DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
2 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
3 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
3 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 10%
5 DICKENS Robert W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
6 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 27%
7 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 80% 38% 6%
8 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 97% 77% 29% 3%
9 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 3%
10 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
11 HULL Liam 100% 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
12 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
13 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 98% 86% 50% 14% 1%
14 LEE Aiden 100% 98% 74% 28% 5% -
15 LEE Aiden 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% -
16 SUH David 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
17 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
18 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 22%
19 YU Jason 100% 100% 96% 65% 23% 4% -
20 HEADRICK Jack 100% 94% 59% 15% 1% -
21 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 31%
22 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
23 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
24 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
25 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 89% 51% 12% 1% -
26 HANSEN Lars 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
27 SO Lorenzo 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
28 GRUPP Tristan E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
29 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 100% 93% 58% 10%
30 KIM Joshua 100% 78% 32% 5% - -
31 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 99% 85% 46% 9%
32 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 95% 63% 21% 3% -
33 YAKIMENKO Andrei 100% 100% 98% 81% 38% 7%
34 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
35 YI Nathan 100% 96% 71% 29% 6% - -
36 YAP Nathan 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
37 WRANA Alec C. 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1%
38 MODANLOU Navid 100% 96% 59% 17% 2% -
39 WU Shaochi 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% -
40 ACKLAND Matthew 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
40 WANG Aiden 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
42 BUI Ryan 100% 40% 6% - - -
43 KONG Brandon 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
44 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
45 LEE Benjamin 100% 75% 30% 5% - - -
46 EVANS George 100% 95% 33% 5% - - -
47 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 74% 27% 4% - -
48 SEID Zachary W. 100% 92% 50% 11% 1% -
48 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 19% 1% - - -
50 GHAJAR Danial 100% 10% - - - - -
51 KISH Christina 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.