DCFC Champagne Challenge #2

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 49%
2 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
3 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
3 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
5 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
6 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
7 PICCUS Isaac S. 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
8 TONG Sarah Shen 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
9 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
10 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 20%
11 LAMPE-VORGITY Donald D. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
12 HODGE Jaydon L. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
13 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
14 STEVENS Daniel 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
15 RUEDA Mateo 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
16 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 8%
17 TAE William G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 17%
18 SILVA Philip 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
19 LEE Kyungmin 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 2%
20 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
21 NOMANI Shibli D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
22 JONES Clinton 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
23 EVANS Allen L. 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
24 ADLER Ethan M. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
25 ROTONDI Gregory V. 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
26 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
27 DESAMOURS Sabine I. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
28 TRIMMER Colin 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
29 DESAI Meera P. 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2% -
30 LU Samantha R. 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
31 BOLE Samuel B. 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
32 FLO Sena 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
33 ASHER Valerie 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
34 SALISBURY Cary 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
35 LEE Yedda 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 8% -
36 SEID Zachary W. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
37 LU Sebastian X. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
38 DESAMOURS Georges H. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6% -
39 ZHENG Yuanlong (Bill) 100% 100% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
40 LI Benjamin 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
41 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
42 COHN Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
43 LU Qi 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
44 TEJADA Mikaela Aprille S. 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
45 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
46 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
47 MONTESI Eric 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
48 MILLIGAN Bruce C. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
48 MILLIGAN Lauren M. 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
50 PARRIS Thomas M. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
51 REICHBACH Solomon 100% 98% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
52 YOON Katherine 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
53 BAGHA Armin 100% 90% 56% 18% 2% -
54 ZHANG Caden 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
55 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.