National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Youlong - - - - 2% 19% 79%
2 KRYLTSOV Michael - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
3 HAMMER Zachary (Zack) W. - 1% 9% 34% 44% 12%
3 FENG Michael - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
5 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
6 ZHANG Jacob - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 21%
7 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - 3% 16% 38% 36% 6%
8 ANDERSON Jacob - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
9 GRISWOLD Abel B. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
10 WANG Ethan - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
11 TANG August L. - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
12 NICOLETTI Luca - - - - 4% 29% 67%
13 KIM Brian - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
14 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - 1% 8% 32% 44% 15%
15 STRAYER Andrew - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
16 LIU William - 2% 11% 29% 36% 18% 3%
17 LI Richard - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
18 STRINGER David - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
19 ZHEN Ethan - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
20 PINCHENG Yao 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
21 SMITH Liam C. - - - - - 8% 91%
22 PARK Steve (Sangmin) - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
23 WENDLER Alexander J. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
24 CHEN Ethan - 2% 10% 24% 33% 24% 7%
25 JIMENEZ Naveen - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
26 MILLER Jordan - 1% 6% 23% 42% 25% 4%
27 ZHONG Maxwell 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
28 LIN Xilong - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
29 PEGRAM Rafe G. - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
30 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
30 SMOLICH Marat - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
32 SHENG Dalton - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
33 HOWLAND Jonas - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
34 KIM Harrison - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
34 DAVIDSON Elliot - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
36 PLASTARAS Trey - 1% 10% 31% 42% 15%
37 KLYCZEK Andrew - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
37 TANG Alexander L. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
39 NEICE William 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
40 LEVY Jacob - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
41 ORLOV Dmitriy - - 4% 16% 34% 35% 12%
41 KAPOOR Aayan - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
43 GORDON William L. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
44 TALASILA Arush - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 10%
45 SMITH Grant D. - - 3% 17% 35% 33% 11%
46 TALLARICO Matthew 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
47 WU Trevor - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
48 LI Jett - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
49 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
50 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
51 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle - 3% 12% 26% 33% 21% 5%
52 HICKEY Connor 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
53 ANDRIC Borna - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
54 MAGALONG William - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
55 LYNCH Owen C. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
56 FLYNT Hayden 2% 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
57 WONG Evan - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
58 MILLER Dillon 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
59 TJON Calum - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12% -
60 KUE Temujin 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
61 CORNETT Sawyer R. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
62 LI Ayren - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
63 KIM Jonah 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
64 POLONI Giovanni 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
65 XU Andy P. - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
66 SHAO Eric - - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
67 NAIDL Josiah 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
68 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
69 ROZALSKI Eli - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
70 KONG Luculentus X. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
71 ARATA Connor - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
72 SHEYNKMAN Leon - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
73 SRINIVASAN Vedant 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
74 ZHAO Brandon 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
75 ZHANG GAVIN J - 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
76 BLEIL Tyler 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
76 MARTIN Darius - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
78 CHEZ Nolan - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
79 COPELAND Nigel 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
80 SCHIENEMAN Valentine - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22% 1%
81 STANOEV Sava - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
82 UPENDER West 2% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
83 MANDZY Theodor - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
84 SURESH Rohan 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
85 CHO Xzander 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
86 LI Matthew - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
87 BAI Brian - 1% 8% 24% 37% 24% 5%
88 LIM Charlie 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
89 LOZADA Gabriel G. 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5% -
90 XU Ethan - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
91 BIESIADA Jan 2% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
92 O'BRIEN Jack K. - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
92 CHOI Ethan 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
94 LANE Mitchell D. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
95 ZAPPALA Nikolai 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
96 SMITH Cooper 1% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1% -
97 UZGIRIS Kovas - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
98 LI Avery Peihong - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
99 TAN Xinlai - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
100 MILLER Andrew - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
101 CHANG Nathan 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
102 WILKINS Mateo - 9% 37% 38% 14% 2%
103 DAI Christopher 2% 20% 42% 29% 7% -
104 QIU Zhaocheng - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
105 CHUANG Oscar - 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
106 JURMAN Therin - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 2%
107 KETTELLE John - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
108 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan - 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
109 SINHA Verdhaan - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
110 MARTIN William 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
110 HOLLIS Sean 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
112 LI Allen - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
113 FINLEY Dylan - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
114 PARKER Isaiah - 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
115 GNEUHS Sam 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
116 BROWN Darius D. - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
116 WERWA Griffith - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
118 JIANG Bowang - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
119 LEE Jayden J. - 3% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
120 BARRETT Austin 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4%
121 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
122 MCKEE Calvin 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
123 WEST Nathaniel 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
124 LOCKWOOD Jacob 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% -
125 CENCE Myles K. - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
126 GREENEBAUM Oliver 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
127 DUNLAP Ezra 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
128 JOHNSON Chance 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
129 CHIN Ryan 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
130 RAMLOW Michael C. - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
131 SLUSHER Gideon - 2% 13% 39% 39% 8%
132 VANOYEN Dominick - 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
133 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
133 CAPRA Ethan - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
135 YU William - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
136 KENNEDY christo 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
137 REICHEL Ezra - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
138 LINDOW Connor 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
139 CLARK Benjamin - 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
140 ALBERS Asher 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
141 JOHNSON Soren 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
142 WONG Jacob W. 10% 32% 36% 18% 3% -
143 WEISS Mateo 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
144 MATTOS Luis Felipe - 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
145 NAZARIO Dominic 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
146 SHANNON Jack 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
147 SMITH Erick - - 3% 16% 38% 37% 6%
148 KIM Andy - 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
149 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
150 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
150 PETERSON Lucas - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
150 FLANAGAN Miles 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
153 ISAACSON Bjorn - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
154 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
155 FERENCZ Alexander J. 5% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
155 LUI Justin 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
157 WUN Jonathan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
158 SALAZAR Tomas D. 4% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
159 SHIRLEY Kai 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
160 MONTALBINE Aidan - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
161 NISHIHIRA Tyler 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
162 GIDDENS James 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
163 HEMENG Oppong M. 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
164 BISHOP Henry 5% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
165 MARTIN Mason 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
166 PECK Quinn 2% 31% 47% 18% 2% -
167 HOLMES Alexiy 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
168 METZ Mason 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
169 DJONOUMA Toyohm 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6% -
170 MARTIRE Luca 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
171 LI Samuel - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
172 PINKERTON Joseph H. - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2%
173 CHA James 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
174 YANG Arthur 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
175 AMRANI David 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1% -
176 CONVERSE Warren D. - 5% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2%
176 KENNEDY Michael 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
176 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
179 LEE Jayden 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
180 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita I. - 6% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
180 WEINSTEIN Ethan - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 6%
182 PETINO Leonardo 11% 47% 32% 9% 1% - -
182 SOLOPOULOS James 14% 44% 32% 9% 1% - -
184 TIBBETTS Justin 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
185 SHAMBARGER Graham 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
186 RAJPAL Alastair 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
187 SUNDSTROM Wren 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
188 YANG Dylan 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
188 LEUNG Jin 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
190 SUN Henry 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
191 TAM Kyle 4% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
192 SHEA William 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
193 DURHAM Porter 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 5% 1%
194 KAUNITZ Emmanuel - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
195 TOWNE Benjamin 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
196 PEDERSEN Charles 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
197 CURTIS William K. 1% 14% 37% 35% 12% 1%
198 MANLY Isaac H. - 13% 35% 36% 14% 2%
199 RIPA Joseph K. 13% 35% 35% 15% 2% -
199 GODIN Willis 78% 20% 2% - - -
201 ROBINSON-LEVANT Bryson 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
201 LEWIS Adam 2% 19% 40% 31% 8% -
203 MCCOY Camden 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
204 ABRAMSOHN Seth 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
205 TWEMLOW Sacha 1% 8% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
206 MURPHY Damian J. 1% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2% -
206 STORER Alexander 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 2% -
206 LEE Christopher 49% 39% 11% 2% - - -
209 WITTIG Jonathon T. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
210 LEHTINEN Axel 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
211 ZAIDI Adil 15% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
212 XU Dinghui Ryan 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
213 BLAKEMAN Michael J. - 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
213 TEH Tang-Ngu 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% - -
215 MILES Greyson 12% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
216 POWELL Sean 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
217 SHARDONOFSKY Keelan 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
218 MASSIMINO Andrew 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
219 DAFFRON Quintin 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
220 CORNEJO Theodore B. - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
220 WIDOFF-WOODSON Jackson Leroi 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
222 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
222 ZIMSKY James 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
224 GRAY Caidan 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
225 GOODSON Caleb (Caleb Goodson) B. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
225 MARTIN Dexter 34% 41% 19% 4% - - -
227 CHREKY Jacob D. - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 1%
228 GOWDA Sumeru 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
229 HINTON Nickolys R. 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
230 SMITH Brandon T. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
231 LEBEDOVYCH Tristin 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
232 BERETICH Brian 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
233 TOMASI John 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
233 MIETTINEN Pyry 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
235 RODRIGUEZ VINCENT 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
236 KOKKER Thomas 8% 38% 37% 14% 2% - -
237 MOORHOUSE Emmett 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
238 ZHENG Harrison 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
239 ATKINSON JOSIAH 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
240 FREDERICK David R. 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
241 RAJU Dharshan 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
241 PARK Jubin 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
243 DELISLE Jonas P. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
243 DUNLAP Ian 3% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
243 REYES Yannik 49% 40% 10% 1% - - -
243 RUDOW Asher 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
243 WARMERDAM Joseph 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
248 COWARD Daniel 77% 21% 1% - - -
249 LANE Sean 74% 23% 3% - - - -
250 LITTLE Alex 67% 29% 4% - - - -
250 LOUIE Keon 41% 44% 14% 2% - - -
252 RAO Saathvik 61% 33% 6% - - - -
253 BERSCHEID Arthur 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
254 DULAI Angad 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
254 MCARTHUR Kemp 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
256 KARLEKAR Ved 77% 20% 2% - - - -
257 BECKER Ethan 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
257 BLACK John 89% 11% 1% - - - -
259 BARBANEL Joseph 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.