March NAC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 3, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
2 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
3 WU MiEr 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
5 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
6 DING Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
7 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 11%
8 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
9 LU Ian 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
10 LIU Austin 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
11 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
12 ZHANG Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
13 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
14 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
15 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
16 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
17 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
18 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
19 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
20 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
21 LI Stephen 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 13%
22 HU Charles 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
23 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
24 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
25 LEE Joshua 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
26 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
27 HWANG Matthew 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
28 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
29 YOO Minwoo 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
30 CHIANG William 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
31 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
32 HUA Nolan 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
33 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
34 LEE Lucas 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 11% 1%
35 LI Bryan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
35 WANG Mason 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
37 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
38 SHI Zhicheng 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
39 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
40 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
41 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
41 MA kevin 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
43 LIU Yihong 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
44 PARK Ethan 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
45 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
46 ZHAO Luke 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
47 WANG Ryan 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
47 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
49 JU Shang 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
50 ZHOU Ezra 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
51 LAI Jayden 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
52 WU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
53 ZHANG Aiden 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
54 SONG Eric 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
55 SHIH Derek 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
55 KHALID Ilyas 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
57 YE Andrew 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
58 KIM Aiden 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
59 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
60 MA yuwei 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
61 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
61 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
63 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
64 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
65 KIM Benjamin 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
66 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 2%
67 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
68 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
69 ZHANG Jenson 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
70 REN Mark 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
71 YAO Irvine 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
72 CHA Aiden 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
73 TAN Samuel 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
73 CHU Clayton 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -
75 DESAI Adithya 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
76 ZHAO Brandon 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
77 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
78 CHEN Linus 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
79 YI Alexander 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
80 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
81 MAZAHERI John 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
82 ALI Akash 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
83 TIAN Dylan 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
83 FU Benjamin 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
83 PELCZAR James 100% 64% 23% 5% - - -
86 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
87 WON Jacob 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
88 YOON Ian 100% 40% 8% 1% - - -
89 BAEK Joel 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
90 REED Andrew 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.