Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, March 24, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
3 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
5 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
6 LIN Xilong 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
7 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
7 PONS Diego 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
9 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
10 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
11 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
12 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
13 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
14 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
15 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
16 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
17 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30%
18 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
19 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
19 YI William 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
21 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
22 LO Preston 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
23 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 2%
24 SAH Steven 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
25 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
26 LU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
27 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
28 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
29 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
30 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
31 BORG Matthew 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
32 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
33 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
34 XIE Buster 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
35 LING Carson Jr 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 3% -
36 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
37 PARK Sky 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
38 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38% 5%
39 OROPEZA David 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
40 FOY Grant 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
41 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
41 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
43 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
44 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 90% 52% 15% 2% -
45 PARK Rion 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
46 WU Lucas 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
47 CHONG Tristan 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 11% 1%
48 GOBBO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
49 WONG Evan 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
50 TSOI Spencer 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
51 NEICE William 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
52 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
53 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
54 CHANG Nathan 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
55 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
56 CHUN Dashel 100% 97% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
57 YUE Jackson 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% - -
58 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
59 PETERSON Matthew 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
60 BAE Eugene 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
61 BAKER Ethan 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
62 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
63 CHOI Ethan 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
64 ZHAN Kevin 100% 90% 48% 13% 2% - -
65 ANWEILER Nathan 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% - -
66 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
66 KIM Jonah 100% 99% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
68 WONG Braxton 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% - -
69 YU ZiRun (Kinton) 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
70 ROSE Jacob W. 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
71 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
72 ZHANG Raphael 100% 94% 68% 28% 6% - -
73 HE Bourne 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
74 GRINER Kevin 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
75 CAJERO Luis O. 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
76 ZHANG Andrew 100% 58% 14% 1% - - -
77 CHEN Brian 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
78 KUO Jayden 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
79 CHENG Mason 100% 38% 5% - - - -
80 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
81 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
82 BECKER Ethan 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
83 MONTGOMERY Georgie 100% 80% 33% 6% 1% - -
84 BLAM Matthew 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% - -
84 SMITH Jeremiah 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
86 LEE Christopher 100% 63% 19% 2% - - -
87 MCCARVILL Cooper 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
88 ROMAGOSA Leon 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
89 POUND Michael 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.