Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SO Lorenzo | D V V V V | V V V V V | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 2 | WALLACE James | V V D V V V | V V V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 3 | YI Nathan | D D V V V D | V V V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 3 | YU Samuel | D D D V D D | V V V V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 5 | CHRISTY Peter C. | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| 6 | NORWOOD Malik | D V V D V V | V V V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 7 | HU Robert J. | V D V D D V | V V V D | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| 8 | LEE Aiden | D D D V V | V V V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 9 | TOMASZEWSKI Joshua | V V V V V | V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 10 | RIM Eugene | V V V D V V | V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 11 | YAP Nathan | D V V V D V | V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 12 | ROTHKA Spencer J. | V D V V V D | V V D | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| 13 | TIRADO Giancarlo | V V D V D V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 14 | SINGH Ravin | D D V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 15 | RUSSELL James | D V D D D V | V V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 16 | PALAMARCHUK Andriy | V D D D D | V V D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 17 | KE Sebastian | V V V V V V | D | 2.6 | 6 | +3.4 |
| 18 | PETROW Zoryan | V V D V V V | D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 19 | LEE DoWon | V V V V V D | D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 20 | CHUNG Andrew | V V V D V | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 21 | BERNARD Jack B. | V V V V D | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 22 | NORMILE Nicholas | V D V V D V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 23 | LEE Aiden | V D V V V D | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 24 | PAL Ian K. | D V D V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 25 | BANNEN Nicholas | V V D D V V | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 26 | CHENH Justin | D V D V V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 27 | LIN Zizhen | V V D D V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 28 | ANAFI Ari | D V D V D V | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 29 | ARMSTRONG TyLee | D V D D V V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 30 | PENG Yue | D D V V V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 31 | LEE Benjamin | V V D D V D | V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 32 | BUI Ryan | V D V D D D | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 33 | YIN Chujun | V V V V D D | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 34 | MORTIMER Gavin | V V V D D V | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 35 | BUCCELLATO Joel S. | V V D V D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 36 | CHEMEZOV Trent | V D D V D V | D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 37 | KIM Joshua | V D V D D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 38 | METZLER Calder | V D D V V D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 39 | CARNALL Hunter | D V D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 40 | SUN Ethan | V D V D D | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 41 | JARRATT Isaac | D D V D V D | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 42 | ZHANG Sen | V D D V D D | D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| 43 | JONES Jackson | D D V D V D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 44 | CHHU Allen | D V D D D V | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 45 | MANITT Philip | D D V D V D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 46 | YAO Andrew | D D V V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 47 | NALLICHERI Ayaan | D D V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 48 | JARRELL Keegan | D V D D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 49 | THORN Evan | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 50 | BYUN Andrew | D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 51 | MARKOWITZ Sam | D D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| 52 | ALEXANDER Jacksen | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 53 | RUSSELL Tallis | D D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| 53 | KNIGHT Ryan | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.