2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
2 WONG Baron 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
3 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 KIM Teddy 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
5 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
6 LI zerong 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
7 GOROZA Eric 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
8 PEREZ Daniel 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
9 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
10 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
11 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
12 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
13 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
14 SOOS Whitman 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
15 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
16 DENG haoyu 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 4% -
17 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
18 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
19 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
20 TESFAYE Elias 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
21 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
22 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
23 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
24 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
25 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
26 AHMED Mohsen 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
27 DACHELET Sawyer 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
28 KUANG Bryan 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
29 TRACY James 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
30 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
31 FERGUSON Corban 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
32 LU Haoyang 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
33 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
34 KOSTUSIAK Evan 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% -
35 CORTRIGHT Caedmon 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
36 WU Johnny y. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
37 OBREBSKI Kevin 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
37 XU Wangzitai 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
39 QIAN Irvine 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
40 PAN Anthony 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
41 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
42 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
43 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 10%
44 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21%
45 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
46 RAO Neil 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
47 NEWSOM Finn 100% 98% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
48 KARIDIS-SCHNEIDER Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
49 REHUREK Luke 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
50 POHL Philip 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
51 NAM Nathaniel 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
52 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
53 WANG Devin 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
54 ZHAI Christopher 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
55 LI Tristan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
56 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 90% 46% 11% 1% -
57 COHEN Nathan 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 1%
58 MANGAN Hunter 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
59 FALLON Fionn 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
60 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22% 2%
61 FOX Joshua 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
62 FU Adrian 100% 90% 55% 20% 4% - -
63 SATHYAN Dev 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
64 HUANG Ethan 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
65 MOHSEN ahmed 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
66 DADE Augustus 100% 82% 34% 7% 1% - -
67 KIM Remington 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
68 OLSON Joseph 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
69 FALLON haoyu 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
70 MAXU Tiger 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
71 BAO Caton 100% 96% 68% 25% 4% - -
72 REYES Lucas 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
73 XUE Kevin 100% 36% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.