Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
3 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 17%
5 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
6 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 41%
7 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
8 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
9 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
10 LU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 8%
11 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
12 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
13 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
13 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
15 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
16 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
17 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
17 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13% 1%
19 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
20 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
21 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
22 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
23 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
24 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
25 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 16%
26 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
27 LI Allen 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
28 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
29 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
30 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 28%
31 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
32 BORKOWSKI Olgierd 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
33 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
34 MANDZY Theodor 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
35 CHONG Tristan 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
36 BAI Austin 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 3% -
37 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
38 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 15%
39 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 22%
40 LEE Charles T 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
41 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
42 SUAREZ David 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
43 HUANG Chenghan 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12% 1%
44 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 16%
45 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
46 KOE Declan 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
47 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 86% 41% 8% -
48 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
49 MO Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 34% 3%
49 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 26%
51 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 4%
52 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 11%
53 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 1%
53 LU Jingyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 10%
55 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% -
56 YU William 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
56 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 18% 2%
58 HE Ryan 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
59 WONG Jacob W. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6%
60 TOOMRE Kai 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
61 SUN Henry 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
62 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% -
63 KOE Beckett 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
64 BAKSHI Aman 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
65 YANG Tate 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
66 QIAN Zekai 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
67 XIE Jicheng 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 5% -
68 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
69 SHIN Noah 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 5% -
70 CHEN Anson 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
71 CAO Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
72 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 2%
73 TSE Ngon Yin Anson 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
74 KIM Gene 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1%
75 DHOKTE Neev 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
76 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 88% 53% 14% 1%
77 LIANG Haojia 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
78 FRASER Rhys 100% 99% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
79 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6% -
80 ONIK Ari N. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
81 PETINO Leonardo 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4% -
82 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
83 WANG Ancen 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
84 DI TELLA Ulises 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
85 KNIBBE Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 16% 2%
86 GERRISH William 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 6%
87 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
88 SICAT Justin 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
89 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
90 MARTIRE Luca 100% 100% 89% 51% 14% 1% -
91 TANG Royce 100% 100% 92% 63% 22% 3% -
92 XIE Jayden 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
93 GRACEY Gavin 100% 98% 82% 45% 10% 1% -
94 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
95 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 96% 66% 25% 4% - -
96 SHAW Spencer 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
97 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
98 XU Joseph 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
99 KUO Phineas 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
100 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
101 KAYE Ben 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
102 JIN Xuechong Daniel 100% 93% 61% 23% 5% - -
103 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8% 1%
104 PARK Andrew 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
105 JIANG Bohan 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
105 HUANG Jinyao 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
107 CHEN kenneth 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% -
108 QIAN Henry 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
109 ZHENG Austin 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
110 MA Matthew 100% 96% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
111 JIN Andy 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
112 HART-SYED declan 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1% -
113 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
114 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% -
115 REN Ryan 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
116 HUYNH Matthew 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3%
117 SLAIN Owen 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% -
118 ZHAO Jason 100% 97% 80% 42% 9% 1%
119 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 97% 75% 32% 6% 1% -
120 KOVACS Harrison 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
121 WANG Caleb 100% 97% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
122 TSENG Lucas 100% 88% 52% 15% 2% - -
122 CHUN Zachary 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
124 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
125 KRETZER Joseph 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
126 CHIANG Aiden 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
127 CHANG Xavier 100% 75% 27% 4% - - -
128 YOUM Tyson 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
129 ZHENG Lerui 100% 99% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
130 LEE Thomas 100% 98% 84% 45% 12% 1%
131 GRIGORYAN Erik 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
132 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 85% 43% 10% 1% - -
133 BOWLES Kevin 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
134 NOLAN Tyler 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
135 KIM Daniel 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
136 ZHANG Ethan 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
137 LEE Aeden 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
138 ROBERTSON Liam 100% 21% 2% - - - -
139 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
140 COSSROW Alex 100% 93% 58% 18% 2% -
141 CHOI Jackson 100% 89% 46% 12% 1% -
142 KARLEKAR Ved 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
143 XIANG Wangzhi 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
144 CHANG Parker 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
145 PARMAR Veer 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% - -
146 CHA James 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
147 OLSON Evan 100% 88% 45% 8% 1% - -
148 ZENG Albert 100% 99% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
149 LIU Anthony 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
150 DEFFENBAUGH Vasily 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
151 LAM Kirin 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% - -
152 FRIEDMAN Marcus 100% 54% 11% 1% - - -
153 CHUN Alexander 100% 48% 9% - - - -
154 SINCAVAGE Louis 100% 92% 54% 12% 1% - -
155 ALI Adam 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
156 MISHRA Kartikaye 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
157 LIU Robert 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
157 HUANG Anthony 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
159 CHOI Hunter 100% 86% 44% 12% 2% - -
160 PAYNE Lynas 100% 95% 51% 13% 2% - -
160 CHANG Zane 100% 78% 29% 5% - - -
160 BEREKNYEI Lukas 100% 96% 60% 19% 3% - -
160 ST CLAIR Lauriston 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
164 NELKA Brenden 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
165 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
165 KING Joshua 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
167 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 13% 1% - - - -
168 ALLEN Augustus 100% 33% 5% - - - -
169 DAVIDSON Isaac 100% 97% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
170 KIRK Sawyer 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.