2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEEFELDT William Henry C. - - - - 4% 26% 70%
2 WONG Baron - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
3 ROMANOV Ethan - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
3 KIM Teddy - 5% 24% 41% 25% 5%
5 GINZBURG Adam - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
6 LI zerong - - 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
7 GOROZA Eric - 6% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
8 PEREZ Daniel 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
9 BORISENKO Samuel - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
10 PARKER Isaiah - 2% 13% 36% 38% 12%
11 HERNDON Liam - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
12 ARMSTRONG TyLee - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
13 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 30%
14 SOOS Whitman 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
15 VEERAVALLI Vivek 4% 18% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
16 DENG haoyu 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
17 YANG Boyan - - - - 4% 27% 68%
18 KIM Jayden - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
19 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
20 TESFAYE Elias 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
21 DADE MAXIMUS - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
22 BARFORD Giovanni 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
23 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
24 KIM Alexander - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
25 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
26 AHMED Mohsen 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
27 DACHELET Sawyer 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
28 KUANG Bryan 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
29 TRACY James 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
30 VAN VACTER Thomas 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
31 FERGUSON Corban 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
32 LU Haoyang 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
33 TAI Edison - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
34 KOSTUSIAK Evan 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
35 CORTRIGHT Caedmon - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
36 WU Johnny y. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
37 OBREBSKI Kevin - 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
37 XU Wangzitai 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
39 QIAN Irvine - 5% 17% 32% 31% 13% 1%
40 PAN Anthony 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 3% -
41 DOUBOV Andrew - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 8%
42 LEE Aiden - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 1%
43 LESCURE Dimitri - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
44 SAUNIER Cameron - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
45 MEHROTRA Neel - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
46 RAO Neil - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
47 NEWSOM Finn 2% 16% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
48 KARIDIS-SCHNEIDER Samuel - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 3%
49 REHUREK Luke 59% 34% 6% 1% - -
50 POHL Philip 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1%
51 NAM Nathaniel 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
52 YILMAZ Tarik - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
53 WANG Devin 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
54 ZHAI Christopher 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
55 LI Tristan 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
56 SHAFFER Tyler 10% 44% 34% 10% 1% -
57 COHEN Nathan 1% 13% 38% 35% 12% 1%
58 MANGAN Hunter 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
59 FALLON Fionn 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
60 SINGLETON Aman - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 2%
61 FOX Joshua 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
62 FU Adrian 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
63 SATHYAN Dev 37% 42% 17% 3% - -
64 HUANG Ethan 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -
65 MOHSEN ahmed 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
66 DADE Augustus 18% 47% 28% 6% 1% - -
67 KIM Remington 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
68 OLSON Joseph 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
69 FALLON haoyu 30% 44% 21% 5% - -
70 MAXU Tiger 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
71 BAO Caton 4% 28% 43% 20% 4% - -
72 REYES Lucas 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -
73 XUE Kevin 64% 30% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.