March NAC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 2, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NEELAM Navya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
2 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 HABEK Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
5 FRANGER Macy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 28%
6 TISMENSKY Abigail 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 8%
7 WU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
8 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
9 MA Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
10 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
11 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
12 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
13 KROPP Anne 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
14 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19%
15 CHERNIS Liah 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 28% 4%
16 HOLDEN Helena 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12% 1%
17 JORDAN Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
18 PEI Claire 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 3%
19 CARCELLER Bernardita (Tini) 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 8%
20 OLELE Ifechi 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
21 NGUYEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44% 6%
22 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
23 HE Anna 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 18%
24 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
25 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 8%
26 LI Alice 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
27 TISMENSKY Avital 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
28 LI Anna 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
29 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
30 VOSKOV Olivia 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
31 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
32 MOHAN Riya 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
33 ZHAO Yanning 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
34 WANG Cecilia 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
35 DESAI Ela 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
35 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
37 TAM Connie 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
38 WU Michelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
39 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 97% 78% 38% 7% -
40 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
41 WANG Angelina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 22%
42 KARTHIK Diya 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
43 KOU Cynthia 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 6% 1%
44 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 12%
45 HUANG Selina 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
46 NING Miranda 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
46 EKSHTUT Leah 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
48 TREPANIER Georgina 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
49 CHEN Alina 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
50 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
51 DENEALE Lucia 100% 87% 51% 16% 2%
52 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
53 ROMANOV Mia 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
54 FU Shannon 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
55 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9% 1%
56 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
57 ZHU Una 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
58 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
59 XU Mulan 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% - -
60 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
61 CHEN Madeline 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
62 LI Carlie 100% 76% 34% 8% 1%
63 LEE Adelynn 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
64 CHI Zoe 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
65 SONG Sunny 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
66 PETROFF Eva 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
67 XU Jessica 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
68 CHOI Arianna 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
69 KONG Mila W. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
70 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 4%
70 KIM Vivian 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
72 YANG Eleanor 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
73 BURKS Madison 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
74 RAMEY Alexa 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4% -
75 SUN Karolyn 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
76 SUNG Audrey 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
77 YOUN Kylie 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
78 GRIGORYAN Amaliya 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
79 CHEN Dian 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
80 DU Chloe 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
81 XU Chenyu 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
82 LEE Eden 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 5% -
83 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
84 HALE Reagan 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
85 DEARBORN Josie 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
86 MEGGERS Arya 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
87 FAN Joy 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
88 MIAO Anthea 100% 86% 47% 13% 1% -
89 CAYETANO Audrey 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 25% 4%
89 MIXON Ivory 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
91 CHANG Allison 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
92 SCHULTZ Sumi 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
92 XIONG Alice 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
94 CHEN Stephanie 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
95 RASHID Summer 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
96 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
97 LI Jasmine 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
98 YU Chloe 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
99 ZHAO Ellie 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 7% 1%
100 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
101 RAJPUT Mahek 100% 99% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
102 CHEN Laila 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
103 MAENG Gloria 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
103 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
105 LI Ariel 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
106 RAJ Indra 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
107 ZHAO Emma 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
108 SUN Milly 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
109 XU Aasta 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
110 WANG Chantal 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
111 JIANG chenxi 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
112 DESAI Eesha 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
113 JU Jennifer 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
114 CHO Jacey 100% 94% 58% 20% 4% - -
115 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
116 LI Allison 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
117 DU Chelsea 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
118 QIAO Lori-Ann 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
119 REN Ivanka 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
120 ZU Jacqueline 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
121 KIM Abigail 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
122 MUKKU Emily 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
123 KELLER Mia 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
124 BERESTOVITSKY Eva 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
125 BURROWS Beatrice 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
126 LEE Zoe 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
127 WANG Yvonne 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% - -
128 YOON Claire 100% 23% 2% - - - -
129 NAZIR Farah 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
130 SUN Joanna 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
131 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
132 HE Elsa 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
133 FLYNN Kensington 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
134 VOO Evelyn 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
135 CHIN Riley 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
136 YAN Yuzi 100% 31% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.