National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-10 Men's Épée

Monday, July 8, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KROPP Wesley - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
2 LIU Austin - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
3 LUO Alexander - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 DU Evan - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
5 ZHANG jonathan - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
6 TUBALTSEV Evan - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
7 LU Ian - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
8 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
9 RAU Shogun - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
10 ARMSTRONG Payson - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
11 PARK Ethan - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
12 MOSLEY Wally - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
13 ZHAI Derrick - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
14 CHEN Daniel - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
15 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
16 YAO Aiden - 3% 16% 33% 34% 13%
17 MBERIA Henry - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
18 KUANG Cyrus - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
19 CHEN Aiden - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
20 PUTHOFF Henry - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
21 MASKIN Mikhail - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
22 ZHAO Ryan - 2% 10% 29% 37% 20% 2%
23 ROBERTS Arthur - - 2% 16% 39% 35% 7%
24 ZINCHUK Yuri - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
25 CHEN Evan - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
26 NOOL Aaron - 1% 7% 29% 41% 21% 3%
27 ZHAO Brandon - 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
28 GEVA Reuben - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
29 LEE Joshua 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
30 JU Shang - 1% 8% 29% 39% 19% 3%
31 YI Joshua - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
32 SHIM Jaeyoo - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
33 ZHOU Luke - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
34 HUA Nolan - 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 7%
35 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
36 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
37 YAO Ryan - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
38 GUO Jonathan - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9%
39 LI Stephen - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
40 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
41 FERNANDEZ William - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11%
42 TIAN Dylan 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
43 GALBRAITH Carson - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 8%
44 HWANG Matthew - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
45 GOLDBERG Simon 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
46 WONG Kyle - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
47 YUE Bryan - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
48 BIRKEY Logan 8% 30% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
48 KHALID Ilyas - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
50 PLATTS Emmerson - 2% 13% 30% 35% 17% 3%
51 CHEN Benjamin 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
52 BALLEZA Maximilian - 5% 22% 37% 28% 7%
53 LIU Yihong 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
54 CHIANG William - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
55 LIN Bryan - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
56 LEE Lucas 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
57 ZHAO Luke 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
58 HOLDEN Harrison - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
59 REN Mark - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
59 DAI Jason - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
61 NGUYEN Norris 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
62 TANG Luke 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
63 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
64 MA kevin 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
65 WU Nathan - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
66 LAI Jayden - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
67 WANG Sean 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
68 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
69 CHEN Linus 2% 15% 33% 34% 15% 2%
70 ZHANG Aiden - 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
71 SHI Peyton - 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
72 LEE James K. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
73 KABEALO Charles 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
74 DESAI Adithya 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
75 WHITE Leonardo 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
76 YOU Emmanuel 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
77 ZHENG Jasper - 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
78 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
79 DING Max - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
79 YOON Jonathan - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
81 SALZER Aage 29% 46% 21% 4% - - -
82 ADDYSON Evan 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
83 KANG Ihan - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
84 CAMP William - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
85 CHA Aiden - 3% 16% 33% 33% 14% 2%
86 ZHUKOV Egor 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
87 KICIMAN Louis 5% 25% 41% 23% 5% - -
88 MAXWELL Taiga 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
89 TALBOT Jett 1% 8% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
89 CHEN Regis - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
91 BURT Jonathan Parker 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
92 BUTLER Xavier - 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
92 BERNIER Landyn - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
92 YAO Irvine 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
95 SAFAI Bardia 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
96 RICHARDSON Matthew 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
97 FU Benjamin 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1%
98 WANG Ryan 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
99 KUYKENDALL Logan 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
100 LI Nolan 13% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
101 KIM Brendan 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
102 CHEN Hayden - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
103 DE LOS REYES Noah 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
104 KIM Benjamin 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
104 JUNG Brandon 12% 38% 36% 12% 2% - -
106 LO Stefan 6% 25% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
107 PATEL Yash 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
108 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 21% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
109 ALI Akash 10% 42% 35% 11% 2% - -
110 SCHLUBACH Jasper 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
111 YE Andrew 11% 38% 34% 14% 3% - -
112 ZHOU Silvan 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
113 ZHENG Dylan 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
114 KUYKENDALL Lucas 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
115 YANG Mikey 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
116 TENG Eric 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
116 CHI Zachary 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
118 KRAVCHENKO Philip 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
119 PAGLIARINI James 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
120 MIRZA Arrustu 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% - -
121 HUANG EVAN 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
122 XIONG Alec - 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
123 MILLER Brodrick 3% 21% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
124 BUONO Antonino 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
125 MATUSOW Brandon 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
126 GAN Samuel 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
127 SHENG BEN 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
128 CHEN Boru 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
129 YANG Rony 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
130 YANG Gavin 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
131 VAN RIET Matteo - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
132 HOREMIOTIS Bennett - 1% 7% 27% 41% 22% 3%
133 NOCON Garrison - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
134 KOU Logan 35% 45% 18% 2% - - -
135 LU Jayden 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
136 REED Andrew 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
137 HOHMAN Elias 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
138 CHAUDHARY Oliver 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
139 KETCHAM Conrad 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
140 ROBINSON Ronald (Tre) 29% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
141 LENEGHAN Declan 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
142 TAN Wyatt 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
142 GRANTER John 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
144 LI Jacob 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
145 HILFIGER Marcos 7% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
145 AHMAD Aydin 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
147 XI Eric 12% 40% 37% 10% 1% - -
148 MORET Declan 69% 27% 4% - - -
149 CHAN Seanan 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
150 ALLAM Yousuf 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
151 BARNETT Edward 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.