National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
2 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
3 HAMMER Zachary (Zack) W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 12%
3 FENG Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
5 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
6 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
7 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 6%
8 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
9 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
10 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
11 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
12 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
13 KIM Brian 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
14 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 15%
15 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
16 LIU William 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
17 LI Richard 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
18 STRINGER David 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
19 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
20 PINCHENG Yao 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
21 SMITH Liam C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
22 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
23 WENDLER Alexander J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
24 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 31% 7%
25 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
26 MILLER Jordan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29% 4%
27 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
28 LIN Xilong 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
29 PEGRAM Rafe G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
30 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
30 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
32 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
33 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
34 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
34 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
36 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 15%
37 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
37 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
39 NEICE William 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
40 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
41 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
41 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
43 GORDON William L. 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
44 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
45 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
46 TALLARICO Matthew 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
47 WU Trevor 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
48 LI Jett 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
49 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
50 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
51 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 27% 5%
52 HICKEY Connor 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
53 ANDRIC Borna 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
54 MAGALONG William 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
55 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
56 FLYNT Hayden 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
57 WONG Evan 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
58 MILLER Dillon 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
59 TJON Calum 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12% -
60 KUE Temujin 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
61 CORNETT Sawyer R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
62 LI Ayren 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
63 KIM Jonah 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
64 POLONI Giovanni 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
65 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
66 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
67 NAIDL Josiah 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
68 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
69 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
70 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
71 ARATA Connor 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
72 SHEYNKMAN Leon 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
73 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
74 ZHAO Brandon 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
75 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
76 BLEIL Tyler 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
76 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
78 CHEZ Nolan 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
79 COPELAND Nigel 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
80 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 1%
81 STANOEV Sava 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
82 UPENDER West 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
83 MANDZY Theodor 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
84 SURESH Rohan 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
85 CHO Xzander 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
86 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 40%
87 BAI Brian 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
88 LIM Charlie 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
89 LOZADA Gabriel G. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5% -
90 XU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
91 BIESIADA Jan 100% 98% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
92 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
92 CHOI Ethan 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 8% 1%
94 LANE Mitchell D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
95 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
96 SMITH Cooper 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
97 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
98 LI Avery Peihong 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
99 TAN Xinlai 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
100 MILLER Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
101 CHANG Nathan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
102 WILKINS Mateo 100% 100% 91% 54% 15% 2%
103 DAI Christopher 100% 98% 78% 36% 7% -
104 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
105 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
106 JURMAN Therin 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
107 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
108 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
109 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
110 MARTIN William 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
110 HOLLIS Sean 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
112 LI Allen 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
113 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
114 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
115 GNEUHS Sam 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
116 BROWN Darius D. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
116 WERWA Griffith 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
118 JIANG Bowang 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
119 LEE Jayden J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
120 BARRETT Austin 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
121 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
122 MCKEE Calvin 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
123 WEST Nathaniel 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
124 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 4% -
125 CENCE Myles K. 100% 100% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
126 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
127 DUNLAP Ezra 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
128 JOHNSON Chance 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
129 CHIN Ryan 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -
130 RAMLOW Michael C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
131 SLUSHER Gideon 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 8%
132 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
133 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
133 CAPRA Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
135 YU William 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
136 KENNEDY christo 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
137 REICHEL Ezra 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
138 LINDOW Connor 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
139 CLARK Benjamin 100% 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
140 ALBERS Asher 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
141 JOHNSON Soren 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
142 WONG Jacob W. 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
143 WEISS Mateo 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
144 MATTOS Luis Felipe 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
145 NAZARIO Dominic 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
146 SHANNON Jack 100% 94% 71% 36% 12% 2% -
147 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 6%
148 KIM Andy 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 3%
149 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 3% -
150 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
150 PETERSON Lucas 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
150 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
153 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
154 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
155 FERENCZ Alexander J. 100% 95% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
155 LUI Justin 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
157 WUN Jonathan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
158 SALAZAR Tomas D. 100% 96% 69% 30% 6% 1% -
159 SHIRLEY Kai 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
160 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3%
161 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
162 GIDDENS James 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
163 HEMENG Oppong M. 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
164 BISHOP Henry 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1%
165 MARTIN Mason 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
166 PECK Quinn 100% 98% 67% 21% 2% -
167 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
168 METZ Mason 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
169 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
170 MARTIRE Luca 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
171 LI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
172 PINKERTON Joseph H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 2%
173 CHA James 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
174 YANG Arthur 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
175 AMRANI David 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1% -
176 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
176 KENNEDY Michael 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
176 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
179 LEE Jayden 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
180 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita I. 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1%
180 WEINSTEIN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6%
182 PETINO Leonardo 100% 89% 42% 10% 1% - -
182 SOLOPOULOS James 100% 86% 42% 10% 1% - -
184 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
185 SHAMBARGER Graham 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
186 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
187 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 81% 35% 7% 1% - -
188 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
188 LEUNG Jin 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
190 SUN Henry 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
191 TAM Kyle 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
192 SHEA William 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
193 DURHAM Porter 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
194 KAUNITZ Emmanuel 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
195 TOWNE Benjamin 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
196 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
197 CURTIS William K. 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
198 MANLY Isaac H. 100% 100% 87% 52% 16% 2%
199 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
199 GODIN Willis 100% 22% 2% - - -
201 ROBINSON-LEVANT Bryson 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
201 LEWIS Adam 100% 98% 79% 39% 8% -
203 MCCOY Camden 100% 60% 20% 3% - -
204 ABRAMSOHN Seth 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
205 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
206 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 99% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
206 STORER Alexander 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
206 LEE Christopher 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
209 WITTIG Jonathon T. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
210 LEHTINEN Axel 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
211 ZAIDI Adil 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
212 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
213 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
213 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
215 MILES Greyson 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% - -
216 POWELL Sean 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
217 SHARDONOFSKY Keelan 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
218 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
219 DAFFRON Quintin 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
220 CORNEJO Theodore B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
220 WIDOFF-WOODSON Jackson Leroi 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
222 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
222 ZIMSKY James 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
224 GRAY Caidan 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
225 GOODSON Caleb (Caleb Goodson) B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
225 MARTIN Dexter 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
227 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17% 1%
228 GOWDA Sumeru 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
229 HINTON Nickolys R. 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
230 SMITH Brandon T. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
231 LEBEDOVYCH Tristin 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
232 BERETICH Brian 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
233 TOMASI John 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
233 MIETTINEN Pyry 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
235 RODRIGUEZ VINCENT 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
236 KOKKER Thomas 100% 92% 54% 17% 2% - -
237 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1%
238 ZHENG Harrison 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1%
239 ATKINSON JOSIAH 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
240 FREDERICK David R. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
241 RAJU Dharshan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
241 PARK Jubin 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
243 DELISLE Jonas P. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
243 DUNLAP Ian 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
243 REYES Yannik 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
243 RUDOW Asher 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
243 WARMERDAM Joseph 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
248 COWARD Daniel 100% 23% 1% - - -
249 LANE Sean 100% 26% 3% - - - -
250 LITTLE Alex 100% 33% 4% - - - -
250 LOUIE Keon 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
252 RAO Saathvik 100% 39% 6% - - - -
253 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 80% 42% 13% 3% - -
254 DULAI Angad 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
254 MCARTHUR Kemp 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
256 KARLEKAR Ved 100% 23% 2% - - - -
257 BECKER Ethan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
257 BLACK John 100% 11% 1% - - - -
259 BARBANEL Joseph 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.