG Dylan 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
115 ZHAO Adam - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
116 HAINES Ethan - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
117 WALKER Andrew J. 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
118 SORSAIA John 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
119 TANG August L. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 6%
120 DHANOA Kian 18% 48% 28% 5% - - -
121 YAP Nathan - 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
122 YE Gordon - 5% 20% 36% 29% 8% 1%
123 CHOI Benjamin 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
124 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
125 LIANG Gordon 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
125 GILCHRIST Matthew 2% 12% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
127 LEON Nicolas 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
128 KIM Daniel Y. 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
129 HSIAO Nicholas 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
130 YAO Bradley - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
131 SHI Dylan 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
132 KANDAGADLA Rishi 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
132 BATRA Dev 3% 22% 45% 25% 5% - -
134 ZHANG Lucas 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
135 MCKEE Calvin 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
136 MCKINNEY Isaiah - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
137 PETERSON Dale 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
138 POWELL Sean 36% 42% 18% 3% - -
139 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% -
140 TANG xianchi 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
141 PAZ Luis 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
142 EL BATTI Hedi 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
143 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
144 SICAT Justin 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
145 DAVIS Mitchell 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
146 KOE Beckett 25% 40% 25% 8% 2% - -
147 HUNTER Phillip 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
148 RODRIGUEZ VINCENT 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
149 GUTHRIE Aaron 38% 43% 17% 3% - - -
150 GALLER Dave 13% 34% 33% 16% 3% -
151 STORER Alex 10% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
152 WEISS Mateo 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
153 RIVERA IVAN 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
154 GADIYARAM Madhav 55% 38% 7% 1% - - -
154 HASBUN Christopher 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
156 KIMURA Ryo 93% 7% - - - -
157 PACK Christopher 55% 36% 9% 1% - -
158 DANS Alan 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
159 DONG Joshua 50% 41% 9% 1% - - -
160 EGE Nathan 86% 13% 1% - - - -
161 KOKKER Thomas 15% 44% 30% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.