Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
2 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
3 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
5 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
6 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
6 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
8 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
9 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
10 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
11 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
11 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 3%
13 CHUNG Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
14 RIM Eugene 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
15 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
16 YANG Gary 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
17 YU Jason 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
18 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
19 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
20 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
21 DAN Rex 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
22 CHHU Allen 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
23 ANAFI Ari 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
24 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
25 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
26 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
27 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
28 HULL Liam 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
28 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
30 KE Sebastian 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
31 YU Samuel 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
32 YI Nathan 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -
33 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
34 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
35 LEE Aiden 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
36 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
37 KIM Joshua 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
38 SODANI Luke 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
39 HAN Sam 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
40 LAPP Oliver 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
41 JONES Jackson 100% 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
42 CARNALL Hunter 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
43 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
44 REKHI Krish 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
45 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
45 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
45 YIN Chujun 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
48 MAROCHNIK Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
49 PAL Ian K. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
49 DONNELLY Enzo 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
51 EVANS George 100% 96% 51% 13% 2% - -
52 DOAN Christopher 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
53 ALI Farhan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
54 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
55 PENG Yue 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
56 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
57 BUI Ryan 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
58 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
59 WANG Aiden 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
60 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
61 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
61 LEE Benjamin 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
63 SUN Ethan 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
64 KONG Brandon 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
65 ROBERT Oliver 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
66 SINHA Rounawk 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
67 WEIKEL Joel 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
68 TSEN Mason 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
69 THORN Evan 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
70 MARKOWITZ Sam 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
71 WINGFIELD Jack 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
72 GHAJAR Danial 100% 16% 1% - - - -
73 GAYLE Fletcher 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
74 JARRATT Isaac 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
75 DOHR Nathan 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
76 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 94% 54% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.