March NAC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 3, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KROPP Wesley - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
2 DU Evan - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
3 TUBALTSEV Evan - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
3 WU MiEr - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
5 ROBERTS Arthur - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
6 DING Max - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
7 CHEN Aiden - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
8 ARMSTRONG Payson - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
9 LU Ian - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
10 LIU Austin - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 13%
11 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
12 ZHANG Sean - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
13 KUANG Cyrus - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
14 YAO Ryan - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
15 CHEN Daniel - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
16 RAU Shogun - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
17 ZHANG jonathan - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
18 WANG Suian (Andy) - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
19 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
20 YAO Aiden - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
21 LI Stephen - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
22 HU Charles - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
23 LUO Alexander - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 24%
24 GEVA Reuben - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
25 LEE Joshua 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
26 LIU Aiden - 4% 16% 34% 32% 12% 1%
27 HWANG Matthew 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
28 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
29 YOO Minwoo - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
30 CHIANG William - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
31 WONG Kyle - 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
32 HUA Nolan 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
33 MOSLEY Wally - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
34 LEE Lucas 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
35 LI Bryan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
35 WANG Mason 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
37 BOROVIKOV Alexander 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
38 SHI Zhicheng 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
39 PUTHOFF Henry 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
40 BALUCAN Gabriel - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
41 RICHARDSON Matthew 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
41 MA kevin 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
43 LIU Yihong 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
44 PARK Ethan 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
45 BUTLER Xavier - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
46 ZHAO Luke 1% 9% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
47 WANG Ryan 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
47 YOO Lucas - 2% 9% 25% 34% 23% 6%
49 JU Shang 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
50 ZHOU Ezra 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
51 LAI Jayden 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
52 WU Nathan - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
53 ZHANG Aiden 2% 18% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
54 SONG Eric 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
55 SHIH Derek 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
55 KHALID Ilyas 2% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
57 YE Andrew 9% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
58 KIM Aiden 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
59 HOLDEN Harrison 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
60 MA yuwei 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
61 MATUSOW Brandon 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
61 SAMOYLOV Daniel 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
63 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
64 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
65 KIM Benjamin 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
66 GUO Jonathan - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
67 MAZAHERI Theodore 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
68 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
69 ZHANG Jenson 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
70 REN Mark - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
71 YAO Irvine 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
72 CHA Aiden 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
73 TAN Samuel 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
73 CHU Clayton 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
75 DESAI Adithya 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
76 ZHAO Brandon 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
77 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
78 CHEN Linus 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
79 YI Alexander 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
80 DE LOS REYES Noah 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
81 MAZAHERI John 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
82 ALI Akash 18% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
83 TIAN Dylan 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
83 FU Benjamin 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
83 PELCZAR James 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
86 ZHAO Ryan < 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
87 WON Jacob 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
88 YOON Ian 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
89 BAEK Joel 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
90 REED Andrew 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.