Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 TSE Ngon Yin Anson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
5 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
6 SHIN Noah 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
7 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
8 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
9 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 42%
10 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
11 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
12 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
13 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
14 HE Ryan 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
15 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
16 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
17 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
17 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
17 CHEN Anson 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
20 MO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
21 SUAREZ David 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
22 JIN Andy 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
23 TANG Royce 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
24 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1%
24 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
26 SLAIN Owen 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
26 KIM Gene 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 17% 2%
28 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
29 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 17%
30 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 38%
31 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
32 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
33 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
34 YANG Tate 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
35 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 7%
35 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 17%
37 LU Hansen 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
38 CHEN kenneth 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
39 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
40 LU Jingyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
41 PARK Andrew 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
42 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 7%
43 QIAN Henry 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
44 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
45 LIU Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
46 JIANG Bohan 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
47 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 13%
48 REN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
49 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9% -
50 KOE Declan 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
51 ZHAO Jason 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
52 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
53 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 6%
54 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 99% 93% 66% 26% 4% -
55 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
56 MA Matthew 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
57 WANG Caleb 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
58 ZENG Albert 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 8% -
59 LEE Thomas 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
60 ZHANG Aaron 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
61 HUANG Jinyao 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
62 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 2%
62 MAZAHERI John 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
64 ZHENG Lerui 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
65 KOVACS Harrison 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
66 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 5%
67 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
68 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
69 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
70 CHOI Hunter 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
71 LAM Kirin 100% 82% 38% 7% 1% -
72 KEEGAN Cole 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
73 SINGH Jai Anand 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
74 FREL Vincent 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
75 ALI Adam 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% - -
76 JIN Xuechong Daniel 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
77 HART-SYED declan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
78 TSENG Lucas 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
79 CHUNG Royce 100% 97% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
80 CAO Joshua 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
81 MORALES Tycho 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% 1% -
82 HUANG Anthony 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -
83 WANG Ancen 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
84 ZHENG Austin 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
85 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
86 WU Alexander 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% - -
87 SIU Max 100% 99% 92% 68% 35% 10% 1%
88 JORGE Elijah 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
88 CHAU Ivan 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
90 CHIANG Aiden 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
90 KAYE Ben 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
92 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
93 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
94 PITERBARG Lev 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
95 KIM Daniel 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
96 JIN Xueyuan George 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 3% -
96 GRIGORYAN Erik 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
98 DANTON Ryan 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
99 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% - -
100 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
101 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
102 LI Andrew 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
103 LEE Kyle 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
104 WILSON Jacob 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
105 KOVACH Graham 100% 79% 32% 6% - - -
106 TANG Michael 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% -
107 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
108 YOUM Tyson 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% - -
109 CHEN Ethan 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
110 XIANG Wangzhi 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
111 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
111 GLICKSBERG Alexander 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
113 LEE Aeden 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
114 HOARE Gabriel 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
115 PAYNE Lynas 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
116 BOSNJAK Parker 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2% -
117 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
118 XU Kaden 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
119 HUA Isaac 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% - -
120 PACK Lindsey 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
121 PERSAUD Adi 100% 99% 90% 65% 33% 9% 1%
122 GUGALA Frank 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
123 DUROCHER Greyson 100% 70% 25% 3% - -
124 SONG Enoch 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
125 JUVVADI Pratham 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4% -
126 BELL Asher 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
127 ROBERTSON Liam 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
127 ITWARU Logan 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
129 KAJITA Grayson 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% - -
130 WEBER Andrew 100% 74% 24% 4% - - -
131 MCERLEAN Liam 100% 31% 4% - - - -
132 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
133 KUTATELADZE Danieli 100% 72% 27% 4% - - -
134 CHENUTULA Abhinav 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
134 SIN Hwan 100% 98% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
136 KAZAKEVICH Kanstantsin 100% 61% 16% 2% - - -
137 KUBBA Krish 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
138 RUDDEN Trevor 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
139 KAUFFMAN JR Brian 100% 98% 75% 36% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.