Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 7, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 16%
2 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 11%
3 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
3 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
5 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
6 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
7 DUKO Phillip 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
8 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
9 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
10 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
11 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6% -
12 TU Jinqi 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
13 LONG Kevin 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
14 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
15 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 15%
16 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
17 GAO Victor 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
18 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
19 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
20 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
21 OPERT Emmett 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
22 GREENFIELD Caleb 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
23 BHARGAVA Siddharth 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
24 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
25 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
26 DEGRUCCIO Johnny 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
27 LI Morgan 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
28 MOZZER Nolan 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
29 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
30 PAN Anthony 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
31 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
32 NG Nico 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3% -
33 KIM Zac 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
34 KRUPENKO Gael 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
35 LY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
36 LI Ray 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
37 CAO Gavin 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
38 BHANDARE Veer 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
39 LI Jade 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
40 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
41 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 88% 53% 16% 1%
42 WITHERELL Logan 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
43 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 90% 59% 23% 4%
44 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
45 CHANG Ian 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
46 LEE Henry 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
47 HE Yurui 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
47 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3% -
49 DYCKMAN Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
50 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
51 AGUIRRE Pablo 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
52 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
53 LAVIN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
54 CHEN Edward 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
55 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
56 LUR'YE Killian 100% 91% 53% 17% 3% -
57 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
58 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
59 YU David 100% 94% 56% 18% 3% -
60 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 2%
61 CUELLAR Markus 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
62 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
63 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
64 WANG Marcus 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
65 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
66 OCONNOR Paul 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
67 HANNA Alexander 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
68 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
69 HONG Ethen 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
70 CHO Adrian 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
71 KIM Louie 100% 24% 2% - - -
72 WU Matthew 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
73 FENG Xinmin 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
74 CHUNG Jesse 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
75 LEE Kalvin 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
76 TSIEN Richard 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
77 FOGEL Jake 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
78 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
78 POWELL Horatio 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
80 LEE Ryan 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
81 PREVOST Landon 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
82 TURLIK Midas 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% -
82 MCGANN Grant 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
84 NABI Mikhail 100% 32% 4% - - -
85 AU Joshua 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4%
86 GRANT Aidan 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
87 MALLAKIS Efstathios 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
87 SHI Evan 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
87 ROBINSON Blake 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
90 BRESLAV Asher 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
91 MAZEL Antonin 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.