National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
2 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
5 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
6 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
7 PARK Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
8 LI Daniel 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
9 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
10 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
11 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
12 PARK William 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
13 NABASSOUA Djibril 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
14 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
15 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
16 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
17 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
18 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
19 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
20 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
21 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
22 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
23 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
24 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
25 CHEN Anson 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
26 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
27 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
28 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
29 WANG sicheng 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44% 6%
30 ZHANG Hanru 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
31 NAIR Sujit 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 4%
32 HART-SYED declan 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
33 SUAREZ David 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
34 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
35 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
36 WANG Ancen 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
37 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
38 XU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
39 MO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
40 LI Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
41 WEI Winston 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35% 6%
42 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
43 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
44 TANG Royce 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
44 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
46 HUANG Nathan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
47 GREULICH Nikolas 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3% -
48 YAVENDITTI William 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
49 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 7%
50 YU ShiLin (Harry) 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
51 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
52 SHIN Noah 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
53 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
54 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
54 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
56 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
57 WEI JR Shan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
58 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
58 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% 1%
60 LEE Abin 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
61 ZHANG Jason 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 7%
62 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 16%
63 YANG Steve 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
64 WANG ZEYU 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
65 YANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
66 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
67 JACOB Ezra 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
68 JIN Andy 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
69 YEE Colin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 15%
70 QIAN Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8%
70 HONG Edwin 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
70 YANG Tate 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 18%
73 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 10%
73 JIN Xuechong Daniel 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% -
73 DOUGLASS Liam 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 5% -
76 SYMMANK Callen 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
77 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
78 GUO Austin 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
79 WANG Caleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 47% 9%
80 POPOKH Luca 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
80 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
82 FERGUSON Levi 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
83 MAZAHERI John 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
84 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
85 FUKUDA Brando 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
86 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
87 CHEN Jason 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17% -
88 LI Jayden 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
89 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
89 LEE Thomas 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
91 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 15% 1%
92 HE Ian 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
92 WU Thomas 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
94 DEBORD Beckett 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
95 YE Jerry 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 2%
96 GANAPATHI Eshan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
96 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
98 GUO Joey 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
99 SLAIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
100 XU Rambert 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
101 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23% 1%
102 SIU Max 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
103 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
104 MAO Runxian 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12% 1%
105 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
106 PARK Jayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
107 SUN Roy 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
108 ZHENG Austin 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
109 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
110 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
111 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
112 JIANG Bohan 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
113 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
114 TUCKER Nechiga 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
115 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 7% 1%
116 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
116 OH Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 19%
118 TANG Brayden 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
119 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 3%
120 REN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
121 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 2%
122 YANG Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 15% 1%
123 LIU Jeremy 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
124 TANG Michael 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
125 LI Aaron 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
126 CHEN Owen 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 11% 1%
127 LI Jake 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
128 ZHANG Hanson 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% -
129 HE Ryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
130 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
131 OH Joshua 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
132 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 4%
133 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
134 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 21% 3%
135 CHOI Hunter 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
136 ZHENG Lerui 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3% -
136 JABLOKOV Roman 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
138 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 1% -
139 AHMAD Uzayr 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
140 XIA Philip 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
141 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
142 PARK Avan 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
143 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% -
144 SHAW eric 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
145 HAN Jiaren 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
146 KOE Declan 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 2%
147 GATES Combustion 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
148 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
148 NAIDL Micah 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6% -
150 MARTIN Wesley 100% 90% 55% 20% 4% - -
150 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
152 TIAN Andy 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1% -
152 ZHAO David 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
152 LEE Kyle 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
155 TURBAT Travis 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
156 ZHANG Ethan 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
157 HO Christopher 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
158 DIMINO Kartik 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
159 MCGRATH Milo 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
160 LI Andy 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
160 HU Michael 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
162 WILSON Jacob 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
162 FREL Vincent 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% -
164 WONG Connor 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
165 SINGH Jai Anand 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2% -
166 XIA Vincent 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
167 KIM Andrew 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
168 YANG David H. 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
169 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
170 DULAI Agam 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
171 KOVACS Harrison 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
172 SHARMA Ari 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
173 LIU Ryan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
173 CHIANG Aiden 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
173 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
176 PAINTER Zachary 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
177 LIN John 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
178 ALI Adam 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
179 HICKEY Dylan 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
180 WU Gengze (Daniel) 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
181 ALVA Anmol 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
182 HUANG Dalynn 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
182 CHENG Alvin 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
184 LEE Conrad 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
185 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
186 WANG Luke 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 3%
187 FOO Kingston 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
188 JORGE Elijah 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
189 LAM Kirin 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
190 ZENG Albert 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
191 BU Ethan 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
191 WANG Joshua 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% - -
191 ZHENG Jonathan 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
191 HUANG Marcus 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
191 WU Silin 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
196 KAYE Ben 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
196 XU Jason 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% - -
198 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
199 HUANG Anthony 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1% -
200 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
201 OZCAN Archer 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
201 PESKIN Kepler 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
203 PACK Lindsey 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
203 MCERLEAN Liam 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
205 WARD Spencer 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
206 JIN Xueyuan George 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
207 CHEN Ryker 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
207 CHOW Kingsley 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
207 HUDSON Arav 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
210 NGUYEN Nolan 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -
211 BILLIET Greyson 100% 95% 64% 23% 4% - -
212 WANG Eason 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
212 KEEGAN Cole 100% 99% 78% 40% 11% 2% -
214 CRONK Trevor 100% 93% 55% 16% 2% - -
215 HU Daniel 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
216 WENGER Rowan 100% 97% 75% 37% 9% 1%
217 WEI Augustus 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
218 GUGALA Frank 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% -
219 DAWSON Myer 100% 75% 30% 6% - -
220 LI Andrew 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
221 SHENOY sean 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
222 WEBER Andrew 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
223 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
224 MORALES Tycho 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
225 LIU Brady 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
226 CHAN William 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
226 JIAO Daniel 100% 97% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
228 CHUNG Royce 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
228 WU David 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
230 JUE Lucas 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
231 HAN Nathan 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
232 BRAIZINHA David 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
232 YUNG Brandon 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
234 KAJITA Grayson 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
235 DIFRANK Tae 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
236 DALAL Amitav 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% - -
237 THOMAS Noah 100% 97% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
237 PARRA Lucas 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
239 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
239 ROPER Griffin 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
241 CHEN Ethan 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
242 BABER Shaheer 100% 97% 73% 30% 6% - -
242 MOON Nicolas 100% 74% 28% 6% 1% - -
244 HUA Isaac 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% - -
245 HANLEY Jack 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
246 TEOH Liam 100% 96% 63% 22% 4% - -
247 HALLETTMANES Ezra 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
248 DIFRANK Avery 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
248 TAN benjamin 100% 97% 73% 31% 6% 1% -
250 LIN Stewart 100% 71% 23% 3% - - -
251 REBNER Parker 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
252 MA Justin 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
252 HOFFMAN Zane 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
254 KO Cameron 100% 65% 21% 4% - - -
254 HSU Liam 100% 34% 5% - - - -
256 THEKKEL Jonathan 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
257 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 36% 5% - - - -
257 SUKKALA Avaneesh 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
259 NG Gavin 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
260 XU Ethan 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
261 LEE Aeden 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
262 HARDWICK Alex 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
263 RAY Callum 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
263 CHEN Solomon 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
265 DUROCHER Greyson 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
266 KWONG Colin 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
267 LEE Joshua 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
267 CREMEL Remi 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
269 NEMI Vin 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1%
270 DANTON Ryan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
270 ROBERTSON Liam 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
270 LIM-SEIWERT Cassian 100% 37% 6% - - - -
273 KOTCH Brodie 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
274 KALINA Levi 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
274 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
276 RAJAT Rivaan 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
276 CAINE Liam 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
276 XUE Lucas 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
276 TAGORE Ayansh 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
280 LITVACK Jackson 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
281 RITTER Nathan D. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
281 KUTATELADZE Danieli 100% 78% 31% 6% 1% - -
283 LIU Runze 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
284 MARCUS Vincent 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
284 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
284 CHOE Austin 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
287 TEJAKUSUMA Eric 100% 21% 2% - - - -
288 SHENOY Neil 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.