National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Saber

Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOLOVITSER Maya - 2% 11% 31% 41% 16%
2 NAYAK Esha - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
3 CHEN Elaine - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
3 BARROSO Isabela - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
5 ONG Lauren - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
6 WANG Jiayi - 4% 22% 41% 27% 6%
7 ISBERG Natalie - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
8 SIDDIQUI Reem - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
9 MONTORIO Lily M. - 1% 5% 24% 44% 27%
10 DEHON Inès - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
11 FENG Alicia G. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
12 KANDADAI Lara - 2% 15% 37% 36% 11%
13 SADANI Jyotika - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
14 STONE Coral - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
15 CHEN Kevy - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
16 BARCZAY Sara E. - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
17 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
18 CHAMI Lana 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
19 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
20 ZHAI AMY - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
21 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
22 MCSWEENEY Kylie - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
23 BIRNSTILL Reese - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 7%
24 HUA Catherine W. - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
25 WONG Cerise 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
26 REAVIS Isabel - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
27 HITOMI Nadya - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
28 LEE Lauren 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
29 CHURA Annika S. - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
30 LAGOON Miriam 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
31 PADANILAM Lily - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
32 HARRISON Allie 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
33 BROWN Aria - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
34 MOON Claire - 5% 24% 45% 23% 3%
35 PRESANTH Nandana - 5% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
36 BRODERICK Kylin - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
37 NEUMAN Ella - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
38 NAIR Supriya - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
39 LABRECQUE Savannah 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
40 MYAT Chloe - 2% 14% 37% 36% 10%
41 KHOST Maeve 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
42 BROWNER June - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
43 MALLAMPATI Jaabili 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
44 NAYAK Anika - 7% 30% 39% 20% 3%
45 DEVASIA Nisha - - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
46 HANLON Lucy 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
47 LI Miranda 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
48 FLEEGER Sophia 5% 24% 36% 26% 8% 1%
49 COLBY Mercer - - 2% 15% 35% 35% 13%
50 SENTHIL Tejas 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
51 ADAMS Morrigan B. - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
52 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
53 ASHTIANI Shaya - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
54 ZAWADA Milena - 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
55 BRAMMER-GONZALES Xiomara 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
56 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
57 DEMARIA Lauren 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
58 SEAL Cameron I. - 1% 7% 31% 46% 15%
59 SEBASTIAN Ava 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
60 WONG Charlene 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
61 ALDORT Amanda 6% 31% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
62 KANG Soeun 4% 24% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
63 SNOAD Indy 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
64 SHELLEY Scarlett 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
65 POLSTON Ella 1% 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
65 TESTROET Aubrey - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
67 IREGUI Sofia 2% 19% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
68 HAN Emma - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 7%
69 IYER Arushi - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
70 SCHOEW Margot - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 14%
71 SCHOON REBECCA - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
72 DESAUTELS Alexandra 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
73 TAN Kylie - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
74 MCGRAW Sadie - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
75 MATSUO Kei - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
75 BLAKE Anna - - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
77 NAYAK Antara 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
78 SANTOS Charlize 5% 29% 41% 20% 4% -
79 BANGALORE Shriya 16% 48% 28% 7% 1% -
80 EDWARDS Darby - - - 4% 28% 68%
81 PANCHAL Arya 37% 46% 15% 2% - -
82 BARNES Sarah 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
83 NEWMARK Ellie 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
84 WALLER London - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
85 KITSON Sasha 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
86 JEFFORDS Sophia 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
87 DUBROVINA Irene - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
88 BAROUCH Susanna 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
89 BABBITT Kayla 2% 14% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
90 RIVERS Mikhala 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
91 XU Kaylyn 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
92 PETTIT Sara M. - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
93 KIM Sophia - 4% 20% 40% 31% 5%
94 ZHANG Erica - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
95 YUAN Vienna 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
96 GOSAVI Aabolee - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
97 MURRAY Audrey A. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
98 WEINSTEIN Hannah 23% 44% 25% 7% 1% - -
99 WAY Samantha - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
100 DUDNICK Morgan - - < 1% 4% 19% 42% 34%
101 GETZONI Mary 11% 42% 34% 11% 2% - -
102 GERASIMOVA Valeria 23% 40% 26% 9% 2% - -
103 WU Chloe 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
103 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
105 WALKER Terra - 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
106 SUHALIM Maree 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
107 KIRBY Skye 9% 51% 32% 8% 1% - -
108 FORD-BURRIS Zooey 3% 30% 43% 20% 4% - -
109 JANDECKA Darlene 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
110 MAROSFOI Virag 3% 23% 44% 25% 5% -
111 INSINGA Ava 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
112 KHAN Ayah 53% 38% 8% 1% - -
113 TERP Lucy 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
114 TAMARO Allie 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
115 BURNHAM Elizabeth (Liz) A. - 5% 26% 41% 23% 4%
116 PAPAVASILIOU Maria Elisavet 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
117 JUDE Simona 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
118 HENRY Erin 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
119 DUNN Kathryn - < 1% - 4% 21% 44% 31%
120 WILLIAMSON Morgan 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
120 SUN Angela 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
122 CHERSKOV Annie E. - 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%
122 SAMPATH Medha 30% 45% 20% 4% - - -
124 VILD Grace 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
125 EVANS Ace 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
126 BENT Sarah 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
127 EGAN Caroline 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
128 ASPIRAS Avery 26% 41% 25% 8% 1% -
129 FINN Lucy 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
130 WILFRET Katerina 23% 46% 25% 5% - -
131 ABDULLAHI Salma 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
132 FEITLER Sarah 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
133 MCCAWLEY Madeleine 81% 18% 1% - - - -
134 TOWNLEY BAKEWELL Evvia 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
135 REYNOLDS CHANG Anna 22% 48% 24% 5% 1% - -
135 WODISKA Ava 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
137 MOHAMED Siham 77% 21% 1% - - - -
138 ORR Noelle 58% 35% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.