National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, July 5, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard - - - - - 8% 92%
2 SRIVATS Vedh - - - 2% 15% 47% 36%
3 BAI Evan - - - 3% 15% 42% 40%
3 SANCHEZ Jacob - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
5 WEI Rian - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
5 YU BOWEN - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 29%
7 KHANNA Adamantis - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
8 LUC Cedric - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
9 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
10 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
11 GRIGORIEV Roman - 2% 11% 32% 38% 17%
12 ZHANG KAIQI - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
12 CAO Donald - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
14 YANG Phillip - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
15 CHEN Shawn 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
16 HU Harry - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
17 ZHAO Royce - - 1% 6% 22% 40% 30%
17 CHAMBERS Miles - - - 1% 10% 36% 52%
17 HWANG Hagan - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
20 KANG Matthew - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
21 TANI Tino - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
22 ZHAO Aidan - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
23 CHEN Lucas - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
24 LUCAS William - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 17%
25 KANG Jeremy - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
25 KAUL Ishaan - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
27 BOSITA Brennan - 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
28 IM Tyler - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
29 XIAO Brayden - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
30 KROON Landon - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
31 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - 1% 9% 31% 40% 18%
32 YANG Justin 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
33 KANIA Alexander 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 3%
33 WONG Ron - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
35 WANG Alex - 5% 23% 38% 26% 6%
36 DAI Zihou - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
37 KOZLOV Lucas - - - 2% 16% 49% 33%
38 YUEN Caleb - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
39 LIN Alex - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
40 WU Vincent - 1% 8% 24% 37% 26% 5%
41 LEE Nathan Uju - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
42 BADMUS Joshua - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
43 TANG Morgan - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
44 AGARWAAL Yohan - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
45 KOREN George - 2% 9% 24% 35% 25% 7%
46 KIM Junseong - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
47 LI Cooper - 1% 7% 29% 44% 19%
48 SAGE Nikolai - 3% 19% 40% 31% 6%
49 GU Andrew - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
50 KAYDALIN David - 2% 15% 35% 35% 13%
51 SUH Leo 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
52 SO Morgan - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
52 LI Ryan 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
54 PERRIN Leo - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
54 ROH Jaden 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
56 MOORE Greyson 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
57 LUC Linkin - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
58 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 2% 10% 30% 42% 16%
59 LIAO Sirui - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
60 BURENKOV Matthew 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
61 KARAVAS Nicholas - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
62 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
63 LAU Kyrus - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
64 MATTOO Dhruv - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
65 MERMEGAS Alexander - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
66 LIU Jayden 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
67 DOOLEY Atticus 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
68 HU Jayden - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
69 TASIKAS Peter 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
70 YU Ian - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
71 SOULES-ONO Makoa - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
72 SLAVNOV Anton - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
73 BRISENO Ethan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
74 BROOKS Theo - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
75 HAN Kyle 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
76 HENRY Cadel - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 16%
77 MIAO Heqi - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
78 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 1% 9% 27% 39% 23% 1%
79 SU Eric 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
80 KAMURA Kosei 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
81 LYU Tyler 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 7% 1%
82 HAO Johnny - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 7%
83 LEE Bill King 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
84 ALUF Brendon 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
85 NG oliver 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
86 SRIVATSAV Ishaan - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
87 ROBINSON Ezra 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
88 LIN Brendan - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
89 LEVY Daniel - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
90 HRISTOV Nickolas - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
91 GUO Jonathan 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
92 BIVIJI Adam - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
93 KOZLOFF Wyatt - 1% 6% 18% 33% 31% 12%
94 SONG Aidan - 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
95 YPHANTIDES Alexander 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
96 KUMAR Avinash 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
97 AVERY Marcus 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
98 MOELLER Felix 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 7% -
99 NAIR Sujit - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
100 VISH Manyu 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
101 QI Jeremy 1% 7% 27% 41% 21% 3% -
102 FUGATE Logan 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
103 JOHNSON Leland - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
104 BUKZIN Alan 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
105 KUSHKOV Michael - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
106 KIM Suin 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
106 SRA Nawab 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
106 ZALETAEV Jacob 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
109 CAO HAOTIAN - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
110 LIANG Preston 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
111 PLATT Michael (Trace) 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
112 TAYCHER Aaron - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
113 VO Blake 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
114 WONG Reagan 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
115 MHLEY Gavin - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12% 1%
116 TITOV Zachary 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
117 LI Andrew - 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
118 FRANCOIS Gabriel 3% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1%
119 KOHLER Vaughn 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
120 ORIE Sohan - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
121 SRIVATSAV Anay 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
122 LEE Ryan - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
123 BEAL Colton - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
124 WANG David 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
125 LEE Blake 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 2%
126 LIN Ethan 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
127 STOLCKE Julian 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
128 GATTO Enzo P. 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% -
129 NAFTALI Ori 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
130 CHAN Ewan 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
131 SALMAN Ibrahim 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
132 CHANG Timothy - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
133 LEE Winston 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
134 LEI Isaac 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
135 MCDANIEL Dreyden 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
136 HO Alden - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
137 BRADIC Andreja 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
138 EDELBROCK Beckett 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
139 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 8% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1% -
140 WANG Harrison 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
141 WANG James 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
142 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
143 EKAMBARAM Rithik 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
144 HENDERSHOT Charles 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7% -
145 FU BRANDEN 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 3%
146 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 4% 23% 42% 27% 4%
147 MALEK Zak 3% 19% 37% 30% 11% 1%
148 KIM Eric 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
149 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 7% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
150 GORDON Ezekiel 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
151 ZHANG Aiden 5% 26% 40% 23% 6% -
152 LVOVSKIY Roman 19% 47% 27% 6% 1% -
153 CHEN Aaron 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
154 FOUX Jonathan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
155 THOMAS Liam 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
156 CHEN Leo 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
157 WEI Hunter 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
158 LIEBISCH Milo 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
159 ZHANG Howard 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
159 ZHANG Simon 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
161 NARAYAN Rishi 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
162 XIE Andrew 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
163 SHAPIRO Leo - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 3%
164 MAKLIN David 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
165 HENDERSHOT Henry 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
165 WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
167 GILBERT Ari 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
168 RAVOOR Suvir 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
169 RAMBHIA Smit 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
170 SLOAN Ethan 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
170 TERENTIEV Michael 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
170 BROOKS Drake 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
170 MELE Gianni 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
174 XU Ethan 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
175 KOREN David 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
176 HOWARTH Hayes 4% 20% 34% 29% 11% 2% -
177 LEIGH Brayden 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
178 CARR Silas 45% 39% 14% 2% - - -
179 TAN Daniel 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
180 DESAI Arthav 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
181 BADMUS David 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
182 NGUYEN Ethan 12% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
183 CHAN Troy 45% 42% 12% 1% - -
184 MARCISZ Maksym 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
185 SUBA Mason 1% 12% 36% 36% 13% 1%
186 LU Simon 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
187 LAM Austin 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
188 WANG Ryan 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
189 DENG Richard 9% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
190 ABADA lucca 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
191 SHARMA Ayaan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
192 HOLMES Xavier 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
192 PARK Sean 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
194 PIPKE Garrett 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2% -
195 EARLEY Jack 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% - -
196 PARK Layne 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
196 SIERRA Gregory S Sierra - 5% 18% 33% 31% 13% 1%
198 QI Zach 6% 23% 35% 25% 10% 2% -
198 YU Joshua 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
200 SINGH Ekam 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
200 JAVIER Xavier 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
200 BROOKS Isaac 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
200 BUCKLEY Owen 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
204 CHEN Brian 1% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
205 LEE Alexander 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
206 PROSPER Nathaniel 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
207 DORAN Brendon 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
208 FAN Yuchen 3% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
209 LORENZ Eli 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
210 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
211 FAVO Christopher 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
211 GUERRA Corey 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
213 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
213 SHANKAR Rahm 72% 25% 3% - - -
215 ORLINO Sam 14% 41% 34% 10% 1% - -
216 JOHNSON Jack 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
217 CHEN Kevin 48% 39% 12% 2% - -
218 CHEN Harrison 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -
218 ZHANG Caleb 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
220 LUO Gavin 38% 43% 16% 2% - -
220 MAI Ryan 45% 41% 12% 2% - -
222 GRIFFIN Sid 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
222 DING Orlando 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
222 RISMAN Edward 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
222 ZHAO Owen 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
226 FAN Yuen 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
227 CHAVAN Aditya 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
228 STYS Owen 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
229 RANGE Easton 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
230 LI Jayden 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.