National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
3 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
5 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
6 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
7 REICHMANN Theo 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
8 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
9 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
10 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
11 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
12 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
13 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
14 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
15 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
16 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
17 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 60%
18 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
19 KABA Elias 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
20 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
21 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
22 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
23 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
24 JAO Aaron 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
25 XUE Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
26 DEFFENBAUGH Vasily 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
27 MA Ciel 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
28 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
29 CHO Alex 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
30 WANG Devin 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 6%
31 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
32 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
33 LEWIS Michael 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
34 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
35 LEE Anton 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
36 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
37 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 14%
38 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
39 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
40 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
41 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
42 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
43 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 7%
44 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
45 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
46 ZOU Jerry 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
47 KATS Brandon 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
48 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
49 SU Samuel 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
50 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 86% 61% 28% 6%
50 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
52 HERDMAN Julian 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 8%
53 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
54 FONG Henry 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
55 LEE Daniel 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
56 MOSLEY Wally 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 14% 2%
57 HENNESSY Levon 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
57 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
59 KIM Evan 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
60 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 7%
61 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
62 GOODMAN Liam 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
63 MYRAH Devin 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
64 VASILEV Victor 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
65 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
66 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
67 SHIM Jae 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
68 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
69 ZHANG Luqi 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
70 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
71 CORTRIGHT Edmund 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 27%
72 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
73 NG Nico 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
74 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
75 WONG Vansen 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
76 GREENMAN Duke 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
77 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
78 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
78 WU Matthew 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
78 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9% 1%
81 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
82 HEADRICK Liam 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
83 KICIMAN Leo 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
84 DING Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
85 WOOLCOCK Cash 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
86 HONG Daniel 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
87 WU Nathan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
88 KHAVKIN Alexander 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 15% 2%
89 CHANEY Charles 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
90 BORAN Brooks 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
91 LIU Daniel 100% 95% 69% 28% 3% -
92 LIU Xuyao 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
93 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
94 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
95 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
96 BHANDARE Veer 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 3% -
97 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
98 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 2%
99 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
100 DAI Jason 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
100 KIM Doyun 100% 97% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
102 FOGEL Jake 100% 98% 78% 42% 14% 2% -
103 GONIMA Francisco 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
104 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
104 MUELLER Travis 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
106 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
107 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
108 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 9%
109 DAVIDSON James 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
110 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
111 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
112 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
113 YU Jeremy 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
114 CHEN Daniel 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
115 LEE Lucas 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% -
116 ABAD-HERRERO Kieran 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
117 SONG Sawyer 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
118 JONES Gideon 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
118 SI Anderson 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
120 SAMIMI Sina 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
121 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
122 CARCELLER Jeremias 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
123 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
124 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
125 DANILOV Artur 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
126 LIN Bryan 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
127 LEE Joshua 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
128 SLAVIN Tamir 100% 91% 55% 17% 3% -
129 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
130 FENG Xinmin 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
131 YUE Bryan 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
132 WHITE Jackson 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
133 GUO Luke 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
134 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
135 D'SA Thomas 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 12% 2%
136 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% -
137 WANG Marcus 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
138 HARRIS Hayden 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
139 RAHMAN Ali 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 13%
140 LU Ian 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
141 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
142 BOHLER-PARK Henry 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
143 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
144 RODIC Milan 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
145 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 98% 86% 60% 28% 8% 1%
146 BACON Corban 100% 80% 42% 14% 3% - -
147 DESAI Adithya 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
148 CHEN Christopher 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
149 ROBINSON Blake 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
150 YAO Tristan 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
151 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
152 MILLER Xavier 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
153 DENG Destin 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
154 LIU Austin 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
155 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
156 SMITH Theo 100% 85% 46% 11% 1% -
157 WONG Aaron 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
158 ZHOU Luke 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2%
159 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
160 LI Grayson 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3% -
161 KOU Mason 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
162 MBERIA Henry 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
163 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
164 ZHAO Luke 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
165 WITHERELL Logan 100% 99% 88% 60% 28% 7% 1%
166 YU Brandon 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
167 ZHU Owen 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
168 ZHENG Jason 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
169 JAMES Kaden 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
170 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
170 LIN Daniel 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
172 CHIANG William 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 11% 1%
172 BLIMLING Jackson 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
174 LIU Yihong 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
175 SHARMA Sahaj 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
176 PARK Ethan 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
176 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
178 SHOURIE Neel 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
179 ZHANG Aiden 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
180 GEVA Reuben 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
181 MA kevin 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
182 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
183 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
184 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
185 FU Benjamin 100% 92% 61% 20% 1% -
186 GOLDBERG Simon 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
186 WANG Juehan 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
188 WONG Kyle 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
189 CHO Adrian 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
190 KONG Ethan 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
191 CHEN Evan 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 15% 2%
192 LIU Max 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
193 CHEN Tianjun 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
194 SILVA Zavier 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
195 ISMAILOV Alan 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
195 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
197 LAI Jayden 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
198 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
198 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 93% 70% 37% 13% 2% -
200 CHEN Cameron 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
201 MCGANN Grant 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
202 ZALPURI Zorin 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% - -
203 LEE Davidson 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
204 YU Haoyun 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
205 GUO Jonathan 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
206 TIAN Dylan 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
207 NOOL Aaron 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
207 KANG Ihan 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
209 YU Andrew 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
210 SHOURIE Seth 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
211 ENG Kyle 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
212 WU Jiachen 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
213 OH Ted 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
214 YU Alex 100% 61% 21% 4% 1% - -
215 PARADKAR Akshay 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
216 ZHAO Brandon 100% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
217 MUNOZ Rocco 100% 79% 36% 7% - -
218 LEE Ryan 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
219 KELLY Blair 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
220 FERRIERE Theo 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
221 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
222 GROVES Isaac 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
223 YOON Jonathan 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
224 CHEN Linus 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% -
225 HUANG EVAN 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
226 HOWARD Killian 100% 31% 4% - - - -
226 TALBOT Jett 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
228 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.