DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
2 NORTH Gary S. - - - 3% 28% 68%
3 CARTER Austin L. - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
3 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 1% 10% 35% 43% 10%
5 DICKENS Robert W. - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
6 SU Caleb - - 3% 23% 47% 27%
7 LI Benjamin - 2% 17% 42% 32% 6%
8 WOZNIAK Fryderyk - 3% 20% 48% 26% 3%
9 LE BORGNE Matthieu - 1% 6% 27% 41% 21% 3%
10 CHEN Brian - - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
11 HULL Liam - 11% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
12 TIKHONOV Iliya - - 1% 12% 35% 38% 13%
13 TIKHONOV Daniel 2% 13% 36% 36% 13% 1%
14 LEE Aiden 2% 25% 45% 24% 4% -
15 LEE Aiden 16% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
16 SUH David - 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
17 WANG Clayton - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
18 HITCHCOCK David - - - 6% 27% 45% 22%
19 YU Jason - 4% 30% 42% 19% 4% -
20 HEADRICK Jack 6% 35% 44% 14% 1% -
21 TABLEMAN Doug S. - - 2% 20% 47% 31%
22 HEADRICK Lance - - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
23 LEE JoonWon - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 6%
24 TAMULONIS Fen C. - 4% 22% 39% 28% 7%
25 BANNEN Nicholas 11% 38% 39% 11% 1% -
26 HANSEN Lars - 1% 7% 29% 43% 21%
27 SO Lorenzo 2% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1%
28 GRUPP Tristan E. - - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
29 SWENSON Keane J. - - 6% 35% 48% 10%
30 KIM Joshua 22% 45% 27% 5% - -
31 SNIDER Jeffrey H. - 1% 13% 39% 38% 9%
32 LEE DoWon - 5% 32% 42% 18% 3% -
33 YAKIMENKO Andrei - 2% 16% 43% 31% 7%
34 DEUCHER Joseph H. - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
35 YI Nathan 4% 24% 42% 23% 5% - -
36 YAP Nathan 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
37 WRANA Alec C. 3% 20% 40% 29% 7% 1%
38 MODANLOU Navid 4% 37% 42% 15% 2% -
39 WU Shaochi 21% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
40 ACKLAND Matthew 31% 45% 21% 4% - -
40 WANG Aiden 35% 45% 18% 3% - -
42 BUI Ryan 60% 34% 6% - - -
43 KONG Brandon 28% 46% 22% 4% - - -
44 GANTSOUDES Isaac 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
45 LEE Benjamin 25% 45% 24% 5% - - -
46 EVANS George 5% 62% 28% 4% - - -
47 ARMSTRONG TyLee 26% 46% 24% 4% - -
48 SEID Zachary W. 8% 42% 39% 10% 1% -
48 WATERS Nathaniel 81% 18% 1% - - -
50 GHAJAR Danial 90% 10% - - - - -
51 KISH Christina 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.