National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Saber

Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
2 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
3 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
5 ONG Lauren 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
6 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 6%
7 ISBERG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
8 SIDDIQUI Reem 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
9 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
10 DEHON Inès 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
11 FENG Alicia G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
12 KANDADAI Lara 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
13 SADANI Jyotika 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
14 STONE Coral 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
15 CHEN Kevy 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
16 BARCZAY Sara E. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
17 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 4%
18 CHAMI Lana 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
19 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
20 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
21 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
22 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
23 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
24 HUA Catherine W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
25 WONG Cerise 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
26 REAVIS Isabel 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
27 HITOMI Nadya 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
28 LEE Lauren 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
29 CHURA Annika S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
30 LAGOON Miriam 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
31 PADANILAM Lily 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
32 HARRISON Allie 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
33 BROWN Aria 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
34 MOON Claire 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 3%
35 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
36 BRODERICK Kylin 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
37 NEUMAN Ella 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
38 NAIR Supriya 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
39 LABRECQUE Savannah 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
40 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 10%
41 KHOST Maeve 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
42 BROWNER June 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
43 MALLAMPATI Jaabili 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 4%
44 NAYAK Anika 100% 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
45 DEVASIA Nisha 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
46 HANLON Lucy 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
47 LI Miranda 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
48 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
49 COLBY Mercer 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
50 SENTHIL Tejas 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
51 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
52 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
53 ASHTIANI Shaya 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
54 ZAWADA Milena 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
55 BRAMMER-GONZALES Xiomara 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
56 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
57 DEMARIA Lauren 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
58 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 15%
59 SEBASTIAN Ava 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 2%
60 WONG Charlene 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
61 ALDORT Amanda 100% 94% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
62 KANG Soeun 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
63 SNOAD Indy 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
64 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3%
65 POLSTON Ella 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
65 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
67 IREGUI Sofia 100% 98% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
68 HAN Emma 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
69 IYER Arushi 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
70 SCHOEW Margot 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
71 SCHOON REBECCA 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
72 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
73 TAN Kylie 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
74 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
75 MATSUO Kei 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
75 BLAKE Anna 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
77 NAYAK Antara 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 12% 2%
78 SANTOS Charlize 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% -
79 BANGALORE Shriya 100% 84% 36% 7% 1% -
80 EDWARDS Darby 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
81 PANCHAL Arya 100% 63% 17% 2% - -
82 BARNES Sarah 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
83 NEWMARK Ellie 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
84 WALLER London 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
85 KITSON Sasha 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
86 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
87 DUBROVINA Irene 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
88 BAROUCH Susanna 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
89 BABBITT Kayla 100% 98% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
90 RIVERS Mikhala 100% 99% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
91 XU Kaylyn 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
92 PETTIT Sara M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
93 KIM Sophia 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 5%
94 ZHANG Erica 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
95 YUAN Vienna 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
96 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
97 MURRAY Audrey A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
98 WEINSTEIN Hannah 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
99 WAY Samantha 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
100 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
101 GETZONI Mary 100% 89% 47% 12% 2% - -
102 GERASIMOVA Valeria 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
103 WU Chloe 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
103 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
105 WALKER Terra 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
106 SUHALIM Maree 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
107 KIRBY Skye 100% 91% 40% 9% 1% - -
108 FORD-BURRIS Zooey 100% 97% 67% 24% 4% - -
109 JANDECKA Darlene 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
110 MAROSFOI Virag 100% 97% 74% 29% 5% -
111 INSINGA Ava 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
112 KHAN Ayah 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
113 TERP Lucy 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
114 TAMARO Allie 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
115 BURNHAM Elizabeth (Liz) A. 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
116 PAPAVASILIOU Maria Elisavet 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% -
117 JUDE Simona 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
118 HENRY Erin 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
119 DUNN Kathryn 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
120 WILLIAMSON Morgan 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
120 SUN Angela 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
122 CHERSKOV Annie E. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
122 SAMPATH Medha 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
124 VILD Grace 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
125 EVANS Ace 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
126 BENT Sarah 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
127 EGAN Caroline 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
128 ASPIRAS Avery 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
129 FINN Lucy 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
130 WILFRET Katerina 100% 77% 31% 5% - -
131 ABDULLAHI Salma 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
132 FEITLER Sarah 100% 94% 66% 29% 6% 1%
133 MCCAWLEY Madeleine 100% 19% 1% - - - -
134 TOWNLEY BAKEWELL Evvia 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
135 REYNOLDS CHANG Anna 100% 78% 29% 6% 1% - -
135 WODISKA Ava 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
137 MOHAMED Siham 100% 23% 1% - - - -
138 ORR Noelle 100% 42% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.