Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 1:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORMILE Nicholas - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
2 DJONOUMA Toyohm - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
3 XIE Brandon - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
3 BUSH Thomas - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
5 JOSLIN Tyler - - - 2% 17% 54% 26%
6 SONG Troy - 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
7 SINGH Jaysukh - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
8 REPIC Oliver - 1% 12% 36% 40% 10%
9 UNG Kai 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
10 BRINTON III Robert H. - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
11 WU Colin - 4% 21% 42% 28% 4%
12 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
13 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
14 WANG Xiangdong 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
15 JENNINGS Adin - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
16 ZHANG Dinghao 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
17 KARIMOV Amir 1% 11% 39% 36% 12% 1%
18 DORASZELSKI Mark - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
19 PAQUET Mathieu - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
20 LAPP Oliver - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
21 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
22 CHEN Jun Ho - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
22 STEVENSON Ryan 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
24 STELTENKAMP Neal - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
25 RUSSELL Edward - - 2% 14% 48% 36%
26 CHAO Warren 2% 15% 39% 35% 10%
27 HELMY Richard 18% 45% 29% 7% 1%
28 CHOU Benson - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
28 GAO Victor 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
30 PALLADINO Ben T. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
31 JIANG Matthew - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16% 2%
32 PETERSEN Zachary 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
33 NABAVI Matthew R. - - - - 7% 41% 52%
34 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
35 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
36 ZELIN Sam J. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
37 MEN Junda - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
38 SETO Jing - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
39 RIFKIND Neil - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
40 GREEN Noah J. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
41 HIGGINS Jett 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
42 PAN Anthony 2% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1% -
43 DOUBOV Andrew 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
44 DOWD Peter L. 4% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
45 KELLEY Hayden 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
46 GABAY Daniel - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
47 FEINBERG James Y. 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
48 AHMED Mohsen 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
49 CHU Brandon A. - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
50 DRYSDALE David - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
51 WONG King-Yee - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
52 HEKMAT Sina R. - - 2% 17% 48% 33%
53 KRALICEK Emmet 1% 10% 33% 41% 13% 1%
54 LENNON Nicholas - 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
55 WHITE Aidan 29% 45% 22% 4% - -
56 YU Samuel 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
57 NILSEN Mark 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2% -
58 LI Jaden 53% 38% 9% 1% - - -
59 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
60 RIM Eugene 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
61 KRISHNAN Skanda - 5% 26% 45% 25%
62 LENAR David 39% 44% 15% 2% -
63 LIU Kun 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
64 YIN Chujun 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
65 LI Ray 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
66 BUISINE Sebastien 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1% -
67 STEIN Philip 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% -
68 SOSNICK Samuel 9% 34% 40% 16% 2% -
69 BEZNEA George 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
70 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
71 WHITELOCK James R. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
72 THOMPSON Ian 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
73 LIU Jeremiah W. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
74 ZHANG Roland 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
75 LI Jade 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
76 KIM Zac 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
77 WOLFORD Benjamin 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
78 GRAYSON Joshua - 3% 24% 44% 25% 4%
79 PEDICONE Joseph 33% 50% 15% 2% - -
80 WANG Zhenhai 38% 47% 14% 2% - -
81 LEVESQUE Gabriel 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
81 ZHOU Anping 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
83 MURRAY John P. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
84 STEIN Max 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
85 LEE Wyatt 28% 46% 21% 4% - - -
86 BUISINE Aurelien 17% 40% 30% 11% 2% - -
86 LIN Yufei 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
88 KIM Nathan 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
89 ALAM Rajan 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
90 HE Yurui 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
90 MA Wilson 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
92 TARDIFF Seth 29% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
93 NABI Mikhail 2% 19% 44% 29% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.