March NAC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Friday, March 1, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CARCELLER Bernardita (Tini) - - - - 3% 25% 72%
2 FU Shannon - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
3 WANG Nicole - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
3 CAYETANO Audrey - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
5 WU Jessica - - - - 2% 23% 75%
6 LI Anna - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
7 YU Chloe - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
8 KOU Cynthia - 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
9 XU Chenyu - - - 2% 11% 37% 51%
10 CHEN Laila 6% 28% 39% 22% 4%
11 SUN Milly 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
12 OLELE Ifechi - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
13 VEGA-BRANDT Gabriella - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
14 QIAO Lori-Ann 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
15 CHEN Madeline - 1% 9% 29% 40% 19% 2%
16 XU Aasta 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
17 FAN Joy - 2% 11% 27% 35% 20% 4%
18 LI Ariel - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
19 LI Allison - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
20 FRANGER Emma 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 8% -
21 VIJAY Vaishnavi 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
22 ARNOLD Evangeline - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
23 RAJ Indra 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2% -
24 CHOI Arianna - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
25 JIANG Ziqing - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
26 FLYNN Kensington - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
27 KIM Abigail - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
28 LEE Zoe 2% 21% 38% 28% 10% 1% -
29 ZHAO Ellie 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
30 WANG Yvonne 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
31 BERESTOVITSKY Eva 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
32 VOO Evelyn 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
33 MIAO Anthea 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
34 CHEN Stephanie - 1% 5% 21% 41% 30% 3%
35 DU Chelsea - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
36 XIONG Alice - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 4%
37 NAZIR Farah 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
38 MOKRETSOV Leah - 3% 16% 37% 34% 11%
39 DU Chloe 4% 26% 43% 24% 3%
40 RAJPUT Mahek 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
41 XI Emily - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 1%
42 KASHUBA Mila 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
43 MEGGERS Arya 23% 44% 26% 6% 1%
44 ZHAO Crystal 4% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1%
45 YANG Nina 13% 39% 35% 12% 2% -
46 SUN Joanna 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
47 SHABASHOVA Veronika - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
48 SCHLIEP Camellia - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
49 LIU Emma - 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
50 MUKKU Emily 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
51 REN Harper 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
52 WONG Isabelle 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
53 JOE Everly 3% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
54 CHONG Emma 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
55 YANG Arianna 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
56 YU Elise 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
57 KWAK Olivia 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
58 MICHAEL Vella 2% 19% 41% 31% 7%
59 HE Elsa 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
60 CHIN Riley 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
61 HUANG Jui-An 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
62 MENDIRATTA Olivia 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
63 PARKE Jaime 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
64 VILLER Alice 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
65 JIANG Ziqi 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
66 YAO Astrid 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
67 SUN Annika 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
68 AINSWORTH Esme 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
69 SHIH Cayla 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
71 WANG Phoebe 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
72 YOON Adeline 65% 29% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.