2024 Bay State Games

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, June 8, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GOHEL Dayus T. - - - 2% 20% 79%
2 KNOX James - - - 3% 28% 68%
3 LAI Boden - - 1% 6% 32% 62%
3 SONG Troy - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
5 WU Jonathan - - 1% 16% 46% 37%
6 WU Joseph - - - 4% 29% 67%
7 ZHAO Corey - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
8 SANTOS Antonio K. 1% 6% 26% 43% 23% 2%
9 ZOU Xianyang (Max) - 1% 9% 29% 42% 20%
10 SHA Michael - 2% 15% 39% 37% 6%
11 JIANG Ryan - - 6% 31% 51% 11%
12 SANTOS Francisco M. - 11% 36% 39% 13% 1%
13 SAVORETTI Francesco - - 4% 27% 48% 21%
14 WANG Xiangdong 2% 12% 31% 36% 18% 2%
15 XIE Brandon - 2% 16% 42% 35% 4%
16 KELLEY Hayden 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
17 YIN Chujun 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
18 LIU Jeremiah W. 1% 10% 36% 41% 12% 1%
19 SONG Changze 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
20 LAI Aedin - 1% 12% 38% 38% 11%
21 ZHANG Roland 2% 37% 42% 16% 2% -
22 MASSE Jack 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
23 STEIN Philip 10% 45% 35% 9% 1% -
24 ZHANG Shawn - 1% 11% 43% 37% 9%
25 CHEN Allen 1% 17% 42% 32% 8% -
26 DOWD Peter L. 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
27 O'KEEFE Grady - 7% 29% 39% 21% 3%
28 SAVORETTI Pietro - 6% 28% 44% 21% 1%
29 WHITE Aidan 27% 48% 23% 3% - -
30 ORESKOVIC Olivier 10% 43% 36% 10% 1% -
31 BRADSHAW Carter 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4%
32 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 2% 19% 43% 30% 6% -
33 WU Chi Kuan 9% 36% 43% 11% 1% -
34 LACROIX Mattias 7% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
35 KABA Elias 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
36 LI Ray 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
37 PAN Anthony 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
38 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 13% 38% 36% 12% 2% -
39 MECHREFE Anthony 60% 34% 6% - - -
40 GLUSHKOV David 31% 48% 19% 2% - -
41 ROSIELLO Francesco 63% 31% 5% - - -
42 MASSE Dean 86% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.