October NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Friday, October 27, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
2 KELLY Benjamin J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
3 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
3 WU DING-JUN 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
5 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
7 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
8 XU Ethan 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
9 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 17%
10 WU Alistair 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
11 DEANS Donovan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
12 CHAN Ian 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
13 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 5%
14 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
15 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
16 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
17 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
18 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
19 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
20 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
21 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%
22 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
23 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
24 TAN Christien 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
25 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
26 PARK Sky 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
27 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
28 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
29 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
30 REICHEL Ezra 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
31 WANG Rory 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
32 LEUNG Jin 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
33 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
34 LI Aaron 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
35 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
36 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
37 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
38 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
39 SHEN jinjie 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 26% 5%
40 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
41 EDISON Ansel 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
41 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
43 SAH Steven 100% 100% 96% 72% 28% 4% -
44 KENNEDY christo 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
45 KIM Brian 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
46 TRIPARI Jose G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
47 LIU William 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
48 PARKER Isaiah 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
49 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
50 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 17%
51 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
52 BAE Eugene 100% 96% 79% 49% 20% 5% -
53 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
54 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
55 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31%
56 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 91% 59% 21% 3%
57 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
58 LEE Eugene 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
59 STRINGER David 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
60 GUEVARA Isaac 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
61 XIE Buster 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
62 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
63 BAI Brian 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
64 FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
65 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
66 LI Toby 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
67 TITUANA Mathias 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
68 FERRER Roberto 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
69 GHAZALI Omer 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
70 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
71 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 11%
72 WU Trevor 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
73 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
74 BERNARD Cohen 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
75 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
76 MAK Collin Chun Shing 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
77 LIU Derek 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
78 MOE Annan 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
79 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
80 IVANENKO Alex 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
81 CHO Xzander 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
82 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 12%
83 WHITE Orlando 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
84 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
85 REYES Manuel A 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
85 XIAO Bowen 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
87 JURMAN Therin 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
88 PONS Diego 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
89 YI William 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
90 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
91 TANG Alexander L. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
92 CHEN Ethan 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
93 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
94 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
95 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
95 CLARK Benjamin 100% 95% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
97 SUN Ryan 100% 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
98 CHUANG Oscar 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
99 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
100 TAM Kyle 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
101 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 2%
102 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
102 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
104 ZAIDI Adil 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
105 JIANG Bowang 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
106 AMRANI David 100% 99% 67% 25% 5% -
107 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
108 LIM Charlie 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
109 SIMON Luke 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
110 SEMP Iain 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
111 CHEN Zixuan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
112 CHANG Nathan 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
113 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
114 YANG Dylan 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% - -
115 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
116 HAINES Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
117 WALKER Andrew J. 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1%
118 SORSAIA John 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
119 TANG August L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
120 DHANOA Kian 100% 82% 34% 6% - - -
121 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
122 YE Gordon 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
123 CHOI Benjamin 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
124 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
125 LIANG Gordon 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 5% -
125 GILCHRIST Matthew 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
127 LEON Nicolas 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
128 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
129 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
130 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
131 SHI Dylan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
132 KANDAGADLA Rishi 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
132 BATRA Dev 100% 97% 76% 31% 5% - -
134 ZHANG Lucas 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
135 MCKEE Calvin 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
136 MCKINNEY Isaiah 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
137 PETERSON Dale 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
138 POWELL Sean 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
139 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
140 TANG xianchi 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
141 PAZ Luis 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
142 EL BATTI Hedi 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
143 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
144 SICAT Justin 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
145 DAVIS Mitchell 100% 98% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
146 KOE Beckett 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
147 HUNTER Phillip 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
148 RODRIGUEZ VINCENT 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
149 GUTHRIE Aaron 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
150 GALLER Dave 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
151 STORER Alex 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
152 WEISS Mateo 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
153 RIVERA IVAN 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
154 GADIYARAM Madhav 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
154 HASBUN Christopher 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
156 KIMURA Ryo 100% 7% - - - -
157 PACK Christopher 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
158 DANS Alan 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
159 DONG Joshua 100% 50% 9% 1% - - -
160 EGE Nathan 100% 14% 1% - - - -
161 KOKKER Thomas 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.