Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
2 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
3 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 SUN Jason 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6%
5 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
6 BEDOR William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
7 MANN JAKEROD 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
8 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 100% 96% 76% 31% 6% -
9 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
10 BRODSKY Julian 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
11 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
12 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
13 KUGLER Luke 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% -
14 DANIEL Camron 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
15 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6% -
16 REDDY Arya 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% -
17 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7%
18 SUN Jeffrey 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 3% -
19 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 5%
20 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 12%
21 KARIMOV Amir 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
22 ROUBAILO Niels 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 22%
23 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
24 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
25 PAYNE Massimo 100% 98% 81% 40% 9% 1%
26 BAILEY David 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2%
27 CHOI Joong Kyung 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
28 CAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 19%
29 SONG Troy 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 1%
30 COHEN Jared E. 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 8%
31 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
32 ROBINS Brennan 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
33 OH Kevin Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
34 PACYNA ATILLA 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
35 LIU Adam 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
36 SHA Michael 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
37 WU Colin 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% -
38 REPIC Oliver 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
39 ZHANG Roland 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
40 MEN Junda 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
41 SCAPICCHIO Stephen 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2% -
42 MORTON William 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
43 KOEPPEL Levi E. 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% 2%
44 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% - -
45 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
46 WU Jerry 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1% -
46 ZHAO Pierce 100% 86% 42% 8% 1% - -
48 JONELEIT Aidan 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
49 RIM Eugene 100% 86% 41% 9% 1% -
50 YIN Chujun 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
51 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1%
52 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
53 HU Robert J. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
54 WONG Maximus 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
55 DEPOMMIER Remi 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
56 ZHAO Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
57 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 2%
58 CHU Brandon A. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
59 CYR Mathieu 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
60 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% -
61 GOON Sin Tong 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% - -
62 KLINKENBERG Patrick 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
63 NILSEN Mark 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
64 FENG Shang 100% 94% 63% 18% 2% - -
65 WELIWATTA kenula 100% 65% 22% 3% - -
66 LI Ray 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
66 DAVAN Connor 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
68 ZEBUTH Christopher E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
69 YU Samuel 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
70 FAICCO Joseph 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
71 LI Jade 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
72 SPITLER Ansel 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
73 LEONE Gabe 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
74 ZHANG Dinghao 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
75 FENG Du 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
76 MANITT Philip 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
77 LEVCHOOK Thomas 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
78 WASSERMAN Jacob 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
79 DOWD Peter L. 100% 69% 27% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.