National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, July 5, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
2 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 36%
3 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
5 WEI Rian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
5 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 29%
7 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
8 LUC Cedric 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
9 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
10 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
11 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
12 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 54% 16%
12 CAO Donald 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
14 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
15 CHEN Shawn 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
16 HU Harry 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26%
17 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 30%
17 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
17 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
20 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
21 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
22 ZHAO Aidan 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
23 CHEN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
24 LUCAS William 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
25 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
25 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
27 BOSITA Brennan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 10%
28 IM Tyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
29 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
30 KROON Landon 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
31 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
32 YANG Justin 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
33 KANIA Alexander 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
33 WONG Ron 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
35 WANG Alex 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
36 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
37 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 33%
38 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
39 LIN Alex 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
40 WU Vincent 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
41 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
42 BADMUS Joshua 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
43 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
44 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
45 KOREN George 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
46 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
47 LI Cooper 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
48 SAGE Nikolai 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 6%
49 GU Andrew 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9%
50 KAYDALIN David 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
51 SUH Leo 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 4% -
52 SO Morgan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
52 LI Ryan 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 8% 1%
54 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
54 ROH Jaden 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
56 MOORE Greyson 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
57 LUC Linkin 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
58 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 16%
59 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
60 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
61 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
62 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
63 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
64 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
65 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
66 LIU Jayden 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 8% 1%
67 DOOLEY Atticus 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
68 HU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
69 TASIKAS Peter 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
70 YU Ian 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11%
71 SOULES-ONO Makoa 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
72 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
73 BRISENO Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
74 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
75 HAN Kyle 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
76 HENRY Cadel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
77 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
78 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24% 1%
79 SU Eric 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
80 KAMURA Kosei 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
81 LYU Tyler 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
82 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
83 LEE Bill King 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
84 ALUF Brendon 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
85 NG oliver 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
86 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
87 ROBINSON Ezra 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
88 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 13%
89 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
90 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
91 GUO Jonathan 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
92 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
93 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 42% 12%
94 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
95 YPHANTIDES Alexander 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 16% 2%
96 KUMAR Avinash 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
97 AVERY Marcus 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 10% 1%
98 MOELLER Felix 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
99 NAIR Sujit 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 25% 4%
100 VISH Manyu 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
101 QI Jeremy 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 4% -
102 FUGATE Logan 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
103 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
104 BUKZIN Alan 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
105 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
106 KIM Suin 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
106 SRA Nawab 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
106 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
109 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
110 LIANG Preston 100% 97% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
111 PLATT Michael (Trace) 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
112 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
113 VO Blake 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
114 WONG Reagan 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
115 MHLEY Gavin 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13% 1%
116 TITOV Zachary 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
117 LI Andrew 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
118 FRANCOIS Gabriel 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1%
119 KOHLER Vaughn 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
120 ORIE Sohan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
121 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
122 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
123 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
124 WANG David 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
125 LEE Blake 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
126 LIN Ethan 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
127 STOLCKE Julian 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
128 GATTO Enzo P. 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% -
129 NAFTALI Ori 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
130 CHAN Ewan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
131 SALMAN Ibrahim 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
132 CHANG Timothy 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
133 LEE Winston 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
134 LEI Isaac 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
135 MCDANIEL Dreyden 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
136 HO Alden 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
137 BRADIC Andreja 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
138 EDELBROCK Beckett 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
139 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
140 WANG Harrison 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
141 WANG James 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
142 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
143 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
144 HENDERSHOT Charles 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
145 FU BRANDEN 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
146 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 4%
147 MALEK Zak 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
148 KIM Eric 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
149 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
150 GORDON Ezekiel 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
151 ZHANG Aiden 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% -
152 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% -
153 CHEN Aaron 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
154 FOUX Jonathan 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
155 THOMAS Liam 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
156 CHEN Leo 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
157 WEI Hunter 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
158 LIEBISCH Milo 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
159 ZHANG Howard 100% 93% 68% 35% 11% 2% -
159 ZHANG Simon 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
161 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
162 XIE Andrew 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
163 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
164 MAKLIN David 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
165 HENDERSHOT Henry 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
165 WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
167 GILBERT Ari 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
168 RAVOOR Suvir 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
169 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
170 SLOAN Ethan 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
170 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
170 BROOKS Drake 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
170 MELE Gianni 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
174 XU Ethan 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
175 KOREN David 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
176 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
177 LEIGH Brayden 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
178 CARR Silas 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -
179 TAN Daniel 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
180 DESAI Arthav 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
181 BADMUS David 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
182 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
183 CHAN Troy 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
184 MARCISZ Maksym 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
185 SUBA Mason 100% 99% 87% 50% 15% 1%
186 LU Simon 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
187 LAM Austin 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
188 WANG Ryan 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
189 DENG Richard 100% 91% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
190 ABADA lucca 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
191 SHARMA Ayaan 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
192 HOLMES Xavier 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
192 PARK Sean 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
194 PIPKE Garrett 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
195 EARLEY Jack 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% - -
196 PARK Layne 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 2% -
196 SIERRA Gregory S Sierra 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 1%
198 QI Zach 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
198 YU Joshua 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
200 SINGH Ekam 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
200 JAVIER Xavier 100% 95% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
200 BROOKS Isaac 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
200 BUCKLEY Owen 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
204 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 84% 50% 16% 3% -
205 LEE Alexander 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
206 PROSPER Nathaniel 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
207 DORAN Brendon 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
208 FAN Yuchen 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
209 LORENZ Eli 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
210 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
211 FAVO Christopher 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
211 GUERRA Corey 100% 93% 69% 36% 11% 2% -
213 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
213 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 28% 3% - - -
215 ORLINO Sam 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% - -
216 JOHNSON Jack 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
217 CHEN Kevin 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
218 CHEN Harrison 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
218 ZHANG Caleb 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
220 LUO Gavin 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
220 MAI Ryan 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
222 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
222 DING Orlando 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
222 RISMAN Edward 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
222 ZHAO Owen 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
226 FAN Yuen 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
227 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
228 STYS Owen 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
229 RANGE Easton 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
230 LI Jayden 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.