DCFC Champagne Challenge #2

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADDAD Justin R. - - - 1% 9% 42% 49%
2 TAMULONIS Fen C. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
3 HITCHCOCK David - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
3 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
5 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
6 JOYCE Michaela - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
7 PICCUS Isaac S. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
8 TONG Sarah Shen 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
9 PARK Faith K. - - 1% 12% 33% 38% 16%
10 HILBERT Xavier - - 5% 27% 48% 20%
11 LAMPE-VORGITY Donald D. - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
12 HODGE Jaydon L. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
13 KIM Elizabeth Y. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
14 STEVENS Daniel 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
15 RUEDA Mateo 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
16 DOAN Joseph M. - 2% 15% 41% 34% 8%
17 TAE William G. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
18 SILVA Philip - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
19 LEE Kyungmin 1% 6% 18% 31% 28% 13% 2%
20 WALTHER Bryan M. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
21 NOMANI Shibli D. - 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 6%
22 JONES Clinton 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
23 EVANS Allen L. 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
24 ADLER Ethan M. 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
25 ROTONDI Gregory V. 1% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
26 PARK Ian C. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
27 DESAMOURS Sabine I. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
28 TRIMMER Colin 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
29 DESAI Meera P. 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
30 LU Samantha R. 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
31 BOLE Samuel B. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
32 FLO Sena 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
33 ASHER Valerie - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
34 SALISBURY Cary 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
35 LEE Yedda 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
36 SEID Zachary W. 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
37 LU Sebastian X. 1% 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
38 DESAMOURS Georges H. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
39 ZHENG Yuanlong (Bill) - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
40 LI Benjamin 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
41 HENSAL Nicolas A. 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% -
42 COHN Benjamin - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
43 LU Qi 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
44 TEJADA Mikaela Aprille S. 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
45 CHAMBERS Thomas J. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
46 MURPHY Thomas P. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
47 MONTESI Eric 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
48 MILLIGAN Bruce C. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
48 MILLIGAN Lauren M. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
50 PARRIS Thomas M. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
51 REICHBACH Solomon 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
52 YOON Katherine 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
53 BAGHA Armin 10% 34% 37% 16% 2% -
54 ZHANG Caden 11% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
55 BANNEN Nicholas 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.