Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Lucas - - - - 2% 21% 76%
2 ZHAO Adam - - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
3 QIAN Jason H. - - - - 1% 14% 85%
3 SHENG Dalton - - 1% 6% 28% 48% 17%
5 ROZALSKI Eli - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
6 GHEDINI Luca - - - 1% 12% 45% 41%
7 GUTH Joseph - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
8 ZENG Rick - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
9 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
10 LU Nathan - - 3% 16% 39% 34% 8%
11 SUAREZ Adrian - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
12 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
13 CHEN Kyle P. - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
13 LI Bradley - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
15 WANDJI Noah - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
16 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - - 6% 25% 44% 25%
17 TANG Alexander L. - - - 1% 12% 45% 43%
17 MAZAHERI Fletcher - 1% 10% 34% 42% 13% 1%
19 PARRISH Evan - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
20 CHEN Ethan - - 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
21 CHEN Hanson - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
22 CHENG Logan - - 1% 11% 43% 44%
23 WONG Jackson - - - - 3% 22% 75%
24 SIMONOV Timofey - - 1% 7% 37% 55%
25 CHO Xzander - - 1% 8% 30% 46% 16%
26 HUA Aaron - 1% 5% 23% 40% 27% 4%
27 LI Allen - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
28 VADEN Oliver - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
29 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
30 MAO Lucas - - - 3% 19% 50% 28%
31 LI Edison M. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
32 BORKOWSKI Olgierd - - - 1% 8% 39% 53%
33 DOELL Ethan - - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
34 MANDZY Theodor - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
35 CHONG Tristan - - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
36 BAI Austin - 7% 30% 40% 18% 3% -
37 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
38 CHOI Benjamin - 1% 7% 30% 47% 15%
39 KO Caleb - - 5% 24% 48% 22%
40 LEE Charles T 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7%
41 KINGSLEY Griffin 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
42 SUAREZ David - - 4% 19% 40% 31% 6%
43 HUANG Chenghan - 3% 15% 36% 34% 11% 1%
44 ZHAO Nathan - - 1% 7% 33% 44% 16%
45 ZHANG GAVIN J - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
46 KOE Declan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
47 DIAZ Gabriel - 1% 13% 44% 34% 7% -
48 MARTIN Darius - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
49 MO Ethan - 1% 5% 20% 40% 31% 3%
49 JIMENEZ Naveen - - - 3% 20% 51% 26%
51 ZHENG Marcus - 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 4%
52 CHUANG Oscar - - 2% 14% 38% 35% 11%
53 PAN Ethan - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16% 1%
53 LU Jingyi - - 1% 11% 39% 38% 10%
55 HOU Gaven - 2% 13% 36% 37% 13% -
56 YU William - - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
56 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - 5% 30% 46% 17% 2%
58 HE Ryan 5% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
59 WONG Jacob W. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
60 TOOMRE Kai 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
61 SUN Henry - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
62 LIM EUNSEONG - 2% 14% 37% 36% 12% -
63 KOE Beckett 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
64 BAKSHI Aman 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
65 YANG Tate - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 2%
66 QIAN Zekai 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
67 XIE Jicheng 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
68 GRIGORIEV Michael - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
69 SHIN Noah 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
70 CHEN Anson 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
71 CAO Justin - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
72 HAN Alexander - - 5% 23% 42% 28% 2%
73 TSE Ngon Yin Anson - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
74 KIM Gene - 4% 21% 41% 27% 7% 1%
75 DHOKTE Neev - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
76 HELMY Richard 1% 11% 35% 39% 13% 1%
77 LIANG Haojia 12% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
78 FRASER Rhys 1% 12% 38% 35% 12% 2% -
79 SENANI Arjun - 4% 22% 41% 27% 5% -
80 ONIK Ari N. - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
81 PETINO Leonardo 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4% -
82 FOGELSON Hugh - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 1%
83 WANG Ancen 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
84 DI TELLA Ulises - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
85 KNIBBE Nathan - 2% 12% 34% 36% 14% 2%
86 GERRISH William - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 6%
87 ABRAMKIN Tim 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
88 SICAT Justin 2% 14% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
89 TEH Tang-Ngu 5% 29% 40% 21% 5% - -
90 MARTIRE Luca - 11% 38% 37% 13% 1% -
91 TANG Royce - 7% 29% 41% 19% 3% -
92 XIE Jayden 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
93 GRACEY Gavin 2% 16% 37% 35% 9% 1% -
94 JAZWINSKI Ryan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
95 ULYSSE Jacob 4% 30% 41% 20% 4% - -
96 SHAW Spencer 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
97 KIAYIAS Alexander 6% 27% 40% 22% 4% -
98 XU Joseph 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% -
99 KUO Phineas 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
100 PLUMMER Waylon - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
101 KAYE Ben 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
102 JIN Xuechong Daniel 7% 32% 38% 19% 4% - -
103 QU Zhida (richard) - 3% 18% 39% 32% 7% 1%
104 PARK Andrew 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
105 JIANG Bohan 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
105 HUANG Jinyao 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
107 CHEN kenneth - 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
108 QIAN Henry 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
109 ZHENG Austin 12% 37% 37% 13% 1% - -
110 MA Matthew 4% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
111 JIN Andy 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
112 HART-SYED declan 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
113 FANG Haoyu - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
114 NOVIKOV Yann - 5% 23% 39% 25% 6% -
115 REN Ryan 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
116 HUYNH Matthew 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
117 SLAIN Owen 4% 25% 42% 24% 5% -
118 ZHAO Jason 3% 17% 38% 33% 9% 1%
119 PAN Howard Haoran 3% 22% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
120 KOVACS Harrison 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
121 WANG Caleb 3% 22% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
122 TSENG Lucas 12% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
122 CHUN Zachary 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
124 KRZYWON Dylan 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
125 KRETZER Joseph 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
126 CHIANG Aiden 41% 40% 16% 3% - - -
127 CHANG Xavier 25% 47% 23% 4% - - -
128 YOUM Tyson 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
129 ZHENG Lerui 1% 24% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
130 LEE Thomas 2% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
131 GRIGORYAN Erik 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
132 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 15% 42% 34% 9% 1% - -
133 BOWLES Kevin 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
134 NOLAN Tyler 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
135 KIM Daniel 33% 46% 19% 3% - - -
136 ZHANG Ethan 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
137 LEE Aeden 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
138 ROBERTSON Liam 79% 20% 2% - - - -
139 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
140 COSSROW Alex 7% 35% 40% 16% 2% -
141 CHOI Jackson 11% 42% 34% 11% 1% -
142 KARLEKAR Ved 52% 38% 9% 1% - -
143 XIANG Wangzhi 43% 41% 13% 2% - - -
144 CHANG Parker 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
145 PARMAR Veer 17% 42% 32% 8% 1% - -
146 CHA James 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
147 OLSON Evan 12% 43% 37% 8% 1% - -
148 ZENG Albert 1% 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
149 LIU Anthony 10% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
150 DEFFENBAUGH Vasily 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
151 LAM Kirin 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
152 FRIEDMAN Marcus 46% 43% 10% 1% - - -
153 CHUN Alexander 52% 40% 8% - - - -
154 SINCAVAGE Louis 8% 38% 42% 11% 1% - -
155 ALI Adam 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
156 MISHRA Kartikaye 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
157 LIU Robert 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
157 HUANG Anthony 28% 43% 23% 5% - -
159 CHOI Hunter 14% 42% 32% 10% 1% - -
160 PAYNE Lynas 5% 43% 38% 12% 1% - -
160 CHANG Zane 22% 49% 24% 4% - - -
160 BEREKNYEI Lukas 4% 36% 41% 17% 3% - -
160 ST CLAIR Lauriston 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
164 NELKA Brenden 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
165 STANSBURY Desmond 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
165 KING Joshua 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
167 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 87% 13% 1% - - - -
168 ALLEN Augustus 67% 29% 4% - - - -
169 DAVIDSON Isaac 3% 21% 43% 26% 6% - -
170 KIRK Sawyer 21% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.