March NAC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 2, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NEELAM Navya - - - 1% 10% 41% 47%
2 XU Serena - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 HABEK Sophia - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 ABUELFUTUH Sama - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
5 FRANGER Macy - - - 3% 19% 50% 28%
6 TISMENSKY Abigail - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 8%
7 WU Jessica - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
8 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
9 MA Sophie - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
10 HANKINS Morgan - - - 4% 31% 65%
11 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
12 QI Julieanne - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
13 KROPP Anne - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
14 ADYANTHAYA Anika - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
15 CHERNIS Liah - 1% 9% 25% 37% 24% 4%
16 HOLDEN Helena - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11% 1%
17 JORDAN Zoe - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
18 PEI Claire - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
19 CARCELLER Bernardita (Tini) - 1% 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
20 OLELE Ifechi 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
21 NGUYEN Renee - - 3% 15% 38% 38% 6%
22 ANEZIOKORO Zahra - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
23 HE Anna - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
24 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
25 BOROTKO Katerina - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
26 LI Alice - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
27 TISMENSKY Avital - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
28 LI Anna - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
29 MERRIMAN Rie 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
30 VOSKOV Olivia - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
31 VIJAY Vaishnavi - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
32 MOHAN Riya - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
33 ZHAO Yanning - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
34 WANG Cecilia - 1% 5% 22% 38% 28% 6%
35 DESAI Ela - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
35 LEE Kaitlyn 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
37 TAM Connie - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
38 WU Michelle - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
39 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 3% 19% 40% 31% 7% -
40 LEE Gloria Y. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
41 WANG Angelina - - - 4% 22% 52% 22%
42 KARTHIK Diya 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
43 KOU Cynthia 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
44 FISCHBEIN Quinley - 1% 8% 31% 48% 12%
45 HUANG Selina 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
46 NING Miranda 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
46 EKSHTUT Leah - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
48 TREPANIER Georgina - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
49 CHEN Alina 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
50 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
51 DENEALE Lucia 13% 37% 35% 14% 2%
52 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
53 ROMANOV Mia 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
54 FU Shannon - 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6%
55 DYMAR Anna - 2% 15% 39% 35% 8% 1%
56 WANG Chloe - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
57 ZHU Una - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
58 WANG Nicole - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
59 XU Mulan 4% 25% 42% 24% 5% - -
60 ARULKUMAR Lashia 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
61 CHEN Madeline 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
62 LI Carlie 24% 42% 26% 7% 1%
63 LEE Adelynn 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
64 CHI Zoe 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
65 SONG Sunny - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
66 PETROFF Eva - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
67 XU Jessica - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
68 CHOI Arianna 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
69 KONG Mila W. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
70 DHAIYA Tanya - 2% 12% 27% 34% 20% 4%
70 KIM Vivian - 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 4%
72 YANG Eleanor - 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
73 BURKS Madison - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
74 RAMEY Alexa - 5% 22% 42% 27% 4% -
75 SUN Karolyn 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
76 SUNG Audrey 1% 11% 33% 35% 16% 4% -
77 YOUN Kylie 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
78 GRIGORYAN Amaliya 10% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
79 CHEN Dian 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
80 DU Chloe - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
81 XU Chenyu - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
82 LEE Eden 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
83 MIYOSHI Kylie 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
84 HALE Reagan 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
85 DEARBORN Josie 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
86 MEGGERS Arya 11% 36% 36% 14% 3% - -
87 FAN Joy 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
88 MIAO Anthea 14% 39% 34% 12% 1% -
89 CAYETANO Audrey - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
89 MIXON Ivory 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
91 CHANG Allison 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
92 SCHULTZ Sumi 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
92 XIONG Alice 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
94 CHEN Stephanie 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
95 RASHID Summer 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
96 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
97 LI Jasmine 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
98 YU Chloe - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
99 ZHAO Ellie 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
100 CHEN Julia Z. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
101 RAJPUT Mahek 1% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
102 CHEN Laila 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
103 MAENG Gloria 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
103 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
105 LI Ariel 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
106 RAJ Indra 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
107 ZHAO Emma 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
108 SUN Milly 4% 23% 40% 26% 5% -
109 XU Aasta 40% 41% 15% 3% - -
110 WANG Chantal 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
111 JIANG chenxi 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
112 DESAI Eesha 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
113 JU Jennifer 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
114 CHO Jacey 6% 36% 38% 16% 3% - -
115 MOKRETSOV Leah 6% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
116 LI Allison 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 2% -
117 DU Chelsea 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
118 QIAO Lori-Ann 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
119 REN Ivanka 9% 32% 36% 19% 5% - -
120 ZU Jacqueline 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
121 KIM Abigail 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
122 MUKKU Emily 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
123 KELLER Mia 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
124 BERESTOVITSKY Eva 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
125 BURROWS Beatrice 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
126 LEE Zoe 29% 44% 23% 5% - -
127 WANG Yvonne 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
128 YOON Claire 77% 21% 2% - - - -
129 NAZIR Farah 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
130 SUN Joanna 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
131 ARNOLD Evangeline 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
132 HE Elsa 35% 42% 18% 4% - - -
133 FLYNN Kensington 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
134 VOO Evelyn 32% 42% 20% 4% - - -
135 CHIN Riley 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
136 YAN Yuzi 69% 27% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.