Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Clayton - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
2 WOLFE Alex - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 TIKHONOV Iliya - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
3 CHEN Brian - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
5 FISHMAN Rahm - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
6 WU Jonathan - - - - 5% 30% 65%
6 MEGGERS Davin - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
8 MODANLOU Navid - 2% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
9 GLENNON Sebastian J. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
10 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
11 CLICK Tristan - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
11 PETROW Zoryan - - 5% 23% 41% 26% 3%
13 CHUNG Andrew - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
14 RIM Eugene 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
15 HU Robert J. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
16 YANG Gary 1% 11% 29% 35% 18% 4% -
17 YU Jason - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 1%
18 SAUNIER Cameron - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
19 ARMSTRONG TyLee 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
20 GANTSOUDES Isaac 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
21 DAN Rex - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
22 CHHU Allen - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
23 ANAFI Ari 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
24 SZIEDE Kieran 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
25 HEADRICK Lance - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
26 TIKHONOV Daniel - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 9%
27 LEE DoWon - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
28 HULL Liam - - 5% 23% 41% 27% 4%
28 NORMILE Nicholas - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
30 KE Sebastian 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
31 YU Samuel 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
32 YI Nathan - 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
33 RUSSELL James - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
34 LAI Boden - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
35 LEE Aiden 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
36 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
37 KIM Joshua 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
38 SODANI Luke 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
39 HAN Sam - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
40 LAPP Oliver 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
41 JONES Jackson - 10% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
42 CARNALL Hunter - 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
43 LEE Aiden - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
44 REKHI Krish 4% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
45 RAPALSKI Thomas 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
45 HEADRICK Jack - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
45 YIN Chujun 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
48 MAROCHNIK Daniel - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
49 PAL Ian K. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
49 DONNELLY Enzo 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
51 EVANS George 4% 44% 38% 12% 2% - -
52 DOAN Christopher 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
53 ALI Farhan 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5%
54 NALLICHERI Ayaan 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
55 PENG Yue 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
56 BOUDREAUX James - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
57 BUI Ryan 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
58 ALEXANDER Jacksen 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
59 WANG Aiden 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
60 SUNKARA Vishnu 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
61 KAPLAN Maddox 27% 46% 22% 4% - - -
61 LEE Benjamin 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
63 SUN Ethan 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
64 KONG Brandon 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
65 ROBERT Oliver - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
66 SINHA Rounawk 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
67 WEIKEL Joel 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
68 TSEN Mason 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
69 THORN Evan 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
70 MARKOWITZ Sam 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
71 WINGFIELD Jack 9% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
72 GHAJAR Danial 84% 15% 1% - - - -
73 GAYLE Fletcher 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
74 JARRATT Isaac 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
75 DOHR Nathan 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
76 MAXWELL Sheito 6% 40% 37% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.