Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Bradley - - - - 5% 28% 67%
2 CHEN Hanson - - - - 2% 23% 75%
3 WANDJI Noah - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
3 TSE Ngon Yin Anson - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
5 DOELL Ethan - - - - 6% 33% 60%
6 SHIN Noah - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
7 LI Edison M. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
8 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
9 CHENG Logan - - - 1% 9% 48% 42%
10 ZHAO Nathan - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
11 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 2% 16% 44% 37%
12 BAI Austin - - 4% 14% 31% 35% 16%
13 HOU Gaven - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
14 HE Ryan 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
15 KO Caleb - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
16 CZARNECKI Thomas - 1% 7% 27% 41% 22% 3%
17 SIMONOV Timofey - - - - 4% 29% 67%
17 GRIGORIEV Michael - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
17 CHEN Anson - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
20 MO Ethan - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
21 SUAREZ David - - 3% 19% 46% 33%
22 JIN Andy - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
23 TANG Royce - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
24 KINGSLEY Griffin - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12% 1%
24 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
26 SLAIN Owen 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
26 KIM Gene - 1% 10% 35% 38% 15% 2%
28 TOOMRE Kai - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
29 PLUMMER Waylon - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 17%
30 XIAN kevin - - - 1% 11% 50% 38%
31 QU Zhida (richard) - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
32 HUA Aaron - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 12%
33 HUYNH Matthew - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
34 YANG Tate - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
35 KUANG Cyrus - - 3% 16% 38% 35% 7%
35 WU Wallace - - 1% 7% 31% 44% 17%
37 LU Hansen 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
38 CHEN kenneth 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
39 PAN Ethan - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
40 LU Jingyi - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
41 PARK Andrew - 5% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
42 XIE Jayden - - 3% 17% 42% 31% 7%
43 QIAN Henry - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6%
44 FANG Haoyu - - 5% 23% 41% 28% 3%
45 LIU Alex - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 4%
46 JIANG Bohan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
47 LIM EUNSEONG - - 1% 10% 35% 40% 13%
48 REN Ryan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
49 ZHANG Ethan - 2% 14% 38% 38% 8% -
50 KOE Declan 3% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
51 ZHAO Jason 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
52 ZHENG Marcus - - 5% 25% 46% 23%
53 NOVIKOV Yann - 3% 19% 43% 28% 6%
54 KIAYIAS Anthony 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4% -
55 KUO Phineas - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
56 MA Matthew - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
57 WANG Caleb - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
58 ZENG Albert - 3% 18% 41% 30% 7% -
59 LEE Thomas - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
60 ZHANG Aaron 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
61 HUANG Jinyao 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
62 QIAN Zekai - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 2%
62 MAZAHERI John 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
64 ZHENG Lerui 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
65 KOVACS Harrison - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
66 WANG Mendy - - 2% 15% 40% 38% 5%
67 KIAYIAS Alexander 2% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
68 BEYDOUN Sam - 4% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
69 CHANG Parker - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 10%
70 CHOI Hunter 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
71 LAM Kirin 18% 44% 31% 7% 1% -
72 KEEGAN Cole 1% 12% 34% 37% 13% 2% -
73 SINGH Jai Anand 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
74 FREL Vincent 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
75 ALI Adam 7% 32% 39% 18% 3% - -
76 JIN Xuechong Daniel 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
77 HART-SYED declan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
78 TSENG Lucas 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
79 CHUNG Royce 3% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
80 CAO Joshua 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
81 MORALES Tycho 4% 25% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
82 HUANG Anthony 22% 38% 27% 10% 2% - -
83 WANG Ancen - 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 2%
84 ZHENG Austin 13% 36% 33% 15% 3% - -
85 HUYNH Kaleb 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
86 WU Alexander 5% 24% 41% 25% 5% - -
87 SIU Max 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
88 JORGE Elijah 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
88 CHAU Ivan 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% - -
90 CHIANG Aiden 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
90 KAYE Ben 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
92 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
93 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
94 PITERBARG Lev 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
95 KIM Daniel 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
96 JIN Xueyuan George 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
96 GRIGORYAN Erik 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
98 DANTON Ryan 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
99 WILLIAMS Thomas 4% 26% 42% 23% 4% - -
100 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
101 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
102 LI Andrew 3% 20% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
103 LEE Kyle 11% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
104 WILSON Jacob 2% 15% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
105 KOVACH Graham 21% 48% 26% 5% - - -
106 TANG Michael 10% 35% 39% 14% 2% -
107 ULYSSE Jacob - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
108 YOUM Tyson 21% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
109 CHEN Ethan 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
110 XIANG Wangzhi 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
111 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 4% -
111 GLICKSBERG Alexander 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
113 LEE Aeden 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
114 HOARE Gabriel 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
115 PAYNE Lynas 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
116 BOSNJAK Parker 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 1% -
117 MAZAHERI Theodore 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
118 XU Kaden 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
119 HUA Isaac 11% 40% 36% 12% 2% - -
120 PACK Lindsey 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
121 PERSAUD Adi 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
122 GUGALA Frank 5% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
123 DUROCHER Greyson 30% 45% 21% 3% - -
124 SONG Enoch 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
125 JUVVADI Pratham 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4% -
126 BELL Asher 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
127 ROBERTSON Liam 49% 40% 10% 1% - - -
127 ITWARU Logan 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
129 KAJITA Grayson 18% 42% 31% 8% 1% - -
130 WEBER Andrew 26% 49% 20% 3% - - -
131 MCERLEAN Liam 69% 27% 4% - - - -
132 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 47% 40% 12% 1% - - -
133 KUTATELADZE Danieli 28% 45% 22% 4% - - -
134 CHENUTULA Abhinav 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
134 SIN Hwan 2% 27% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
136 KAZAKEVICH Kanstantsin 39% 45% 14% 2% - - -
137 KUBBA Krish 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
138 RUDDEN Trevor 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
139 KAUFFMAN JR Brian 2% 23% 39% 26% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.