Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SO Lorenzo - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
2 WALLACE James - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
3 YI Nathan 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
3 YU Samuel 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
5 CHRISTY Peter C. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
6 NORWOOD Malik - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
7 HU Robert J. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
8 LEE Aiden 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
9 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
10 RIM Eugene 3% 13% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1%
11 YAP Nathan 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
12 ROTHKA Spencer J. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
13 TIRADO Giancarlo - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
14 SINGH Ravin - 3% 16% 35% 34% 13%
15 RUSSELL James 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
16 PALAMARCHUK Andriy - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
17 KE Sebastian 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% < 1%
18 PETROW Zoryan - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
19 LEE DoWon - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
20 CHUNG Andrew 1% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2%
21 BERNARD Jack B. - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
22 NORMILE Nicholas - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 6%
23 LEE Aiden 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 9% 1%
24 PAL Ian K. - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
25 BANNEN Nicholas - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
26 CHENH Justin - 2% 9% 24% 33% 24% 7%
27 LIN Zizhen 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1%
28 ANAFI Ari 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
29 ARMSTRONG TyLee 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
30 PENG Yue 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
31 LEE Benjamin 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
32 BUI Ryan 22% 38% 27% 10% 2% - -
33 YIN Chujun 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
34 MORTIMER Gavin - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
35 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4%
36 CHEMEZOV Trent - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
37 KIM Joshua 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
38 METZLER Calder 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
39 CARNALL Hunter 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
40 SUN Ethan 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
41 JARRATT Isaac 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
42 ZHANG Sen - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
43 JONES Jackson 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
44 CHHU Allen 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
45 MANITT Philip 8% 26% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
46 YAO Andrew 2% 14% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
47 NALLICHERI Ayaan 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
48 JARRELL Keegan 11% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
49 THORN Evan 69% 27% 4% - - -
50 BYUN Andrew 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
51 MARKOWITZ Sam 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
52 ALEXANDER Jacksen 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
53 RUSSELL Tallis 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
53 KNIGHT Ryan 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.