IFC 2024 Spring Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MASON Alexander T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
2 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
3 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 45%
3 BAMPTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 17%
5 SMOTHERMAN Jason N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 32%
6 COHEN Henry 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
7 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 20%
8 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10% -
9 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 100% 90% 58% 20% 2%
10 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
11 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
12 KRZYSIAK David F. 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
13 STOCK Olivia 100% 99% 82% 35% 5% -
14 EVERT Todd 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
15 MILLER Jackson 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 2%
16 FELICIANO Damien 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
17 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 98% 46% 8% 1% -
18 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 2% -
19 LEHNER Brian 100% 93% 58% 17% 2% -
20 LAUER Michael 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
21 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 100% 95% 69% 30% 5%
22 GUILFORD Corey 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 3%
23 REED Dusty (Allen) 100% 100% 97% 74% 31% 5%
24 DWITYABASWARA Emil 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 2% -
25 CRAPNELL Daniel 100% 100% 92% 54% 14% 1% -
26 MACNEIL Matthew 100% 100% 90% 58% 20% 2% -
27 BOLARIN Oluwatosin N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
28 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 92% 58% 18% 2% -
29 RIPLEY Ian 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%
30 FULLER II Thomas 100% 96% 69% 26% 4% -
31 LUGO Emmanuel 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
32 CHEN Bowen 100% 73% 27% 5% - -
33 PATEL Aayan 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
34 LAGONA Anna 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% - -
35 GILL Anhad 100% 50% 6% - - -
36 MACNEIL Sydney 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
37 DUTTON Kimberly 100% 11% - - - -
38 WELLS Aenea 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.