National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUDREAUX James - - - - 5% 31% 64%
2 KIM Henry - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 MEHROTRA Neel - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 37%
3 GACIOCH Noah - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
5 PARK Sangwook - - - - 3% 25% 72%
6 SINGLETON Aman - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
7 REICHMANN Theo - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
8 KIM Gene - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
9 VAN RIET Stefan - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
10 DU Evan - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
11 LUO Alexander - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 12%
12 DODIN Daniel M. - - - 2% 13% 38% 47%
13 SZCZAPA Lukas - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
14 CHEN Jayden - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
15 MOORE Alexander - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
16 RONG Gordon - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
17 WANG Joey - - - 2% 38% 60%
18 HUANG Kenneth - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
19 KABA Elias 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
20 FU Nolan - - 4% 16% 35% 35% 10%
21 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
22 ZHAI Junqi - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
23 YANG Gary - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
24 JAO Aaron - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
25 XUE Michael - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
26 DEFFENBAUGH Vasily - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
27 MA Ciel - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
28 WANG-SONG Evan - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
29 CHO Alex - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
30 WANG Devin - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
31 WANG Lucas - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
32 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 19%
33 LEWIS Michael - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
34 ZHANG jonathan - - 5% 23% 41% 27% 4%
35 LEE Anton - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
36 MIKHAIL Lucas - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
37 SONG Aidan - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
38 LEE Harrison - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
39 TUMULA Arihaan 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
40 DAI Steven (Chengwen) - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
41 ADDYSON Aidan 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
42 KIM Julian - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
43 WANG Marcus 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
44 VOO Lucas - 3% 17% 39% 32% 8%
45 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
46 ZOU Jerry 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
47 KATS Brandon 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
48 YILMAZ Tarik - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
49 SU Samuel - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
50 CAFASSO Alexander - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
50 TSIEN Richard - 2% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
52 HERDMAN Julian - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
53 ROBERTS Arthur - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
54 FONG Henry 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
55 LEE Daniel - 3% 14% 28% 32% 19% 4%
56 MOSLEY Wally 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
57 HENNESSY Levon 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
57 ADDLEMAN Joshua - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10%
59 KIM Evan 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
60 NOOL Alexander - 4% 17% 37% 34% 7%
61 FRIZZELL Kai 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
62 GOODMAN Liam 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
63 MYRAH Devin 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
64 VASILEV Victor 7% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
65 MOSTOVOY philip - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
66 YAO Ryan - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
67 SHIM Jae 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
68 CHANG Matthew - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
69 ZHANG Luqi 1% 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
70 HWANG Matthew - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
71 CORTRIGHT Edmund - - 2% 16% 55% 27%
72 GATEWOOD Michael 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
73 NG Nico - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
74 KROPP Wesley - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
75 WONG Vansen 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
76 GREENMAN Duke - 1% 7% 21% 36% 28% 7%
77 SRIKANTH Hariharan - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
78 ENG Kyler - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
78 WU Matthew - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
78 SHAPIRO Samuel 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
81 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
82 HEADRICK Liam - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
83 KICIMAN Leo 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
84 DING Max - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
85 WOOLCOCK Cash 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
86 HONG Daniel 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
87 WU Nathan - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
88 KHAVKIN Alexander 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
89 CHANEY Charles 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
90 BORAN Brooks 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
91 LIU Daniel 5% 25% 42% 25% 3% -
92 LIU Xuyao 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
93 KHERSONSKY Robert - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
94 PARY Jean Pierre 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
95 HANTOV Adrian - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
96 BHANDARE Veer 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
97 WHITE Ryden - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
98 PUTHOFF Henry - 4% 17% 31% 31% 14% 2%
99 MANSFIELD Hunter - 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
100 DAI Jason 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
100 KIM Doyun 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
102 FOGEL Jake 2% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
103 GONIMA Francisco 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
104 RONG Marcus - 5% 22% 39% 27% 7% -
104 MUELLER Travis 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
106 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
107 WONG Alexander - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
108 CHEN Aiden - 1% 6% 19% 35% 30% 9%
109 DAVIDSON James 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
110 NARAYANUN Advay 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
111 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
112 PARKE Nathaniel - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
113 YU Jeremy 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
114 CHEN Daniel 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
115 LEE Lucas 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
116 ABAD-HERRERO Kieran - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
117 SONG Sawyer 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
118 JONES Gideon 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
118 SI Anderson 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
120 SAMIMI Sina 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
121 MIDYANY Ryan - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
122 CARCELLER Jeremias - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
123 ELLIS, IV Floyd - 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
124 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 7% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
125 DANILOV Artur 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
126 LIN Bryan 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
127 LEE Joshua 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
128 SLAVIN Tamir 9% 35% 38% 15% 2% -
129 MEDISETTI Arjun 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1%
130 FENG Xinmin 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
131 YUE Bryan 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
132 WHITE Jackson - 3% 14% 34% 34% 14% 1%
133 GUO Luke 5% 20% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
134 STRAFFORD Andrew 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
135 D'SA Thomas 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
136 VEERAVALLI Pranav 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% -
137 WANG Marcus 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3% -
138 HARRIS Hayden - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4%
139 RAHMAN Ali - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
140 LU Ian - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
141 HUA Nolan - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
142 BOHLER-PARK Henry 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
143 ZHAN ETHAN 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
144 RODIC Milan 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
145 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
146 BACON Corban 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
147 DESAI Adithya 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
148 CHEN Christopher 10% 30% 35% 19% 6% 1% -
149 ROBINSON Blake 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
150 YAO Tristan 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
151 ZINCHUK Yuri 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%
152 MILLER Xavier 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
153 DENG Destin 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
154 LIU Austin 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
155 SOLOMON Aryeh 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
156 SMITH Theo 15% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
157 WONG Aaron 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
158 ZHOU Luke 4% 20% 34% 29% 12% 2%
159 MAZAHERI Theodore 6% 30% 40% 19% 4% -
160 LI Grayson 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
161 KOU Mason 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
162 MBERIA Henry 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
163 MASKIN Mikhail - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
164 ZHAO Luke 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
165 WITHERELL Logan 1% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
166 YU Brandon 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
167 ZHU Owen 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
168 ZHENG Jason 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
169 JAMES Kaden 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
170 YAKHNIS Seth - 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
170 LIN Daniel 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
172 CHIANG William 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
172 BLIMLING Jackson 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
174 LIU Yihong 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
175 SHARMA Sahaj 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
176 PARK Ethan 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
176 YAO Aiden - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
178 SHOURIE Neel 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
179 ZHANG Aiden 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
180 GEVA Reuben 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
181 MA kevin 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
182 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
183 SHIM Jaeyoo 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
184 NGUYEN Ethan 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
185 FU Benjamin 8% 31% 41% 19% 1% -
186 GOLDBERG Simon 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
186 WANG Juehan 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
188 WONG Kyle 3% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2%
189 CHO Adrian 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
190 KONG Ethan 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
191 CHEN Evan 1% 6% 19% 31% 27% 13% 2%
192 LIU Max 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
193 CHEN Tianjun 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
194 SILVA Zavier 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
195 ISMAILOV Alan 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
195 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 7% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
197 LAI Jayden 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
198 RICHARDSON Matthew 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
198 PLUMMER Kellan 7% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
200 CHEN Cameron 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
201 MCGANN Grant 24% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
202 ZALPURI Zorin 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
203 LEE Davidson 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
204 YU Haoyun 17% 39% 31% 12% 2% - -
205 GUO Jonathan 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
206 TIAN Dylan 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
207 NOOL Aaron 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
207 KANG Ihan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
209 YU Andrew 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
210 SHOURIE Seth 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
211 ENG Kyle 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
212 WU Jiachen 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
213 OH Ted 6% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
214 YU Alex 39% 40% 17% 4% - - -
215 PARADKAR Akshay 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
216 ZHAO Brandon 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
217 MUNOZ Rocco 21% 43% 29% 7% - -
218 LEE Ryan 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
219 KELLY Blair 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
220 FERRIERE Theo 9% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
221 DE LOS REYES Noah 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
222 GROVES Isaac 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
223 YOON Jonathan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
224 CHEN Linus 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
225 HUANG EVAN 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
226 HOWARD Killian 69% 26% 4% - - - -
226 TALBOT Jett 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
228 HOLDEN Harrison 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.