National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Bradley - - - - - 7% 93%
2 CHEN Hanson - - - - 1% 14% 85%
3 BIELER Mason - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 LU Alex - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
5 WANDJI Noah - - - - 4% 28% 68%
6 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
7 PARK Andrew - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
8 LI Daniel - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
9 ONG Nicholas - - - 2% 14% 44% 41%
10 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - - - - 6% 33% 61%
11 FEDELI Francesco - - - - 6% 33% 61%
12 PARK William - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
13 NABASSOUA Djibril - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
14 SIMONOV Timofey - - - - 5% 29% 66%
15 GE Felix Fei - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
16 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
17 ZHAO Nathan - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
18 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - - - 2% 13% 38% 46%
19 CHANG Eric Jonathan - - - 1% 8% 37% 55%
20 DOELL Ethan - - - - 2% 24% 74%
21 HUA Aaron - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
22 CHANG Jonathan - - - - 5% 29% 65%
23 ZHENG Marcus - - - 2% 12% 39% 46%
24 OZAWA Taishi - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
25 CHEN Anson - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
26 KO Caleb - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
27 FANG Haoyu - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
28 HOU Gaven - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
29 WANG sicheng - - 2% 15% 39% 39% 6%
30 ZHANG Hanru - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
31 NAIR Sujit - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 4%
32 HART-SYED declan 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
33 SUAREZ David - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
34 TOOMRE Kai - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
35 BAI Austin - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
36 WANG Ancen - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 7%
37 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
38 XU Nathan - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
39 MO Ethan - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
40 LI Lucas - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
41 WEI Winston - - 3% 19% 43% 29% 6%
42 CHANG Jeremy - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 20%
43 PAN Ethan - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
44 TANG Royce - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 11%
44 CHENG Logan - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
46 HUANG Nathan - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 2%
47 GREULICH Nikolas 2% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2% -
48 YAVENDITTI William - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
49 WANG Mendy - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
50 YU ShiLin (Harry) - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
51 DESERANNO Leander - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
52 SHIN Noah - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
53 ZHOU Justin - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8%
54 PLUMMER Waylon - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
54 QIAN Zekai - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
56 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 1% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2%
57 WEI JR Shan - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
58 WU Wallace - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
58 KIM Daniel - 5% 20% 37% 29% 7% 1%
60 LEE Abin - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
61 ZHANG Jason - - 2% 15% 40% 36% 7%
62 KUO Phineas - - 1% 7% 31% 44% 16%
63 YANG Steve - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
64 WANG ZEYU 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
65 YANG Charles - - - 1% 10% 41% 49%
66 GRIGORIEV Michael - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
67 JACOB Ezra - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
68 JIN Andy - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
69 YEE Colin - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 15%
70 QIAN Henry - - 2% 15% 38% 36% 8%
70 HONG Edwin - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
70 YANG Tate - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
73 ZHAI Derrick - - 2% 12% 34% 41% 10%
73 JIN Xuechong Daniel - 4% 17% 36% 32% 11% -
73 DOUGLASS Liam - 5% 24% 41% 24% 5% -
76 SYMMANK Callen - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% -
77 LATORRE Leonardo - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
78 GUO Austin - 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
79 WANG Caleb - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 9%
80 POPOKH Luca - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 3%
80 CHANG Parker - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
82 FERGUSON Levi 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
83 MAZAHERI John 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
84 HUYNH Matthew - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
85 FUKUDA Brando - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
86 RAU Shogun - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 5%
87 CHEN Jason - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% -
88 LI Jayden - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
89 HUANG Jinyao - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
89 LEE Thomas - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
91 BEYDOUN Sam - 2% 12% 34% 36% 14% 1%
92 HE Ian - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
92 WU Thomas - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
94 DEBORD Beckett - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
95 YE Jerry - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 2%
96 GANAPATHI Eshan - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
96 LIU Alex - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
98 GUO Joey 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% -
99 SLAIN Owen - 1% 6% 25% 40% 25% 4%
100 XU Rambert 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
101 MCMILLIAN Harrison - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22% 1%
102 SIU Max - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
103 KINGSLEY Griffin - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
104 MAO Runxian - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12% 1%
105 KUANG Cyrus - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
106 PARK Jayden - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
107 SUN Roy 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
108 ZHENG Austin 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
109 XIAN kevin - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 27%
110 ZHANG Aaron - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
111 LIM EUNSEONG - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
112 JIANG Bohan 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
113 ZHAO Ryan - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 11%
114 TUCKER Nechiga - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
115 LINEBERRY CADEN - 6% 24% 38% 24% 7% 1%
116 NOVIKOV Yann - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
116 OH Christopher - - 1% 5% 26% 49% 19%
118 TANG Brayden 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
119 CZARNECKI Thomas - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 3%
120 REN Ryan - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
121 ZHAI Alex - - 5% 23% 43% 28% 2%
122 YANG Ethan - 2% 12% 35% 36% 14% 1%
123 LIU Jeremy 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
124 TANG Michael 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
125 LI Aaron 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
126 CHEN Owen - 3% 16% 38% 32% 10% 1%
127 LI Jake 9% 32% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
128 ZHANG Hanson 5% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
129 HE Ryan - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
130 TAN Charlie - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 17%
131 OH Joshua 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
132 JAZWINSKI Ryan - - 4% 21% 43% 28% 4%
133 VENAFRO Tristan - - 4% 18% 39% 31% 8%
134 KIAYIAS Anthony - 1% 10% 29% 38% 18% 3%
135 CHOI Hunter 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
136 ZHENG Lerui 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
136 JABLOKOV Roman 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
138 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 1% -
139 AHMAD Uzayr - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
140 XIA Philip 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
141 YU ShiYu (Henry) - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
142 PARK Avan 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
143 ULYSSE Jacob 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% -
144 SHAW eric 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
145 HAN Jiaren 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
146 KOE Declan 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
147 GATES Combustion - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
148 XIE Jayden - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
148 NAIDL Micah 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
150 MARTIN Wesley 10% 35% 35% 16% 3% - -
150 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
152 TIAN Andy 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1% -
152 ZHAO David 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
152 LEE Kyle 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
155 TURBAT Travis 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
156 ZHANG Ethan 2% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
157 HO Christopher 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
158 DIMINO Kartik 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
159 MCGRATH Milo 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
160 LI Andy 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
160 HU Michael 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
162 WILSON Jacob 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
162 FREL Vincent - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% -
164 WONG Connor 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
165 SINGH Jai Anand 1% 11% 32% 38% 15% 2% -
166 XIA Vincent 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
167 KIM Andrew 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4%
168 YANG David H. 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
169 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
170 DULAI Agam 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
171 KOVACS Harrison 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
172 SHARMA Ari 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
173 LIU Ryan 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
173 CHIANG Aiden 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
173 CAO Joshua - 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
176 PAINTER Zachary 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
177 LIN John 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
178 ALI Adam 22% 44% 27% 6% 1% - -
179 HICKEY Dylan 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
180 WU Gengze (Daniel) 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
181 ALVA Anmol 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
182 HUANG Dalynn 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
182 CHENG Alvin 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% - -
184 LEE Conrad 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
185 LEONG Wilson Hua 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
186 WANG Luke - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
187 FOO Kingston 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
188 JORGE Elijah 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
189 LAM Kirin 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
190 ZENG Albert 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
191 BU Ethan - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% -
191 WANG Joshua 7% 31% 39% 19% 3% - -
191 ZHENG Jonathan 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
191 HUANG Marcus 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
191 WU Silin 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
196 KAYE Ben 7% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
196 XU Jason 5% 26% 42% 22% 5% - -
198 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
199 HUANG Anthony 3% 21% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
200 HUYNH Kaleb 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
201 OZCAN Archer 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% - -
201 PESKIN Kepler 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
203 PACK Lindsey 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% 1% -
203 MCERLEAN Liam 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
205 WARD Spencer 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
206 JIN Xueyuan George 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
207 CHEN Ryker - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
207 CHOW Kingsley 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
207 HUDSON Arav 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
210 NGUYEN Nolan 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
211 BILLIET Greyson 5% 31% 41% 19% 4% - -
212 WANG Eason 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
212 KEEGAN Cole 1% 20% 38% 29% 10% 2% -
214 CRONK Trevor 7% 38% 39% 14% 2% - -
215 HU Daniel 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
216 WENGER Rowan 3% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
217 WEI Augustus 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 1%
218 GUGALA Frank 4% 23% 42% 25% 6% -
219 DAWSON Myer 25% 45% 24% 5% - -
220 LI Andrew 28% 46% 22% 4% - -
221 SHENOY sean 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
222 WEBER Andrew 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
223 MURDOCK Koichi 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
224 MORALES Tycho 1% 13% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
225 LIU Brady 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
226 CHAN William 19% 44% 29% 7% 1% - -
226 JIAO Daniel 3% 19% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
228 CHUNG Royce 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
228 WU David 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
230 JUE Lucas 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
231 HAN Nathan 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
232 BRAIZINHA David 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
232 YUNG Brandon 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
234 KAJITA Grayson 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
235 DIFRANK Tae 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
236 DALAL Amitav 10% 34% 38% 16% 2% - -
237 THOMAS Noah 3% 22% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
237 PARRA Lucas 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
239 AYYAGARI Abhiram 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
239 ROPER Griffin 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
241 CHEN Ethan 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
242 BABER Shaheer 3% 24% 43% 24% 5% - -
242 MOON Nicolas 26% 45% 23% 5% 1% - -
244 HUA Isaac 13% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
245 HANLEY Jack 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
246 TEOH Liam 4% 33% 40% 19% 4% - -
247 HALLETTMANES Ezra 32% 47% 19% 3% - - -
248 DIFRANK Avery 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
248 TAN benjamin 3% 24% 42% 25% 6% - -
250 LIN Stewart 29% 48% 20% 3% - - -
251 REBNER Parker 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
252 MA Justin 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
252 HOFFMAN Zane 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
254 KO Cameron 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
254 HSU Liam 66% 29% 5% - - - -
256 THEKKEL Jonathan 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
257 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 64% 31% 5% - - - -
257 SUKKALA Avaneesh 33% 44% 19% 3% - - -
259 NG Gavin 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
260 XU Ethan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
261 LEE Aeden 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
262 HARDWICK Alex 44% 41% 14% 2% - -
263 RAY Callum 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
263 CHEN Solomon 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
265 DUROCHER Greyson 29% 46% 21% 4% - - -
266 KWONG Colin 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
267 LEE Joshua 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
267 CREMEL Remi 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
269 NEMI Vin 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
270 DANTON Ryan 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
270 ROBERTSON Liam 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
270 LIM-SEIWERT Cassian 63% 31% 5% - - - -
273 KOTCH Brodie 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
274 KALINA Levi 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
274 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth < 1% 2% 13% 34% 36% 13% 2%
276 RAJAT Rivaan 31% 45% 21% 4% - - -
276 CAINE Liam 16% 41% 31% 10% 2% - -
276 XUE Lucas 18% 39% 31% 10% 2% - -
276 TAGORE Ayansh 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
280 LITVACK Jackson 44% 41% 14% 2% - -
281 RITTER Nathan D. 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
281 KUTATELADZE Danieli 22% 47% 25% 5% - - -
283 LIU Runze 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
284 MARCUS Vincent 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
284 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
284 CHOE Austin 35% 46% 16% 2% - - -
287 TEJAKUSUMA Eric 79% 19% 2% - - - -
288 SHENOY Neil 28% 45% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.