Perseus RYC/RJCC +Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
2 PENG Yue 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
3 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
3 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
5 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
6 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
7 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
8 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
9 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
10 DEGRUCCIO Johnny 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 8%
11 LI Jade 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
12 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
13 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 91% 59% 21% 3%
14 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 9%
15 WU Matthew 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
16 OCONNOR Paul 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
17 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
18 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
19 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
20 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
21 LONG Kevin 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
22 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
23 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
24 WANG Charles 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
25 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
26 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
27 GREENFIELD Caleb 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
28 TESFAYE Elias 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
29 LIN ZIJIE 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
30 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
31 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
32 CHEN Edward 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
33 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
34 NG Nico 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
35 LI Morgan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
36 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1%
37 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 4%
38 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
39 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
40 LEE Kalvin 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
41 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
42 LEE Henry 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
43 OPERT Emmett 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
44 STARKIE Kitteridge 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
45 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
46 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
47 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
48 ZHENG Jason 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
49 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
50 LUR'YE Killian 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
51 FOGEL Jake 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
52 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
53 CUELLAR Markus 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
54 WHITE Jackson 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
55 HENNESSY Levon 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
56 WANG Marcus 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
57 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 10% 1%
58 KIM Zac 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
59 YU David 100% 95% 53% 15% 2% -
60 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
61 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
62 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
63 LEE Harrison 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
64 BHANDARE Veer 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
65 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
66 ROBINSON Blake 100% 31% 4% - - - -
66 NABI Mikhail 100% 42% 9% 1% - - -
68 WITHERELL Logan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
69 PREVOST Landon 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -
70 LAVIN Ethan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
71 LEE Ryan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
72 DANG William 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
73 WANG Eric 100% 59% 17% 3% - -
74 CHEN Daniel 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
75 GIMBRERE Alexandre 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
76 WELCH Sebastian 100% 22% 2% - - -
77 CHEN Tianjun 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
78 SMITH Theo 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
79 GRANT Aidan 100% 78% 36% 10% 1% - -
80 YU George 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.